Mansfield Town vs Luton Previsione

League One · Regular Season - 3

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Mansfield Town

Home

5 : 2

HT 3 - 0

Luton

Away

Previsione AI Luton o pareggio

33%

28%

39%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Mansfield Town vs Luton: Sportiko assegna a Mansfield Town una probabilità di vittoria del 33%, a Luton del 39% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 30 Aug 2026, 15:53.

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1st Half Home or Draw 76%
Ospite a Segno 72%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Louis Reed Yellow Card

8' ▮

Nathan Moriah-Welsh assist: Jon Russell

17' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 26'

Isaiah Jones Yellow Card

Nathan Moriah-Welsh assist: Regan Hendry

28' ⚽ 2–0

Louis Reed assist: Nathan Moriah-Welsh

45' ⚽ 3–0

Ryan Sweeney Yellow Card

45+2' ▮

HT 3–0

⇄ 46'

Isaiah Jones ⇄ Joe Johnson

⇄ 46'

Kal Naismith ⇄ Harrison Ashby

⇄ 46'

Emilio Lawrence

Jon Russell

47' ⚽ 4–0

Ryan Sweeney ⇄ Frazer Blake-Tracy

53' ⇄

Louis Reed ⇄ Elliott Hewitt

53' ⇄

Jon Russell

56' ⚽ 5–0

⇄ 62'

Callum Marshall ⇄ Nahki Wells

⇄ 62'

Jamie Donley ⇄ Gideon Kodua

▮ 64'

Gideon Kodua Yellow Card

Jon Russell ⇄ David McGoldrick

68' ⇄

Michael Smith ⇄ Rhys Oates

68' ⇄

Kyle Knoyle Yellow Card

77' ▮

⚽ 5–1 78'

Nahki Wells Penalty

Kyle Knoyle ⇄ Luke Bolton

85' ⇄

⚽ 5–2 90+2'

Nahki Wells

Regan Hendry Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 5–2

Mansfield Town

Match Stats

Luton

43% Ball Possession 57%

1.24 Expected Goals (xG) 1.23

20 Total Shots 9

6 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 4

8 Blocked Shots 2

16 Shots insidebox 5

4 Shots outsidebox 4

4 Corner Kicks 7

1 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 13

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

316 Total passes 439

236 Passes accurate 351

75% Passes % 80%

-3.24 goals_prevented -3.24

Mansfield Town

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Jon Russell M	10.0	68'	2	1	4	21 (17%)	2
22 Nathan Moriah-Welsh M	10.0	91'	2	1	3	35 (25%)	2
24 Regan Hendry F	7.5	91'	–	1	–	37 (29%)	2
1 Liam Roberts G	7.5	91'	–	–	–	24 (17%)	–
25 Louis Reed M	7.3	53'	1	–	1	26 (22%)	–
3 Stephen McLaughlin M	7.2	91'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	–
20 Frazer Blake-Tracy D	6.7	38'	–	–	–	11 (7%)	1
23 Adedeji Oshilaja D	6.7	91'	–	–	–	30 (20%)	2
14 Michael Smith F	6.7	68'	–	–	1	22 (14%)	1
16 Liam Thompson M	6.6	91'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	2
18 Rhys Oates F	6.5	23'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
5 Ryan Sweeney D	6.3	53'	–	–	–	19 (13%)	1
17 David McGoldrick F	6.3	23'	–	–	2	6 (2%)	–
2 Kyle Knoyle D	6.2	85'	–	–	1	17 (16%)	1
4 Elliott Hewitt D	6.2	38'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
8 Luke Bolton D	—	6'	–	–	–	–	–

Luton

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Liam Walsh M	7.2	91'	–	–	–	55 (49%)	1
21 Nahki Wells F	6.9	29'	1	–	2	7 (5%)	–
6 George Johnston D	6.5	91'	–	–	–	64 (56%)	2
7 Jake Richards M	6.3	91'	–	–	1	35 (24%)	2
25 Isaiah Jones D	6.2	45'	–	–	–	23 (21%)	1
12 Joe Johnson D	6.2	46'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	–
30 Gideon Kodua F	6.2	29'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	1
9 Callum Marshall F	6.2	62'	–	–	–	11 (5%)	1
2 Hakeem Odofin D	6.0	91'	–	–	1	61 (52%)	3
31 Benedict Benagr D	6.0	46'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
11 Emilio Lawrence M	6.0	45'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
3 Kal Naismith D	5.9	45'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	–
33 Harrison Ashby D	5.9	46'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	–
45 Kasey Palmer M	5.9	91'	–	–	2	40 (29%)	1
10 Jamie Donley M	5.9	62'	–	–	–	15 (8%)	–
24 Josh Keeley G	4.6	91'	–	–	–	48 (38%)	–

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Luton o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Mansfield Town

DDLLW

Luton

WLLDW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

33%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

39%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Luton goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	10	7	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Mansfield Town goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Mansfield Town

No scorer data.

