Nice vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1

22 Aug 2026, 18:45

Post on X

Lorient

Away

Allianz Riviera, Nice

Predicție AI Lorient sau egal

18%

32%

49%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Nice vs Lorient prediction: Sportiko gives Nice a 18% chance of winning, Lorient 49% and the draw 32%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:47.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 16.3%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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Nice

LDLDD

Lorient

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings Nice · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Nice will host Lorient in a Ligue 1 clash that promises to be competitive. Nice's recent form shows a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1 goal per match over the last five games, while Lorient has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.8 goals per match in the same timeframe. The midfield battle will be crucial, as both teams rely heavily on controlling possession to create scoring opportunities. If Nice can capitalize on their chances, they may edge out Lorient, who will need to improve their finishing to secure points from this match.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

18%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

49%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lorient goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15	16	12	5	2
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	3	4	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Nice goals · most likely 0–1 (16.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

32%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

32%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

73% Away (No Draw) 27% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.4%	16.3%	11.5%	5.0%	1.6%
1	8.0%	13.9%	7.9%	3.4%	1.1%
2	3.3%	4.3%	2.7%	1.2%	0.4%
3	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nice	Draw	Lorient
Nice	9.8%	3.4%	1.5%
Draw	8.6%	23.2%	18.8%
Lorient	0.8%	3.7%	30.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nice vs Lorient

0 Nice Wins

2 Draws

1 Lorient Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Mar 2026	Lorient	0 - 0	Nice
22 Feb 2026	Nice	3 - 3	Lorient
30 Nov 2025	Lorient	3 - 1	Nice

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Nice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
17 May	H Metz	D	0 - 0
10 May	A Auxerre	L	2 - 1
02 May	H Lens	D	1 - 1
26 Apr	A Marseille	D	1 - 1

Lorient — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	A Guingamp	W	0 - 2
11 Jul	A Concarneau	W	1 - 2
17 May	H Le Havre	L	0 - 2
10 May	A Metz	W	0 - 4
02 May	A Paris Saint Germain	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.