Elche vs Celta Vigo Previsão

La Liga · Regular Season - 8

11 Oct 2026, 15:00

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Celta Vigo

Away

Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do Elche

61%

25%

14%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Elche x Celta Vigo: O Sportiko estima 61% de probabilidade de vitória para o Elche, 14% para o Celta Vigo e 25% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Elche

WLDLL

Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Last 3 meetings Elche · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Elche faces Celta Vigo in a La Liga clash on October 11, 2026. Elche's defense has struggled this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Celta Vigo has shown a more solid defensive record, allowing 1.2 goals per game. Offensively, Celta has a slight edge, averaging 1.4 goals per match compared to Elche's 1.1. Key players to watch include Elche's striker, who is crucial for their attack, and Celta's creative midfielder, who has been instrumental in their build-up play. This match could hinge on Elche's ability to tighten their defense against Celta's attacking threats.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celta Vigo goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	11	12	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	8	6	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Elche goals · most likely 2–0 (12.1%)

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Players in form

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

25%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

25%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

81% Home (No Draw) 19% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	4.1%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
1	11.3%	11.7%	4.3%	1.2%	0.2%
2	12.1%	9.9%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
3	7.7%	6.3%	2.6%	0.7%	0.1%
4	3.7%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Elche	Draw	Celta Vigo
Elche	39.9%	3.5%	0.9%
Draw	20.3%	15.4%	6.0%
Celta Vigo	2.5%	3.5%	7.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Elche vs Celta Vigo

1 Elche Wins

0 Draws

2 Celta Vigo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	Celta Vigo	3 - 1	Elche
28 Sep 2025	Elche	2 - 1	Celta Vigo
26 Apr 2023	Celta Vigo	1 - 0	Elche

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Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.