Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart Previsão

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1
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Chamada de IA Bayern München para vencer ou empatar
72%
16%
12%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Bayern München x VfB Stuttgart: O Sportiko estima 72% de probabilidade de vitória para o Bayern München, 12% para o VfB Stuttgart e 16% de empate. Atualizado 28 Aug 2026, 20:26.

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
  • Home 2H Over 0.5 72%
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Match Report

Bayern München opened the scoring through Dayot Upamecano in the 21st minute, the defender converting to give the hosts a 1–0 lead at half-time. Stuttgart had shown enough to suggest they could stay in the contest, but the second half told a very different story.

The match's pivotal sequence came in a frantic ten-minute spell after the break. Josha Vagnoman equalised for Stuttgart in the 52nd minute, only for Michael Olise to restore Bayern's lead three minutes later. Vagnoman then turned the ball into his own net in the 57th minute, and although Olise had a goal disallowed for offside shortly after, Bayern's dominance was reflected in their 59% possession and 3.93 expected goals — figures that underlined their overall control. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bayern win at 72%, a call that proved well-founded.

Aleksandar Pavlović made it 4–1 in the 82nd minute before Luis Díaz added a fifth deep into stoppage time, completing a commanding victory for the hosts and setting a strong early tone for their Bundesliga campaign.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Dayot Upamecano assist: Joshua Kimmich
21' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
⚽ 1–1 52'
Josha Vagnoman
Michael Olise assist: Joshua Kimmich
55' ⚽ 2–1
Josha Vagnoman Own Goal
57' ⚽ 3–1
Nathaniel Brown ⇄ Ismael Saibari
61' ⇄
▮ 62'
Jeff Chabot Yellow Card
⇄ 62'
Tiago Tomás ⇄ Jamie Leweling
⇄ 63'
Dženan Pejčinović ⇄ Ermedin Demirović
Michael Olise Goal Disallowed - offside
63' 🖵
▮ 68'
Finn Jeltsch Yellow Card
Alphonso Davies ⇄ Josip Stanišić
74' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Deniz Undav ⇄ Leonidas Stergiou
⇄ 74'
Jeff Chabot ⇄ Bilal El Khannouss
Kim Min-jae Yellow Card
81' ▮
Aleksandar Pavlović assist: Ismael Saibari
82' ⚽ 4–1
Harry Kane ⇄ Lennart Karl
84' ⇄
Kim Min-jae ⇄ Jonathan Tah
84' ⇄
Aleksandar Pavlović ⇄ Tom Bischof
84' ⇄
⇄ 88'
Angelo Stiller ⇄ Chema Andrés
Luis Díaz assist: Ismael Saibari
90+2' ⚽ 5–1
▮ 90+3'
Grischa Prömel Yellow Card
FT 5–1
Bayern München

Match Stats

VfB Stuttgart
59% Ball Possession 41%
3.93 Expected Goals (xG) 0.86
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 4
14 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 4
9 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
537 Total passes 366
438 Passes accurate 278
82% Passes % 76%
0.91 goals_prevented 0.91
Bayern München
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Joshua Kimmich M 8.9 92' – 2 – 63 (55%) 2
45 Aleksandar Pavlović M 8.3 84' 1 – 2 66 (54%) –
2 Dayot Upamecano D 8.0 92' 1 – 1 61 (53%) 1
34 Ismael Saibari M 7.7 31' – 1 1 12 (10%) –
17 Michael Olise M 7.7 92' 1 – 5 41 (35%) –
19 Alphonso Davies D 7.5 74' – – – 44 (35%) –
1 Manuel Neuer G 7.5 92' – – – 47 (30%) –
3 Kim Min-jae D 7.2 84' – – – 39 (34%) –
9 Harry Kane F 7.0 84' – – – 25 (17%) –
14 Luis Díaz M 6.9 92' 1 – 4 45 (37%) –
4 Jonathan Tah D 6.7 8' – – – 5 (5%) –
44 Josip Stanišić D 6.7 18' – – – 15 (13%) –
8 Tom Bischof M 6.7 8' – – – 7 (7%) –
27 Konrad Laimer D 6.5 92' – – 1 42 (34%) 2
42 Lennart Karl M 6.5 8' – – – 3 (2%) –
11 Nathaniel Brown M 6.3 61' – – 1 15 (13%) –
VfB Stuttgart
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Fabian Bredlow G 7.6 92' – – – 41 (21%) –
4 Josha Vagnoman M 7.2 92' 1 – 1 19 (17%) 1
7 Maximilian Mittelstädt M 7.2 92' – – – 38 (27%) 3
11 Bilal El Khannouss M 7.0 18' – – – 10 (8%) 2
18 Jamie Leweling F 6.9 30' – – – 7 (7%) 1
9 Ermedin Demirović F 6.3 29' – – 1 5 (3%) –
8 Tiago Tomás F 6.3 62' – – 2 22 (14%) 1
6 Angelo Stiller M 6.2 88' – – – 43 (38%) 2
29 Finn Jeltsch D 6.2 92' – – – 27 (23%) 3
3 Ramon Hendriks D 6.2 92' – – – 47 (41%) 1
21 Grischa Prömel M 6.2 92' – – 1 28 (22%) –
24 Jeff Chabot D 6.2 74' – – 1 26 (23%) 3
17 Dženan Pejčinović F 6.2 63' – – 1 21 (13%) –
26 Deniz Undav F 6.0 74' – – – 19 (11%) 1
20 Leonidas Stergiou D 5.9 18' – – – 7 (6%) –
30 Chema Andrés M — 4' – – – 2 (2%) –
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Confidence High (72%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Bayern München para vencer ou empatar
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Bayern München
WWWDW
VfB Stuttgart
LLWWL
Last 3 meetings Bayern München · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Bayern München enters this match against VfB Stuttgart with a strong attacking record, averaging 2.5 goals per game in the last season. Their high possession style, typically around 70%, allows them to control the pace and create numerous scoring opportunities. Stuttgart, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game last season. If Bayern can exploit Stuttgart's defensive vulnerabilities and maintain their offensive momentum, they are likely to secure a dominant win. However, Stuttgart's counter-attacking capabilities could pose a threat if they can capitalize on any defensive lapses.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bayern München
M. Olise 4 gls
H. Kane 3 gls
VfB Stuttgart
J. Vagnoman 2 gls