Luton

N. Wells 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

33%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

33%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

54% Away (No Draw) 46% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	9.5%	7.1%	3.0%	1.0%
1	8.6%	14.7%	8.3%	3.5%	1.1%
2	5.9%	7.6%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%
3	2.3%	2.9%	1.9%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mansfield Town	Draw	Luton
Mansfield Town	21.3%	5.6%	2.6%
Draw	10.6%	19.7%	16.0%
Luton	1.1%	3.4%	19.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mansfield Town vs Luton

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Mansfield Town — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Burton Albion	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Huddersfield	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	A Bradford	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	A Reading	L	5 - 0
30 Aug	H Luton	W	5 - 2

Luton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Ipswich Town U21	W	6 - 0
19 Sep	H Bradford	L	0 - 1
10 Sep	A Stevenage	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Leyton Orient	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	H Stockport County	W	2 - 0

League One Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	7	5	0	2	7	4	+3	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday	7	4	2	1	13	6	+7	14
3	Plymouth	7	4	1	2	14	10	+4	13
4	Huddersfield	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cambridge United	7	3	3	1	12	10	+2	12
6	Oxford United	6	3	2	1	13	7	+6	11
7	AFC Wimbledon	7	3	2	2	5	7	-2	11
8	Reading	6	3	1	2	14	7	+7	10
9	Stockport County	7	3	1	3	16	10	+6	10
10	Leyton Orient	7	3	1	3	13	9	+4	10
11	Stevenage	7	2	3	2	11	8	+3	9
12	Burton Albion	7	2	3	2	12	12	0	9
13	Leicester	7	2	3	2	9	11	-2	9
14	Wycombe	7	2	3	2	11	14	-3	9
15	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	13	13	0	8
16	Luton	7	2	2	3	12	14	-2	8
17	Mansfield Town	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
18	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	7	12	-5	8
19	Bromley	7	2	2	3	8	18	-10	8
20	Notts County	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
21	Doncaster	7	1	3	3	8	9	-1	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons	7	0	6	1	8	10	-2	6
23	Peterborough	7	1	2	4	4	12	-8	5
24	Wigan	7	1	1	5	5	12	-7	4

Luton

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Jack Wilshere

24 Keeley

3 Naismith

6 Johnston

2 Odofin

25 Jones

8 Walsh

11 Lawrence

45 Palmer

10 Donley

7 Richards

9 Marshall

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
24	Josh Keeley	G
25	Isaiah Jones	D
2	Hakeem Odofin	D
6	George Johnston	D
3	Kal Naismith	D
8	Liam Walsh	M
7	Jake Richards	M
10	Jamie Donley	M
45	Kasey Palmer	M
11	Emilio Lawrence	M
9	Callum Marshall	F

Substitutes

33	Harrison Ashby	D
12	Joe Johnson	D
31	Benedict Benagr	D
30	Gideon Kodua	F
21	Nahki Wells	F
1	James Shea	G
5	Mads Andersen	D

Mansfield Town

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: Nigel Clough

1 Roberts

5 Sweeney

23 Oshilaja

2 Knoyle

25 Reed

3 McLaughlin

16 Thompson

13 Russell

22 Moriah-Welsh

14 Smith

24 Hendry

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Liam Roberts	G
2	Kyle Knoyle	D
23	Adedeji Oshilaja	D
5	Ryan Sweeney	D
25	Louis Reed	M
22	Nathan Moriah-Welsh	M
13	Jon Russell	M
16	Liam Thompson	M
3	Stephen McLaughlin	M
24	Regan Hendry	F
14	Michael Smith	F

Substitutes

20	Frazer Blake-Tracy	D
4	Elliott Hewitt	D
17	David McGoldrick	F
18	Rhys Oates	F
39	Owen Dodgson	D
8	Luke Bolton	D
7	Lucas Akins	F