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Parma vs Genoa Parashikim

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Parma

Parma

Home
2 : 1
HT 1 - 0
Genoa

Genoa

Away
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Parashikim AI Genoa ose barazim
32%
33%
35%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Parma vs Genoa: Sportiko i jep Parma 32% probabilitet fitese, Genoa 35% dhe barazimit 33%. Përditësuar së fundmi 20 Sep 2026, 15:00.

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Match Report

Parma claimed a hard-fought 2–1 Serie A victory over Genoa, with the decisive action coming in the second half after a tight opening period. David Romero broke the deadlock in the 38th minute to send the hosts into the interval with a slender advantage, though a feisty first half also produced three yellow cards shared between both sides.

Genoa levelled through Milutin Osmajić on 70 minutes, briefly threatening to overturn a Parma side that had dominated possession at 58% and created the clearer chances throughout. However, Pontus Almqvist restored Parma's lead just ten minutes later, proving to be the decisive moment of the contest. The home side's expected goals figure of 0.76 against Genoa's 0.32 reflected their overall control, with Parma also outperforming their visitors in shots on goal by five to two.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Genoa win as the most likely outcome at 35%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark. A lively closing spell saw five more yellow cards distributed across both teams, capping a combative afternoon in which Parma's greater creativity proved the difference.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Dominik Drobnic  Yellow Card
9' ▮
▮ 14'
Sebastian Otoa Yellow Card
David Romero assist: El Bilal Touré
38' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 44'
Alessandro Marcandalli Yellow Card
HT 1–0
David Romero ⇄ Nesta Elphege
56' ⇄
El Bilal Touré ⇄ Pontus Almqvist
56' ⇄
⇄ 60'
Kingsley Ehizibue ⇄ Stephan El Shaarawy
⇄ 60'
Sebastian Otoa ⇄ David Puczka
Simone Lontani ⇄ Giovanni Fabbian
67' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Tommaso Baldanzi ⇄ Lorenzo Colombo
⚽ 1–1 70'
Milutin Osmajić assist: Lorenzo Colombo
Pontus Almqvist assist: Nesta Elphege
80' ⚽ 2–1
Diego Carlos ⇄ Sascha Britschgi
81' ⇄
Vincent Sierro ⇄ Christian Ordoñez
81' ⇄
Enrico Delprato Yellow Card
85' ▮
⇄ 85'
Djibril Sow ⇄ Vitinha
⇄ 85'
Junior Messias ⇄ Hamed Junior Traorè
▮ 90+2'
Mikael Ellertsson Yellow Card
Mariano Troilo Yellow Card
90+3' ▮
FT 2–1
Parma

Match Stats

Genoa
42% Ball Possession 58%
0.32 Expected Goals (xG) 0.76
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 4
3 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Corner Kicks 5
3 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
325 Total passes 439
256 Passes accurate 371
79% Passes % 85%
-1.56 goals_prevented -1.56
Parma
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
40 Edoardo Corvi G 7.3 96' – – – 41 (21%) –
11 Pontus Almqvist F 7.3 39' 1 – 1 3 (2%) –
9 David Romero F 7.2 57' 1 – 1 6 (3%) –
16 Mandela Keita M 7.2 96' – – – 30 (28%) 1
23 Nesta Elphege F 7.0 39' – 1 – 11 (11%) –
34 Diego Carlos D 7.0 81' – – – 38 (34%) 3
27 Sascha Britschgi D 6.9 15' – – – 3 (2%) 1
32 Christian Ordoñez M 6.9 15' – – 1 2 (2%) 1
15 Enrico Delprato M 6.7 96' – – – 24 (20%) –
14 Emanuele Valeri M 6.6 96' – – – 19 (12%) –
19 El Bilal Touré F 6.6 57' – 1 1 9 (7%) 2
37 Mariano Troilo D 6.5 96' – – – 47 (40%) –
80 Giovanni Fabbian M 6.3 29' – – – 7 (6%) –
76 Simone Lontani F 6.2 67' – – – 13 (9%) 2
4 Vincent Sierro M 6.0 81' – – – 32 (28%) –
72 Dominik Drobnic  D 5.6 96' – – – 40 (31%) –
Genoa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Junior Messias F 7.6 85' – – 3 22 (17%) 6
9 Vitinha F 7.5 11' – – 1 3 (3%) 2
18 Milutin Osmajić F 7.3 96' 1 – 1 7 (5%) –
5 Leo Østigård D 7.2 96' – – 2 52 (49%) 3
92 Stephan El Shaarawy F 6.9 36' – – – 21 (16%) 3
25 Hamed Junior Traorè M 6.9 11' – – – 13 (13%) –
97 Djibril Sow M 6.7 85' – – – 47 (46%) 1
32 Morten Frendrup M 6.6 96' – – – 50 (44%) 2
8 Tommaso Baldanzi F 6.6 69' – – 1 26 (21%) 1
77 Mikael Ellertsson M 6.5 96' – – – 24 (17%) 2
27 Alessandro Marcandalli D 6.5 96' – – – 54 (44%) 1
29 Lorenzo Colombo F 6.5 27' – 1 – 3 (3%) –
3 Kingsley Ehizibue M 6.5 60' – – – 29 (22%) –
34 Sebastian Otoa D 6.3 60' – – – 35 (32%) 3
31 David Puczka D 6.2 36' – – – 24 (22%) 1
1 Justin Bijlow G 5.7 96' – – – 29 (17%) –
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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Genoa ose barazim
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Parma
WLDLL
Genoa
LWDLL
Last 3 meetings Parma · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Parma will face Genoa. Parma enters the match with a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1 goal per game this season, while Genoa has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.8 goals per game. Both teams will look to capitalize on set pieces, as they rank in the top half for corner kicks earned. A key matchup will be Parma's midfield control against Genoa's counter-attacking pace. The outcome may hinge on which team can exploit the other's defensive weaknesses more effectively.

