Mansfield Town vs Luton Prognoza

League One · Regular Season - 3

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Mansfield Town

Home

5 : 2

HT 3 - 0

Luton

Away

Typowanie AI Luton lub remis

33%

28%

39%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Mansfield Town vs Luton: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Mansfield Town na 33%, Luton na 39%, a remisu na 28%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 30 Aug 2026, 15:53.

Typy Premium

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1st Half Home or Draw 76%
Gość strzela 72%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Louis Reed Yellow Card

8' ▮

Nathan Moriah-Welsh assist: Jon Russell

17' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 26'

Isaiah Jones Yellow Card

Nathan Moriah-Welsh assist: Regan Hendry

28' ⚽ 2–0

Louis Reed assist: Nathan Moriah-Welsh

45' ⚽ 3–0

Ryan Sweeney Yellow Card

45+2' ▮

HT 3–0

⇄ 46'

Isaiah Jones ⇄ Joe Johnson

⇄ 46'

Kal Naismith ⇄ Harrison Ashby

⇄ 46'

Emilio Lawrence

Jon Russell

47' ⚽ 4–0

Ryan Sweeney ⇄ Frazer Blake-Tracy

53' ⇄

Louis Reed ⇄ Elliott Hewitt

53' ⇄

Jon Russell

56' ⚽ 5–0

⇄ 62'

Callum Marshall ⇄ Nahki Wells

⇄ 62'

Jamie Donley ⇄ Gideon Kodua

▮ 64'

Gideon Kodua Yellow Card

Jon Russell ⇄ David McGoldrick

68' ⇄

Michael Smith ⇄ Rhys Oates

68' ⇄

Kyle Knoyle Yellow Card

77' ▮

⚽ 5–1 78'

Nahki Wells Penalty

Kyle Knoyle ⇄ Luke Bolton

85' ⇄

⚽ 5–2 90+2'

Nahki Wells

Regan Hendry Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 5–2

Mansfield Town

Match Stats

Luton

43% Ball Possession 57%

1.24 Expected Goals (xG) 1.23

20 Total Shots 9

6 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 4

8 Blocked Shots 2

16 Shots insidebox 5

4 Shots outsidebox 4

4 Corner Kicks 7

1 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 13

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

316 Total passes 439

236 Passes accurate 351

75% Passes % 80%

-3.24 goals_prevented -3.24

Mansfield Town

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Jon Russell M	10.0	68'	2	1	4	21 (17%)	2
22 Nathan Moriah-Welsh M	10.0	91'	2	1	3	35 (25%)	2
24 Regan Hendry F	7.5	91'	–	1	–	37 (29%)	2
1 Liam Roberts G	7.5	91'	–	–	–	24 (17%)	–
25 Louis Reed M	7.3	53'	1	–	1	26 (22%)	–
3 Stephen McLaughlin M	7.2	91'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	–
20 Frazer Blake-Tracy D	6.7	38'	–	–	–	11 (7%)	1
23 Adedeji Oshilaja D	6.7	91'	–	–	–	30 (20%)	2
14 Michael Smith F	6.7	68'	–	–	1	22 (14%)	1
16 Liam Thompson M	6.6	91'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	2
18 Rhys Oates F	6.5	23'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
5 Ryan Sweeney D	6.3	53'	–	–	–	19 (13%)	1
17 David McGoldrick F	6.3	23'	–	–	2	6 (2%)	–
2 Kyle Knoyle D	6.2	85'	–	–	1	17 (16%)	1
4 Elliott Hewitt D	6.2	38'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
8 Luke Bolton D	—	6'	–	–	–	–	–

Luton

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Liam Walsh M	7.2	91'	–	–	–	55 (49%)	1
21 Nahki Wells F	6.9	29'	1	–	2	7 (5%)	–
6 George Johnston D	6.5	91'	–	–	–	64 (56%)	2
7 Jake Richards M	6.3	91'	–	–	1	35 (24%)	2
25 Isaiah Jones D	6.2	45'	–	–	–	23 (21%)	1
12 Joe Johnson D	6.2	46'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	–
30 Gideon Kodua F	6.2	29'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	1
9 Callum Marshall F	6.2	62'	–	–	–	11 (5%)	1
2 Hakeem Odofin D	6.0	91'	–	–	1	61 (52%)	3
31 Benedict Benagr D	6.0	46'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
11 Emilio Lawrence M	6.0	45'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
3 Kal Naismith D	5.9	45'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	–
33 Harrison Ashby D	5.9	46'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	–
45 Kasey Palmer M	5.9	91'	–	–	2	40 (29%)	1
10 Jamie Donley M	5.9	62'	–	–	–	15 (8%)	–
24 Josh Keeley G	4.6	91'	–	–	–	48 (38%)	–

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Luton lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Mansfield Town

DDLLW

Luton

WLLDW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

33%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

39%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Luton goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	10	7	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Mansfield Town goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Mansfield Town

No scorer data.

