Athletic Club vs Elche Predicție

La Liga · Regular Season - 5

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Elche

Away

Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Athletic Club

64%

22%

14%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Athletic Club vs Elche: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 64% pentru victoria lui Athletic Club, 14% pentru Elche și 22% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 12 Sep 2026, 18:26.

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Match Report

Athletic Club dominated possession throughout but were made to wait for their breakthrough in a goalless first half. Elche struck against the run of play six minutes after the restart, Facundo Buonanotte converting from the penalty spot to give the visitors a surprise lead despite Athletic controlling 66% of the ball and generating 19 total shots to Elche's three across the ninety minutes.

The hosts responded through a flurry of substitutions and sustained pressure, and Iñaki Williams restored parity with a 79th-minute equaliser before being withdrawn just two minutes later. The closing stages grew heated, with five yellow cards distributed across both sides in the final ten minutes, including bookings for Álex Berenguer and Beñat Gerenabarrena in the same minute.

The draw ultimately denied Athletic the victory that their territorial dominance — seven corners to one, three shots on target against Elche's single effort — appeared to merit. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Athletic Club win as the most likely outcome at 64%, a call that came close but was ultimately denied by Buonanotte's early second-half penalty.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 50'

Facundo Buonanotte Penalty

▮ 56'

Federico Redondo Yellow Card

Jesús Areso ⇄ Johaneko Louis Jean

65' ⇄

Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta ⇄ Mikel Jauregizar

65' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Fernando Niño ⇄ Abiel Osorio

⇄ 69'

Facundo Buonanotte ⇄ Thomas Lemar

Robert Navarro ⇄ Álex Berenguer

72' ⇄

▮ 75'

Abiel Osorio Yellow Card

⇄ 76'

Tete Morente ⇄ Rubén Sánchez

Iñaki Williams assist: Álex Berenguer

79' ⚽ 1–1

Álex Berenguer Yellow Card

81' ▮

Beñat Gerenabarrena Yellow Card

81' ▮

Iñaki Williams ⇄ Maroan Sannadi

81' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Germán Valera ⇄ Lucas Cepeda

⇄ 83'

Gonzalo Villar ⇄ Martim Neto

▮ 90+6'

Rubén Sánchez Yellow Card

Yuri Berchiche Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

FT 1–1

Athletic Club

Match Stats

Elche

66% Ball Possession 34%

19 Total Shots 3

3 Shots on Goal 1

13 Shots off Goal 2

3 Blocked Shots 0

14 Shots insidebox 1

5 Shots outsidebox 2

7 Corner Kicks 1

4 Offsides 2

11 Fouls 12

3 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

609 Total passes 318

539 Passes accurate 247

12 Free Kicks 11

Athletic Club

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Iñaki Williams F	7.6	81'	1	–	4	7 (1%)	1
17 Yuri Berchiche D	7.2	90'	–	–	4	81 (76%)	2
8 Oihan Sancet M	7.2	90'	–	–	4	30 (27%)	–
10 Nico Williams M	7.1	90'	–	–	3	41 (34%)	1
5 Yeray Álvarez D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	109 (101%)	3
14 Aymeric Laporte D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	117 (110%)	–
23 Robert Navarro M	6.9	72'	–	–	1	22 (19%)	–
7 Álex Berenguer F	6.8	18'	–	1	–	8 (7%)	–
18 Mikel Jauregizar M	6.7	25'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	1
31 Johaneko Louis Jean D	6.6	25'	–	–	–	15 (15%)	1
16 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta M	6.5	65'	–	–	1	44 (35%)	–
12 Jesús Areso D	6.5	65'	–	–	–	31 (25%)	3
1 Unai Simón G	6.4	90'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	–
24 Beñat Gerenabarrena M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	47 (40%)	1
21 Maroan Sannadi F	6.1	9'	–	–	2	1	–

