Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 11

17 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Cardiff

Away

Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

AI call Middlesbrough or draw

47%

29%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff prediction: Sportiko gives Middlesbrough a 47% chance of winning, Cardiff 24% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Middlesbrough

DDWLW

Cardiff

WLDLL

Match summary

Middlesbrough will face Cardiff City in an intriguing Championship clash. Middlesbrough currently holds a solid home record, with a particular strength in defense, allowing just an average of 1.0 goals per game at home. Cardiff, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, conceding 1.5 goals per game away from home. With both teams vying for crucial points, expect a tactical battle, where Middlesbrough's defensive resilience may prove decisive against Cardiff's inconsistent attacking form. The outcome could hinge on Middlesbrough's ability to capitalize on set pieces, given Cardiff's vulnerability in this area.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Cardiff goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Middlesbrough goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

Middlesbrough

W. Lankshear 6 gls

Cardiff

J. Moylan 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

29%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

29%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	6.1%	4.1%	1.5%	0.4%
1	9.7%	13.6%	6.5%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.9%	9.5%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.6%	5.0%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff
Middlesbrough	29.3%	4.3%	1.5%
Draw	16.9%	17.8%	9.8%
Cardiff	2.3%	4.3%	13.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Middlesbrough — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Birmingham	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Millwall	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Norwich	W	4 - 3
08 Sep	A Crystal Palace	L	3 - 0
05 Sep	A QPR	W	0 - 1

Cardiff — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Charlton	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Bolton	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	H Stoke City	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Portsmouth	L	2 - 0
02 Sep	A QPR	L	2 - 1

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	5	2	1	13	6	+7	17
2	West Ham	8	4	3	1	22	11	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	16	12	+4	15
4	Wolves	7	4	2	1	15	10	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	4	2	2	10	8	+2	14
6	QPR	8	3	4	1	10	7	+3	13
7	Stoke City	8	4	1	3	13	12	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	11	12	-1	13
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	7	10	-3	12
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	12	11	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	3	2	3	15	15	0	11
12	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	7	8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19	10	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	9	12	-3	10
15	Bolton	8	3	1	4	11	15	-4	10
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	12	12	0	9
17	Norwich	8	3	0	5	16	17	-1	9
18	Sheffield Utd	8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	7	10	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	1	4	3	10	12	-2	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	7	14	-7	5
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	8	15	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	9	17	-8	4

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.