Luton

N. Wells 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

33%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

33%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

54% Away (No Draw) 46% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	9.5%	7.1%	3.0%	1.0%
1	8.6%	14.7%	8.3%	3.5%	1.1%
2	5.9%	7.6%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%
3	2.3%	2.9%	1.9%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mansfield Town	Draw	Luton
Mansfield Town	21.3%	5.6%	2.6%
Draw	10.6%	19.7%	16.0%
Luton	1.1%	3.4%	19.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mansfield Town vs Luton

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Mansfield Town — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Burton Albion	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Huddersfield	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	A Bradford	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	A Reading	L	5 - 0
30 Aug	H Luton	W	5 - 2

Luton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Ipswich Town U21	W	6 - 0
19 Sep	H Bradford	L	0 - 1
10 Sep	A Stevenage	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Leyton Orient	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	H Stockport County	W	2 - 0

League One Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	7	5	0	2	7	4	+3	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday	7	4	2	1	13	6	+7	14
3	Plymouth	7	4	1	2	14	10	+4	13
4	Huddersfield	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cambridge United	7	3	3	1	12	10	+2	12
6	Oxford United	6	3	2	1	13	7	+6	11
7	AFC Wimbledon	7	3	2	2	5	7	-2	11
8	Reading	6	3	1	2	14	7	+7	10
9	Stockport County	7	3	1	3	16	10	+6	10
10	Leyton Orient	7	3	1	3	13	9	+4	10
11	Stevenage	7	2	3	2	11	8	+3	9
12	Burton Albion	7	2	3	2	12	12	0	9
13	Leicester	7	2	3	2	9	11	-2	9
14	Wycombe	7	2	3	2	11	14	-3	9
15	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	13	13	0	8
16	Luton	7	2	2	3	12	14	-2	8
17	Mansfield Town	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
18	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	7	12	-5	8
19	Bromley	7	2	2	3	8	18	-10	8
20	Notts County	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
21	Doncaster	7	1	3	3	8	9	-1	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons	7	0	6	1	8	10	-2	6
23	Peterborough	7	1	2	4	4	12	-8	5
24	Wigan	7	1	1	5	5	12	-7	4

Luton

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Jack Wilshere

24 Keeley

3 Naismith

6 Johnston

2 Odofin

25 Jones

8 Walsh

11 Lawrence

45 Palmer

10 Donley

7 Richards

9 Marshall

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
24	Josh Keeley	G
25	Isaiah Jones	D
2	Hakeem Odofin	D
6	George Johnston	D
3	Kal Naismith	D
8	Liam Walsh	M
7	Jake Richards	M
10	Jamie Donley	M
45	Kasey Palmer	M
11	Emilio Lawrence	M
9	Callum Marshall	F

Substitutes

33	Harrison Ashby	D
12	Joe Johnson	D
31	Benedict Benagr	D
30	Gideon Kodua	F
21	Nahki Wells	F
1	James Shea	G
5	Mads Andersen	D

Mansfield Town

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: Nigel Clough

1 Roberts

5 Sweeney

23 Oshilaja

2 Knoyle

25 Reed

3 McLaughlin

16 Thompson

13 Russell

22 Moriah-Welsh

14 Smith

24 Hendry

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Liam Roberts	G
2	Kyle Knoyle	D
23	Adedeji Oshilaja	D
5	Ryan Sweeney	D
25	Louis Reed	M
22	Nathan Moriah-Welsh	M
13	Jon Russell	M
16	Liam Thompson	M
3	Stephen McLaughlin	M
24	Regan Hendry	F
14	Michael Smith	F

Substitutes

20	Frazer Blake-Tracy	D
4	Elliott Hewitt	D
17	David McGoldrick	F
18	Rhys Oates	F
39	Owen Dodgson	D
8	Luke Bolton	D
7	Lucas Akins	F