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Head to Head: Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart

3 Bayern München Wins
0 Draws
0 VfB Stuttgart Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Apr 2026 Bayern München 4 - 2 VfB Stuttgart
06 Dec 2025 VfB Stuttgart 0 - 5 Bayern München
28 Feb 2025 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 3 Bayern München
Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Bayern München — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Union Berlin W 7 - 0
13 Sep A SV Elversberg W 1 - 2
10 Sep H Bodo/Glimt W 5 - 0
05 Sep A FC Schalke 04 D 0 - 0
02 Sep A VfL Osnabrück W 1 - 4

VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Borussia Dortmund L 0 - 1
12 Sep A 1899 Hoffenheim L 2 - 1
09 Sep H Viking W 3 - 1
04 Sep H 1. FC Köln W 4 - 1
28 Aug A Bayern München L 5 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund
4 4 0 0 +7 12
2
Bayern München
4 3 1 0 +12 10
3
SC Freiburg
4 3 1 0 +9 10
4
FC Augsburg
4 2 1 1 +5 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 1 1 +5 7
6
FSV Mainz 05
4 2 1 1 +4 7
7
SV Elversberg
4 2 1 1 +1 7
8
Werder Bremen
4 2 1 1 0 7
9
RB Leipzig
4 2 0 2 +4 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 2 1 -1 5
11
FC Schalke 04
4 1 2 1 -1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07
4 1 1 2 -2 4
13
1. FC Köln
4 1 1 2 -3 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 0 3 -3 3
15
VfB Stuttgart
4 1 0 3 -3 3
16
Hamburger SV
4 1 0 3 -11 3
17
Union Berlin
4 0 1 3 -13 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Bayern München

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: V. Kompany
1 Neuer
19 Davies
3 Min-jae
2 Upamecano
27 Laimer
45 Pavlović
6 Kimmich
14 Díaz
11 Brown
17 Olise
9 Kane

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Manuel Neuer G
27 Konrad Laimer D
2 Dayot Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-jae D
19 Alphonso Davies D
6 Joshua Kimmich M
45 Aleksandar Pavlović M
17 Michael Olise M
11 Nathaniel Brown M
14 Luis Díaz M
9 Harry Kane F

Substitutes

40 Jonas Urbig G
4 Jonathan Tah D
44 Josip Stanišić D
21 Hiroki Itō D
39 Bara Sapoko Ndiaye M
42 Lennart Karl M
8 Tom Bischof M
22 Arijon Ibrahimović M
34 Ismael Saibari M

VfB Stuttgart

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: S. Hoeneb
1 Bredlow
3 Hendriks
24 Chabot
29 Jeltsch
7 Mittelstädt
6 Stiller
21 Prömel
4 Vagnoman
26 Undav
17 Pejčinović
8 Tomás

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Fabian Bredlow G
29 Finn Jeltsch D
24 Jeff Chabot D
3 Ramon Hendriks D
4 Josha Vagnoman M
21 Grischa Prömel M
6 Angelo Stiller M
7 Maximilian Mittelstädt M
17 Dženan Pejčinović F
26 Deniz Undav F
8 Tiago Tomás F

Substitutes

33 Marius Funk G
20 Leonidas Stergiou D
2 Ameen Al-Dakhil D
18 Jamie Leweling F
27 Badredine Bouanani F
16 Atakan Karazor M
30 Chema Andrés M
11 Bilal El Khannouss M
9 Ermedin Demirović F

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