Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

28 Aug 2026, 18:30

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VfB Stuttgart

Away

KI-Tipp Bayern München gewinnt

65%

21%

14%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart prediction: Sportiko gives Bayern München a 65% chance of winning, VfB Stuttgart 14% and the draw 21%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:1 · 10%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

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Bayern München

WLWWD

VfB Stuttgart

WWWWD

Last 3 meetings Bayern München · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Bayern München enters this match against VfB Stuttgart with a strong attacking record, averaging 2.5 goals per game in the last season. Their high possession style, typically around 70%, allows them to control the pace and create numerous scoring opportunities. Stuttgart, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game last season. If Bayern can exploit Stuttgart's defensive vulnerabilities and maintain their offensive momentum, they are likely to secure a dominant win. However, Stuttgart's counter-attacking capabilities could pose a threat if they can capitalize on any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

VfB Stuttgart goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	5	3	2	1
1	7	10	4	1
2	10	10	5	2
3	8	8	4	1
4	5	5	2	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Bayern München goals · most likely 2–1 (10.0%)

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

21%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

78%

4.5

22%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

21%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

82% Home (No Draw) 18% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

65% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

78%

4.5

22%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

21%

23%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	2.5%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
1	7.3%	9.6%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
2	9.9%	10.0%	5.1%	1.7%	0.4%
3	7.8%	7.9%	4.0%	1.3%	0.3%
4	4.6%	4.6%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

31%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

72%

2.5

28%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

28%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bayern München	Draw	VfB Stuttgart
Bayern München	44.4%	3.6%	1.2%
Draw	19.5%	11.9%	5.4%
VfB Stuttgart	3.1%	3.5%	7.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

33%

1.5

67%

60%

2.5

40%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

21%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart

3 Bayern München Wins

0 Draws

0 VfB Stuttgart Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2026	Bayern München	4 - 2	VfB Stuttgart
06 Dec 2025	VfB Stuttgart	0 - 5	Bayern München
28 Feb 2025	VfB Stuttgart	1 - 3	Bayern München

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Bayern München — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Aston Villa	W	2 - 1
25 Jul	A SV Wehen	L	2 - 1
16 May	H 1. FC Köln	W	5 - 1
09 May	A VfL Wolfsburg	W	0 - 1
02 May	H 1. FC Heidenheim	D	3 - 3

VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Paris FC	W	2 - 1
29 Jul	A Kickers Offenbach	W	1 - 8
25 Jul	A Hollenbach	W	0 - 5
19 Jul	A Balingen	W	0 - 7
16 May	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Borussia Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	1899 Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FSV Mainz 05	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	1. FC Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	FC Schalke 04	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	SV Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	SC Paderborn 07	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.