Elche vs Celta Vigo Previsão

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 8
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Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), Elche
Chamada de IA Celta Vigo ou empate
32%
30%
38%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Elche x Celta Vigo: O Sportiko estima 32% de probabilidade de vitória para o Elche, 38% para o Celta Vigo e 30% de empate. Atualizado 11 Oct 2026, 13:52.

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  • Visitante Marca 74%
  • Mais de 1,5 Gols 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • Mandante Marca 71%
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Match Report

Elche and Celta Vigo played out a goalless draw in matchday eight of La Liga, a result that reflected a largely uneventful afternoon despite Celta's clear territorial dominance. The visitors controlled 66% of possession and registered 13 total shots to Elche's seven, yet neither side could find the net, with the scoreline remaining level from first whistle to last.

Celta's expected goals figure of 0.69 compared to Elche's 0.34 underlined the visitors' superiority, though their two shots on target proved insufficient to break down a resilient home defence. A flurry of substitutions around the hour mark — five in total from Celta alone — failed to alter the game's pattern, while Aleix Febas was booked and then withdrawn within two minutes late on as Elche managed the closing stages.

The stalemate means neither side takes maximum points from what was a tight, low-intensity contest. Notably, our pre-match AI model had rated a Celta Vigo win as the most likely outcome at 38%, and while the visitors were the better side, they could not convert that superiority into a victory.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 37'
Yoel Lago Yellow Card
HT 0–0
▮ 59'
Javier Rueda Yellow Card
Tete Morente ⇄ Abiel Osorio
59' ⇄
⇄ 60'
Pablo Durán ⇄ Borja Iglesias
⇄ 71'
Ferran Jutglà ⇄ Williot Swedberg
⇄ 71'
Hugo Álvarez ⇄ Couhaib Driouech
⇄ 71'
Javi Galán ⇄ Sergio Carreira
Gonzalo Villar ⇄ Martim Neto
71' ⇄
Fernando Niño ⇄ Lucas Cepeda
71' ⇄
▮ 81'
Aleix Febas Yellow Card
⇄ 83'
Aleix Febas ⇄ Hugo Burcio
Thomas Lemar ⇄ Facundo Buonanotte
87' ⇄
FT 0–0
Elche

Match Stats

Celta Vigo
66% Ball Possession 34%
0.69 Expected Goals (xG) 0.34
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Goal 0
7 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 2
5 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 3
19 Fouls 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
646 Total passes 322
592 Passes accurate 279
21 Free Kicks 18
Elche
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Víctor Chust D 7.5 90' – – 1 108 (99%) 3
22 Rubén Sánchez D 7.2 90' – – 2 57 (52%) 1
18 Thomas Lemar M 7.1 87' – – 2 66 (61%) 1
1 Matías Dituro G 7.0 90' – – – 67 (61%) –
47 Javi Morcillo D 6.9 90' – – – 69 (67%) 1
20 Tete Morente F 6.9 59' – – 1 19 (18%) 1
16 Martim Neto M 6.7 19' – – – 16 (14%) 1
8 Marc Aguado M 6.6 90' – – 2 45 (45%) 1
12 Gonzalo Villar M 6.6 71' – – 1 49 (48%) –
21 Lucas Cepeda F 6.6 19' – – 1 13 (10%) 1
24 Abiel Osorio F 6.5 31' – – – 8 (7%) –
11 Germán Valera D 6.4 90' – – – 42 (37%) –
14 Fernando Niño F 6.3 71' – – 1 18 (13%) 2
10 Facundo Buonanotte M 6.2 3' – – – 6 (6%) –
3 Roy Revivo D 6.1 90' – – 1 50 (42%) –
Celta Vigo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Ionuț Radu G 7.1 90' – – – 22 (15%) 1
15 Alvaro Núñez D 7.0 90' – – 2 46 (40%) 2
3 Marcos Alonso D 6.9 90' – – – 57 (51%) 2
19 Williot Swedberg F 6.9 19' – – – 1 (1%) –
22 Javi Galán M 6.8 71' – – – 26 (24%) 1
6 Ilaix Moriba M 6.7 90' – – – 34 (30%) 3
18 Yoel Lago D 6.7 90' – – – 37 (36%) 4
17 Javier Rueda M 6.6 90' – – 1 18 (17%) 1
7 Borja Iglesias F 6.5 30' – – – 4 (3%) –
30 Hugo Burcio M 6.5 7' – – – 3 (2%) –
5 Sergio Carreira D 6.4 19' – – – 5 (4%) 1
9 Ferran Jutglà F 6.4 71' – – 2 15 (9%) 1
24 Couhaib Driouech F 6.3 19' – – 2 3 (2%) –
23 Hugo Álvarez F 6.3 71' – – – 20 (18%) –
14 Aleix Febas M 6.2 83' – – – 23 (22%) 1
11 Pablo Durán F 6.0 60' – – – 3 (2%) –
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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Celta Vigo ou empate
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Elche
LWWDD
Celta Vigo
LLDWW
Last 3 meetings Elche · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Elche faces Celta Vigo in a La Liga clash on October 11, 2026. Elche's defense has struggled this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Celta Vigo has shown a more solid defensive record, allowing 1.2 goals per game. Offensively, Celta has a slight edge, averaging 1.4 goals per match compared to Elche's 1.1. Key players to watch include Elche's striker, who is crucial for their attack, and Celta's creative midfielder, who has been instrumental in their build-up play. This match could hinge on Elche's ability to tighten their defense against Celta's attacking threats.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
32%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
38%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Elche
Fer Niño 6 gls
Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Elche vs Celta Vigo

