Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Prognoza

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 11
FT
Post on X
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Middlesbrough
61%
21%
18%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Middlesbrough na 61%, Cardiff na 18%, a remisu na 21%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 17 Oct 2026, 13:24.

Typy Premium

Premium
  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 73%
  • Under 4.5 73%
  • Gość strzela 71%
  • Home 2H Over 0.5 71%
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Timeline

▮ 19'
Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 22'
Jack Moylan assist: Ollie Tanner
▮ 25'
Joel Bagan Yellow Card
Kyle Joseph ⇄ Will Lankshear
45' ⇄
Luke Ayling ⇄ Sebastian Berhalter
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Joel Colwill ⇄ David Turnbull
⚽ 0–2 45+1'
Ollie Tanner assist: Jack Moylan
HT 0–2
T. Conway assist: Callum Brittain
58' ⚽ 1–2
Will Lankshear assist: Amario Cozier-Duberry
61' ⚽ 2–2
⇄ 63'
Chris Willock ⇄ W. Fish
⇄ 73'
Ronan Kpakio ⇄ Calum Scanlon
Amario Cozier-Duberry ⇄ Maximilian Arfsten
74' ⇄
⇄ 79'
Ollie Tanner ⇄ Isaak Davies
Riley McGree ⇄ Myles Peart-Harris
79' ⇄
▮ 83'
Gabriel Osho Red Card
▮ 88'
Jack Moylan Yellow Card
Neto Borges ⇄ Jeremy Sarmiento
89' ⇄
FT 2–2
Middlesbrough

Match Stats

Cardiff
56% Ball Possession 44%
2.67 Expected Goals (xG) 0.91
34 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Goal 3
11 Shots off Goal 3
11 Blocked Shots 1
21 Shots insidebox 5
13 Shots outsidebox 2
11 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 4
9 Fouls 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 8
486 Total passes 378
406 Passes accurate 308
10 Free Kicks 9
Middlesbrough
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 T. Conway M 8.2 90' 1 – 3 37 (29%) 1
7 Will Lankshear F 8.1 44' 1 – 3 5 (4%) –
2 Callum Brittain D 7.8 90' – 1 1 55 (42%) 3
11 Amario Cozier-Duberry M 7.7 74' – 1 8 27 (24%) 2
6 Sebastian Berhalter M 7.2 44' – – 3 24 (22%) 4
22 Kyle Joseph F 6.9 46' – – 3 7 (5%) 1
4 Ashley Phillips D 6.7 90' – – 1 49 (47%) –
12 Luke Ayling D 6.7 46' – – – 35 (30%) 2
16 Jeremy Sarmiento F 6.6 1' – – 1 1 (1%) –
29 Adilson Malanda M 6.4 90' – – – 85 (67%) 2
8 Riley McGree M 6.4 79' – – – 28 (24%) 2
10 Aidan Morris M 6.4 90' – – 5 61 (55%) 1
30 Neto Borges D 6.3 89' – – 5 38 (31%) 2
17 Maximilian Arfsten D 6.2 16' – – 1 8 (6%) –
1 Radek Vitek G 6.2 90' – – – 23 (16%) –
14 Myles Peart-Harris M 6.0 11' – – – 3 (3%) –
Cardiff
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Ollie Tanner M 8.0 79' 1 1 2 23 (17%) 1
8 Jack Moylan F 7.8 90' 1 1 3 9 (5%) 3
1 Nathan Trott G 7.3 90' – – – 55 (28%) –
45 Cian Ashford M 7.1 90' – – 1 21 (19%) 1
18 Alex Robertson M 6.8 90' – – – 48 (42%) –
5 Krystian Bielik D 6.8 90' – – – 56 (50%) 2
44 Ronan Kpakio D 6.7 73' – – – 41 (40%) –
3 Joel Bagan D 6.6 90' – – – 26 (20%) 5
39 Isaak Davies F 6.4 11' – – – 2 (1%) –
2 W. Fish D 6.4 27' – – – 8 (6%) –
27 Joel Colwill M 6.3 46' – – – 17 (13%) 2
23 Calum Scanlon D 6.3 17' – – – – –
14 David Turnbull M 6.2 44' – – – 17 (14%) 3
16 Chris Willock M 6.1 63' – – – 19 (17%) –
4 Gabriel Osho D 5.6 83' – – 1 36 (36%) –
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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis Middlesbrough
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Middlesbrough
DLWWD
Cardiff
WDLWD