Live insights

82' time check 80% sure

Min 82: Parma leads 2-1. Win probability: 91.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 8.6%.

79' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Parma win probability: 88.8%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 23.4%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 72.3%. Late goal chance: 30.4%.

70' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 66%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Parma leads. Win probability: 72.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 65.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Parma vs Genoa

0 Parma Wins
2 Draws
1 Genoa Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Jan 2026 Parma 0 - 0 Genoa
19 Oct 2025 Genoa 0 - 0 Parma
12 Jan 2025 Genoa 1 - 0 Parma
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Parma — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Genoa W 2 - 1
14 Sep A Como L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Monza D 1 - 1
01 Sep H Cremonese L 0 - 2
29 Aug A Juventus L 2 - 0

Genoa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Parma L 2 - 1
15 Sep H Sudtirol W 1 - 0
12 Sep H Frosinone D 1 - 1
04 Sep H Como L 1 - 4
30 Aug A Lazio L 1 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Genoa

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Daniele De Rossi
1 Bijlow
34 Otoa
5 Østigård
27 Marcandalli
77 Ellertsson
97 Sow
32 Frendrup
3 Ehizibue
8 Baldanzi
10 Messias
18 Osmajić

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Justin Bijlow G
27 Alessandro Marcandalli D
5 Leo Østigård D
34 Sebastian Otoa D
3 Kingsley Ehizibue M
32 Morten Frendrup M
97 Djibril Sow M
77 Mikael Ellertsson M
10 Junior Messias F
8 Tommaso Baldanzi F
18 Milutin Osmajić F

Substitutes

31 David Puczka D
92 Stephan El Shaarawy F
29 Lorenzo Colombo F
99 Franz Stolz G
39 Daniele Sommariva G
2 Mario Mitaj D
16 Cody Drameh D
4 Alexsandro Amorim M
71 Samuel Wiafe M
11 Franz-Ethan Meichtry M
25 Hamed Junior Traorè M
20 Stefano Sabelli D
9 Vitinha F

Parma

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Carlos Cuesta
40 Corvi
72 Drobnic
37 Troilo
34 Carlos
14 Valeri
16 Keita
4 Sierro
15 Delprato
19 Touré
76 Lontani
9 Romero

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 Edoardo Corvi G
34 Diego Carlos D
37 Mariano Troilo D
72 Dominik Drobnic D
15 Enrico Delprato M
4 Vincent Sierro M
16 Mandela Keita M
14 Emanuele Valeri M
76 Simone Lontani F
19 El Bilal Touré F
9 David Romero F

Substitutes

23 Nesta Elphege F
11 Pontus Almqvist F
80 Giovanni Fabbian M
30 Giovanni Daffara G
22 Simone Ghidotti G
27 Sascha Britschgi D
3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye D
47 Abdou-Salam Konate M
32 Christian Ordoñez M
8 Benjamin Cremaschi M
29 Franco Carboni D
7 Ousmane Diallo F
20 Matija Frigan F

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