Nice vs Lorient Prognose

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1
FT
Post on X
Allianz Riviera, Nice
KI-Tipp Nice oder Unentschieden
41%
31%
29%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Nice vs. Lorient Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Nice eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 41%, für Lorient 29% und für ein Unentschieden 31%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Aug 2026, 03:00.

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Match Report

Nice and Lorient played out a goalless draw in this Ligue 1 opener, a result that defied the pre-match expectations of both sides despite a relatively engaging contest at the Allianz Riviera.

Nice dominated possession with 64% of the ball and forced seven corners, yet their final product was poor — managing just one shot on target from 11 attempts. Lorient were more economical with their limited opportunities, registering two shots on goal from seven total, and their expected goals figure of 0.87 nearly matched Nice's 0.92, reflecting how evenly matched the sides were in terms of genuine threat. A yellow card on 37 minutes added some edge to proceedings, while both managers turned to their benches heavily in the second half, with the likes of Gabin Bernardeau, Théo Le Bris, Jonathan Clauss, and Sofiane Diop all introduced in search of a breakthrough that never came.

Our AI model had rated a Nice win as the most likely outcome at 41%, a call that ultimately did not hold as Lorient held firm for a hard-earned point on the road.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card
37'
HT 0–0
⇄ Mohamed-Ali Cho
60'
69'
Gabin Bernardeau ⇄ Souleymane Faye
70'
⇄ Aiyegun Tosin
72'
72'
Théo Le Bris ⇄ Panos Katseris
Jonathan Clauss
81'
Sofiane Diop
81'
⇄ Mohamed Abdelmonem
88'
FT 0–0
Nice

Match Stats

Lorient
64% Ball Possession 36%
0.92 Expected Goals (xG) 0.87
11 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
512 Total passes 290
451 Passes accurate 245
88% Passes % 84%
0.23 goals_prevented 0.23
Nice
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
33 Antoine Mendy D 7.6 69' 1 90 (81%) 5
7 Gauthier Hein F 7.3 69' 69 (61%)
26 Melvin Bard M 7.3 69' 1 26 (22%)
10 Sofiane Diop F 7.2 69' 1 34 (23%) 1
35 Xavier Mandza D 7.2 69' 67 (63%) 1
92 Jonathan Clauss M 7.0 69' 3 43 (37%) 3
55 Youssouf Ndayishimiye D 6.9 69' 82 (77%) 1
25 Mohamed-Ali Cho F 6.7 9' 6 (5%)
23 Yehvann Diouf G 6.6 69' 25 (20%)
87 Everton Pereira M 6.6 69' 24 (23%) 1
39 Djibril Coulibaly M 6.3 69' 31 (26%) 1
44 Zoumana Diallo F 6.2 60' 1 15 (13%)
Lorient
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
38 Yvon Mvogo G 7.2 69' 34 (24%)
32 Nathaniel Adjei D 7.2 69' 38 (38%) 1
33 Gabin Bernardeau F 7.2 69' 1 22 (15%)
20 Dembo Sylla D 7.0 69' 25 (23%) 1
11 Théo Le Bris M 6.9 69' 15 (12%) 1
8 Noah Cadiou M 6.9 69' 1 31 (28%)
62 Arthur Avom Ebong M 6.9 69' 22 (19%) 1
3 Montassar Talbi D 6.6 69' 46 (39%)
17 Jean-Victor Makengo F 6.3 69' 3 25 (22%) 1
42 Mamadou Koné F 6.3 69' 14 (9%)
43 Arsène Kouassi M 6.2 69' 18 (16%) 1
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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Nice oder Unentschieden
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Nice
WLDLD
Lorient
LDWLD
Last 3 meetings Nice · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Nice will host Lorient in a Ligue 1 clash that promises to be competitive. Nice's recent form shows a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1 goal per match over the last five games, while Lorient has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.8 goals per match in the same timeframe. The midfield battle will be crucial, as both teams rely heavily on controlling possession to create scoring opportunities. If Nice can capitalize on their chances, they may edge out Lorient, who will need to improve their finishing to secure points from this match.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
41%
45%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
29%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Nice vs Lorient

0 Nice Wins
2 Draws
1 Lorient Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Mar 2026 Lorient 0 - 0 Nice
22 Feb 2026 Nice 3 - 3 Lorient
30 Nov 2025 Lorient 3 - 1 Nice
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Nice — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Lille W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Auxerre L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Le Mans D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Paris FC L 3 - 0
22 Aug H Lorient D 0 - 0

Lorient — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Le Mans L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Toulouse D 2 - 2
05 Sep A Lens W 0 - 1
29 Aug H Estac Troyes L 1 - 2
22 Aug A Nice D 0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Nice

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: O. Pantaloni
23 Diouf
35 Mandza
55 Ndayishimiye
33 Mendy
26 Bard
87 Pereira
39 Coulibaly
92 Clauss
10 Diop
7 Hein
44 Diallo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Yehvann Diouf G
33 Antoine Mendy D
55 Youssouf Ndayishimiye D
35 Xavier Mandza D
92 Jonathan Clauss M
39 Djibril Coulibaly M
87 Everton Pereira M
26 Melvin Bard M
7 Gauthier Hein F
10 Sofiane Diop F
44 Zoumana Diallo F

Substitutes

25 Mohamed Ali Cho F
77 Teddy Boulhendi G
84 Hamza Koutoune D
36 Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga D
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem D
29 Nathan N'Goumou F
38 Aboulaye Camara M
22 Issiaga Camara M
21 Isak Jansson F

Lorient

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: A. Dujeux
38 Mvogo
32 Adjei
3 Talbi
20 Sylla
43 Kouassi
62 Ebong
8 Cadiou
11 Bris
17 Makengo
33 Bernardeau
42 Koné

Starting XI

# Player Pos
38 Yvon Mvogo G
20 Dembo Sylla D
3 Montassar Talbi D
32 Nathaniel Adjei D
11 Théo Le Bris M
8 Noah Cadiou M
62 Arthur Avom Ebong M
43 Arsène Kouassi M
33 Gabin Bernardeau F
17 Jean Victor Makengo F
42 Mamadou Koné F

Substitutes

19 Souleymane Faye F
21 Bingourou Kamara G
95 Isaak Touré D
2 Alec Georgen D
72 Noah Mbamba M
23 Daniel Semedo M
77 Panos Katseris D
7 Bandiougou Fadiga M
15 Aiyegun Tosin F

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