Parma vs Genoa Predicție
Predicție Parma vs Genoa: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 32% pentru victoria lui Parma, 35% pentru Genoa și 33% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 20 Sep 2026, 15:00.
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Match Report
Parma claimed a hard-fought 2–1 Serie A victory over Genoa, with the decisive action coming in the second half after a tight opening period. David Romero broke the deadlock in the 38th minute to send the hosts into the interval with a slender advantage, though a feisty first half also produced three yellow cards shared between both sides.
Genoa levelled through Milutin Osmajić on 70 minutes, briefly threatening to overturn a Parma side that had dominated possession at 58% and created the clearer chances throughout. However, Pontus Almqvist restored Parma's lead just ten minutes later, proving to be the decisive moment of the contest. The home side's expected goals figure of 0.76 against Genoa's 0.32 reflected their overall control, with Parma also outperforming their visitors in shots on goal by five to two.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Genoa win as the most likely outcome at 35%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark. A lively closing spell saw five more yellow cards distributed across both teams, capping a combative afternoon in which Parma's greater creativity proved the difference.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Parma
Match Stats
Parma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Edoardo Corvi G | 7.3 | 96' | – | – | – | 41 (21%) | – |
| 11 Pontus Almqvist F | 7.3 | 39' | 1 | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 9 David Romero F | 7.2 | 57' | 1 | – | 1 | 6 (3%) | – |
| 16 Mandela Keita M | 7.2 | 96' | – | – | – | 30 (28%) | 1 |
| 23 Nesta Elphege F | 7.0 | 39' | – | 1 | – | 11 (11%) | – |
| 34 Diego Carlos D | 7.0 | 81' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 3 |
| 27 Sascha Britschgi D | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 32 Christian Ordoñez M | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 15 Enrico Delprato M | 6.7 | 96' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | – |
| 14 Emanuele Valeri M | 6.6 | 96' | – | – | – | 19 (12%) | – |
| 19 El Bilal Touré F | 6.6 | 57' | – | 1 | 1 | 9 (7%) | 2 |
| 37 Mariano Troilo D | 6.5 | 96' | – | – | – | 47 (40%) | – |
| 80 Giovanni Fabbian M | 6.3 | 29' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 76 Simone Lontani F | 6.2 | 67' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | 2 |
| 4 Vincent Sierro M | 6.0 | 81' | – | – | – | 32 (28%) | – |
| 72 Dominik Drobnic D | 5.6 | 96' | – | – | – | 40 (31%) | – |
Genoa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Junior Messias F | 7.6 | 85' | – | – | 3 | 22 (17%) | 6 |
| 9 Vitinha F | 7.5 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | 2 |
| 18 Milutin Osmajić F | 7.3 | 96' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 5 Leo Østigård D | 7.2 | 96' | – | – | 2 | 52 (49%) | 3 |
| 92 Stephan El Shaarawy F | 6.9 | 36' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | 3 |
| 25 Hamed Junior Traorè M | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | – |
| 97 Djibril Sow M | 6.7 | 85' | – | – | – | 47 (46%) | 1 |
| 32 Morten Frendrup M | 6.6 | 96' | – | – | – | 50 (44%) | 2 |
| 8 Tommaso Baldanzi F | 6.6 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 26 (21%) | 1 |
| 77 Mikael Ellertsson M | 6.5 | 96' | – | – | – | 24 (17%) | 2 |
| 27 Alessandro Marcandalli D | 6.5 | 96' | – | – | – | 54 (44%) | 1 |
| 29 Lorenzo Colombo F | 6.5 | 27' | – | 1 | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 3 Kingsley Ehizibue M | 6.5 | 60' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | – |
| 34 Sebastian Otoa D | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | – | 35 (32%) | 3 |
| 31 David Puczka D | 6.2 | 36' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | 1 |
| 1 Justin Bijlow G | 5.7 | 96' | – | – | – | 29 (17%) | – |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Min 82: Parma leads 2-1. Win probability: 91.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 8.6%.
Late goal makes it 2-1! Parma win probability: 88.8%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 23.4%.
Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 72.3%. Late goal chance: 30.4%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 66%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Half-time: 1-0. Parma leads. Win probability: 72.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 65.4%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Parma vs Genoa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Parma | 0 - 0 | Genoa |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Genoa | 0 - 0 | Parma |
| 12 Jan 2025 | Genoa | 1 - 0 | Parma |
Parma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Genoa | W | 2 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | A Como | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Monza | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Sep | H Cremonese | L | 0 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | A Juventus | L | 2 - 0 |
Genoa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Parma | L | 2 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Sudtirol | W | 1 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Frosinone | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | H Como | L | 1 - 4 |
| 30 Aug | A Lazio | L | 1 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Genoa
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Daniele De Rossi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Bijlow | G |
| 27 | Alessandro Marcandalli | D |
| 5 | Leo Østigård | D |
| 34 | Sebastian Otoa | D |
| 3 | Kingsley Ehizibue | M |
| 32 | Morten Frendrup | M |
| 97 | Djibril Sow | M |
| 77 | Mikael Ellertsson | M |
| 10 | Junior Messias | F |
| 8 | Tommaso Baldanzi | F |
| 18 | Milutin Osmajić | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | David Puczka | D |
| 92 | Stephan El Shaarawy | F |
| 29 | Lorenzo Colombo | F |
| 99 | Franz Stolz | G |
| 39 | Daniele Sommariva | G |
| 2 | Mario Mitaj | D |
| 16 | Cody Drameh | D |
| 4 | Alexsandro Amorim | M |
| 71 | Samuel Wiafe | M |
| 11 | Franz-Ethan Meichtry | M |
| 25 | Hamed Junior Traorè | M |
| 20 | Stefano Sabelli | D |
| 9 | Vitinha | F |
Parma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Carlos Cuesta
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Edoardo Corvi | G |
| 34 | Diego Carlos | D |
| 37 | Mariano Troilo | D |
| 72 | Dominik Drobnic | D |
| 15 | Enrico Delprato | M |
| 4 | Vincent Sierro | M |
| 16 | Mandela Keita | M |
| 14 | Emanuele Valeri | M |
| 76 | Simone Lontani | F |
| 19 | El Bilal Touré | F |
| 9 | David Romero | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | Nesta Elphege | F |
| 11 | Pontus Almqvist | F |
| 80 | Giovanni Fabbian | M |
| 30 | Giovanni Daffara | G |
| 22 | Simone Ghidotti | G |
| 27 | Sascha Britschgi | D |
| 3 | Abdoulaye Ndiaye | D |
| 47 | Abdou-Salam Konate | M |
| 32 | Christian Ordoñez | M |
| 8 | Benjamin Cremaschi | M |
| 29 | Franco Carboni | D |
| 7 | Ousmane Diallo | F |
| 20 | Matija Frigan | F |