1 Elche Wins
0 Draws
2 Celta Vigo Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 May 2026 Celta Vigo 3 - 1 Elche
28 Sep 2025 Elche 2 - 1 Celta Vigo
26 Apr 2023 Celta Vigo 1 - 0 Elche
Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Elche — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Nov H Valencia L 0 - 1
27 Oct A Pinatar W 1 - 3
24 Oct A Rayo Vallecano W 0 - 3
17 Oct A Villarreal D 0 - 0
11 Oct H Celta Vigo D 0 - 0

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Union St. Gilloise L 1 - 2
31 Oct A Rayo Vallecano L 3 - 0
25 Oct H Real Betis D 0 - 0
22 Oct A Celtic W 1 - 2
18 Oct H Alaves W 2 - 1

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
11 10 0 1 +34 30
2
Real Madrid
12 10 0 2 +21 30
3
Atletico Madrid
11 9 1 1 +14 28
4
Real Betis
11 7 2 2 +3 23
5
Real Sociedad
11 6 1 4 0 19
6
Sevilla
12 5 3 4 -2 18
7
Athletic Club
11 4 4 3 +4 16
8
Deportivo La Coruna
12 3 6 3 +1 15
9
Racing Santander
12 4 2 6 -13 14
10
Alaves
12 3 4 5 -2 13
11
Villarreal
11 3 3 5 0 12
12
Celta Vigo
11 2 6 3 0 12
13
Espanyol
12 3 3 6 -1 12
14
Rayo Vallecano
10 3 3 4 -5 12
15
Getafe
11 3 3 5 -8 12
16
Osasuna
12 3 3 6 -11 12
17
Elche
11 2 4 5 -4 10
18
Levante
11 2 4 5 -5 10
19
Valencia
12 2 3 7 -12 9
20
Malaga
12 0 5 7 -14 5

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
13 Radu
3 Alonso
18 Lago
15 Núñez
22 Galán
14 Febas
6 Moriba
17 Rueda
23 Álvarez
11 Durán
9 Jutglà

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 I. Radu G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
18 Yoel Lago D
3 Marcos Alonso D
17 Javi Rueda M
6 I. Moriba M
14 Aleix Febas M
22 Javi Galán M
9 Ferran Jutglà F
11 Pablo Durán F
23 Hugo Álvarez F

Substitutes

19 W. Swedberg F
20 Javi Rodríguez D
7 Borja Iglesias F
16 Hugo González F
4 A. Faye D
24 C. Driouech F
21 S. Cáceres D
5 Sergio Carreira D
30 H. Burcio M
1 A. Bayındır G
10 Iago Aspas F
25 Iván Villar G

Elche

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: M. Anselmi
1 Dituro
11 Valera
3 Revivo
23 Chust
47 Morcillo
22 Sánchez
18 Lemar
8 Aguado
12 Villar
14 Niño
20 Morente

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Dituro G
22 Rubén Sánchez D
47 J. Morcillo D
23 Víctor Chust D
3 R. Revivo D
11 Germán Valera D
12 Gonzalo Villar M
8 Marc Aguado M
18 T. Lemar M
20 Tete Morente F
14 Fer Niño F

Substitutes

6 Bigas D
26 Matia Barzic Gutiérrez D
10 F. Buonanotte M
16 Martim Neto M
21 L. Cepeda F
19 G. Diangana F
17 Josan M
13 Alejandro Iturbe G
15 K. Lomónaco D
24 A. Osorio F
30 Alvaro Padilla F
9 E. Ponce F

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