Elche

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Federico Redondo D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	40 (39%)	6
3 Roy Revivo D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	30 (23%)	1
2 Buba Sangare D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	2
10 Facundo Buonanotte M	6.8	69'	1	–	1	14 (8%)	2
47 Javi Morcillo M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	20 (19%)	4
23 Víctor Chust D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	41 (33%)	–
12 Gonzalo Villar M	6.6	83'	–	–	–	38 (33%)	2
21 Lucas Cepeda F	6.5	8'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
18 Thomas Lemar M	6.4	21'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
16 Martim Neto M	6.4	7'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
11 Germán Valera M	6.3	82'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	–
14 Fernando Niño F	6.3	69'	–	–	–	19 (12%)	2
20 Tete Morente M	6.2	76'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	1
1 Matías Dituro G	6.1	90'	–	–	–	46 (26%)	–
22 Rubén Sánchez D	6.0	14'	–	–	1	2 (2%)	–
24 Abiel Osorio F	5.9	21'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Analiza noastră

Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Athletic Club

Most likely score

1:1 · 12%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Athletic Club

DDWWL

Elche

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Athletic Club · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Athletic Club will face Elche in a La Liga matchup on September 13, 2026. Athletic Club has historically performed well at home, leveraging their strong defense, which has allowed only 1.2 goals per game this season. Elche, on the other hand, struggles offensively, averaging just 0.8 goals per match. The key for Athletic will be to maintain their high pressing and capitalize on Elche's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a tactical battle, with Athletic likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

64%

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

14%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Elche goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	11	12	5	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Athletic Club goals · most likely 1–1 (12.0%)

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Players in form

Athletic Club

No scorer data.

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

22%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

22%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	4.3%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
1	11.0%	12.0%	4.6%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.6%	9.9%	4.3%	1.2%	0.3%
3	7.2%	6.2%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
4	3.4%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Athletic Club	Draw	Elche
Athletic Club	38.3%	3.7%	1.1%
Draw	20.1%	15.8%	6.7%
Elche	2.5%	3.5%	8.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Athletic Club vs Elche

1 Athletic Club Wins

1 Draws

1 Elche Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Feb 2026	Athletic Club	2 - 1	Elche
19 Oct 2025	Elche	0 - 0	Athletic Club
28 May 2023	Athletic Club	0 - 1	Elche

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Athletic Club — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Alaves	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Elche	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Celta Vigo	W	0 - 2
27 Aug	A Barcelona	L	2 - 0

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Athletic Club

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: E. Terzić

1 Simón

17 Yuri

14 Laporte

5 Yeray

12 Areso

24 Gerenabarrena

16 Galarreta

10 Williams

8 Sancet

23 Navarro

9 Williams

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Unai Simón	G
12	Jesús Areso	D
5	Yeray	D
14	Aymeric Laporte	D
17	Yuri	D
16	Ruíz de Galarreta	M
24	Beñat Gerenabarrena	M
23	Robert Navarro	M
8	Oihan Sancet	M
10	Nico Williams	M
9	I. Williams	F

Substitutes

25	Álvaro Djaló	F
7	Álex Berenguer	F
18	Mikel Jauregizar	M
31	J. Louis-Jean	D
30	Iker Monreal	D
13	Álex Padilla	G
4	Aitor Paredes	D
6	Beñat Prados	M
20	Alejandro Rego	M
15	Hugo Rincón	D
21	Maroan Sannadi	F
22	Nico Serrano	F

Elche

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: M. Anselmi

1 Dituro

3 Revivo

23 Chust

5 Redondo

2 Sangaré

20 Morente

12 Villar

47 Morcillo

11 Valera

10 Buonanotte

14 Niño

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	M. Dituro	G
2	Buba Sangaré	D
5	F. Redondo	D
23	Víctor Chust	D
3	R. Revivo	D
11	Germán Valera	M
47	J. Morcillo	M
12	Gonzalo Villar	M
20	Tete Morente	M
10	F. Buonanotte	M
14	Fer Niño	F

Substitutes

6	Bigas	D
8	Marc Aguado	M
22	Rubén Sánchez	D
9	E. Ponce	F
24	A. Osorio	F
16	Martim Neto	M
21	L. Cepeda	F
18	T. Lemar	M
17	Josan	M
13	Alejandro Iturbe	G
19	G. Diangana	F
26	Matia Barzic Gutiérrez	D