Match summary

Middlesbrough will face Cardiff City in an intriguing Championship clash. Middlesbrough currently holds a solid home record, with a particular strength in defense, allowing just an average of 1.0 goals per game at home. Cardiff, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, conceding 1.5 goals per game away from home. With both teams vying for crucial points, expect a tactical battle, where Middlesbrough's defensive resilience may prove decisive against Cardiff's inconsistent attacking form. The outcome could hinge on Middlesbrough's ability to capitalize on set pieces, given Cardiff's vulnerability in this area.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
61%
45%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
18%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Middlesbrough
W. Lankshear 13 gls
Cardiff
J. Moylan 9 gls

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Head to Head: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Middlesbrough — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Watford D 0 - 0
04 Nov A Wrexham L 2 - 0
31 Oct H Charlton W 3 - 0
23 Oct A Bolton W 1 - 5
17 Oct H Cardiff D 2 - 2

Cardiff — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Burnley W 5 - 4
04 Nov H West Ham D 3 - 3
31 Oct A Wolves L 3 - 0
24 Oct H Birmingham W 1 - 0
17 Oct A Middlesbrough D 2 - 2

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Birmingham
15 8 5 2 +14 29
2
Middlesbrough
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Stoke City
15 9 2 4 +6 29
4
Wolves
15 8 4 3 +8 28
5
West Brom
15 8 4 3 +8 28
6
Swansea
15 8 2 5 +4 26
7
Southampton
15 8 4 3 +14 24
8
QPR
15 6 6 3 +6 24
9
West Ham
15 6 5 4 +14 23
10
Sheffield Utd
15 6 4 5 +2 22
11
Portsmouth
15 6 4 5 +2 22
12
Norwich
15 7 0 8 +8 21
13
Blackburn
15 6 3 6 -1 21
14
Cardiff
15 4 6 5 0 18
15
Wrexham
15 4 6 5 -2 18
16
Millwall
15 5 3 7 -4 18
17
Bristol City
15 5 3 7 -8 18
18
Bolton
15 5 2 8 -9 17
19
Charlton
15 4 5 6 -10 17
20
Watford
15 4 3 8 -10 15
21
Lincoln
15 4 3 8 -11 15
22
Burnley
15 1 7 7 -9 10
23
Derby
15 2 4 9 -16 10
24
Preston
15 2 2 11 -17 8

Middlesbrough

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: K. Hellberg
1 Vítek
30 Borges
4 Phillips
12 Ayling
2 Brittain
29 Malanda
10 Morris
9 Conway
8 McGree
11 Cozier-Duberry
22 Joseph

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 R. Vítek G
2 C. Brittain D
12 L. Ayling D
4 A. Phillips D
30 Neto Borges D
10 A. Morris M
29 A. Malanda M
11 A. Cozier-Duberry M
8 R. McGree M
9 T. Conway M
22 K. Joseph F

Substitutes

16 J. Sarmiento F
14 M. Peart-Harris M
17 M. Arfsten D
18 C. Barron M
6 S. Berhalter M
31 S. Brynn G
3 S. Byram D
19 Leo Castledine M
7 W. Lankshear F

Cardiff

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: B. Barry-Murphy
1 Trott
3 Bagan
4 Osho
5 Bielik
44 Kpakio
18 Robertson
16 Willock
45 Ashford
27 Colwill
11 Tanner
8 Moylan

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Trott G
44 R. Kpakio D
5 K. Bielik D
4 G. Osho D
3 J. Bagan D
18 A. Robertson M
11 O. Tanner M
27 J. Colwill M
45 Cian Ashford M
16 C. Willock M
8 J. Moylan F

Substitutes

2 W. Fish D
43 P. Moreno M
52 T. Perrett M
23 C. Scanlon D
33 R. Tankiewicz M
14 D. Turnbull M
39 I. Davies F
30 H. Tyrer G
50 Charlie Holt M

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