Montpellier vs Metz Prognoza
Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier
Typowanie AI
Trudna wygrana lub remis Montpellier
56%
25%
19%
Wygrana gospodarzy
Remis
Wygrana gości
Prognoza Montpellier vs Metz: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Montpellier na 56%, Metz na 19%, a remisu na 25%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 6 Nov 2026, 20:56.
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Timeline
▮
21'
Jessy Deminguet
Yellow Card
⚽
0–1
26'
Bouna Sarr
Daylam Meddah
Yellow Card
31'
▮
⚽
0–2
43'
Yael Mouanga
Own Goal
HT 0–2
Daylam Meddah
assist: Naoufel El Hannach
50'
⚽
1–2
⚽
1–3
51'
Jessy Deminguet
assist: Pape Moussa Fall
▮
60'
Idris Mohamed
Yellow Card
Naoufel El Hannach
⇄ Théo Chennahi
62'
⇄
Laciné Megnan-Pave
⇄ Nordan Mukiele
62'
⇄
Daryll Benlahlou
⇄ Noah Vidal
62'
⇄
Daylam Meddah
⇄ Hichem Abderrebi
66'
⇄
⇄
80'
Jessy Deminguet
⇄ Believe Munongo
⇄
80'
Jahyann Pandore
⇄ Nathan Mbala
Mamadou Camara
90'
⚽
2–3
⇄
90+1'
Idris Mohamed
⇄ Jean Ruiz
⇄
90+2'
Teji Savanier
⇄ Bryan Song
FT 2–3
Montpellier
Match Stats
Metz
64%
Ball Possession
36%
1.86
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
23
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
2
11
Shots off Goal
3
7
Blocked Shots
1
12
Shots insidebox
6
11
Shots outsidebox
0
9
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
0
16
Fouls
19
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
479
Total passes
278
426
Passes accurate
215
19
Free Kicks
16
Montpellier
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Daylam Meddah M | 7.7 | 66' | 1 | – | 1 | 38 (36%) | 4 |
| 11 Mamadou Camara F | 7.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 15 (15%) | 1 |
| 3 Naoufel El Hannach D | 7.0 | 62' | – | 1 | 2 | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 28 Yanis Zouaoui D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 72 (65%) | 3 |
| 19 Nordan Mukiele F | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | 3 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 15 Julien Laporte D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 74 (69%) | – |
| 5 Florian Tardieu M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 73 (61%) | 5 |
| 18 Nicolas Pays M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 23 (19%) | 1 |
| 40 Noah Vidal M | 6.0 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 44 Théo Chennahi M | 6.0 | 28' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 31 Simon Ngapandouetnbu G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | – |
| 32 Hichem Abderrebi M | 5.9 | 24' | – | – | 2 | 13 (13%) | 1 |
| 9 Laciné Megnan-Pave M | 5.7 | 62' | – | – | – | 14 (9%) | – |
| 23 Daryll Benlahlou M | 5.7 | 62' | – | – | 3 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 6 Yael Mouanga D | 5.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (64%) | – |
Metz
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 Bouna Sarr D | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 21 (19%) | 2 |
| 4 Urie-Michel Mboula D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 42 Cristian Castro D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (27%) | – |
| 8 Jessy Deminguet M | 7.0 | 80' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (15%) | – |
| 11 Pape Moussa Fall F | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 28 (20%) | – |
| 2 Maxime Colin D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 1 Jonathan Fischer G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (22%) | – |
| 10 Teji Savanier M | 6.6 | 92' | – | – | – | 45 (32%) | 3 |
| 22 Nathan Mbala F | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 21 Jahyann Pandore M | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | 2 | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 18 Believe Munongo M | 6.1 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 3 Florian Miguel D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 98 Idris Mohamed M | 6.1 | 91' | – | – | – | 26 (19%) | 5 |
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Confidence
Medium (56%)
At a glance
Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis Montpellier
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Montpellier
LWWWW
Metz
WLDWL
Last 3 meetings
Montpellier · 2W 1D 0L
Match summary
Montpellier will face Metz in an important Ligue 2 clash. Montpellier currently sits in the mid-table, with a solid home record, having won 60% of their matches at home this season. Metz, on the other hand, struggles with consistency, particularly in away fixtures, having secured only 30% of their points on the road. Key players to watch include Montpellier's top scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Metz's playmaker, who leads the team in assists with 5. The outcome may hinge on Montpellier's ability to capitalize on their home form against Metz’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Live insights
90'
Goal
80% sure
Late goal makes it 2-3! Metz win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Metz leads 1-3. Win probability: 96.4%. Comeback chance: 3.6%.
52'
Goal
85% sure
Metz now leads 1-3 with 85% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 66%.
50'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 1-2. Metz win: 55.1%. BTTS: 100%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 0-2. Metz leads. Win probability: 81.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.9%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
19%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Montpellier
N. Pays
5 gls
Lacine Megnan-Pave
4 gls
Metz
P. Fall
8 gls
J. Deminguet
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Montpellier vs Metz
2
Montpellier Wins
1
Draws
0
Metz Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2024 | Montpellier | 3 - 0 | Metz |
| 17 Dec 2023 | Metz | 0 - 1 | Montpellier |
| 01 May 2022 | Montpellier | 2 - 2 | Metz |
Montpellier — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Metz | L | 2 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | A Annecy | W | 0 - 3 |
| 26 Oct | H RED Star FC 93 | W | 2 - 1 |
| 19 Oct | A Rodez | W | 0 - 3 |
| 09 Oct | H Grenoble | W | 2 - 0 |
Metz — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Montpellier | W | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Oct | H PAU | L | 1 - 3 |
| 23 Oct | A Dunkerque | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | H Sochaux | W | 3 - 2 |
| 12 Oct | A Dijon | L | 4 - 2 |
Ligue 2 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saint Etienne
|
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 28 |
| 2 |
Nancy
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 25 |
| 3 |
Montpellier
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 24 |
| 4 |
Reims
|
12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |
PAU
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 |
Dijon
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Metz
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |
RED Star FC 93
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Annecy
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 |
Dunkerque
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |
Guingamp
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Boulogne
|
12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 13 |
Rodez
|
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 |
Nantes
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |
Clermont Foot
|
12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 |
Sochaux
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 |
Grenoble
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 |
Laval
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 |
Montpellier
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Z. Camara
31
Ngapandouetnbu
28
Zouaoui
6
Mouanga
15
Laporte
3
Hannach
27
Meddah
5
Tardieu
9
Megnan-Pave
23
Benlahlou
18
Pays
11
Camara
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | S. Ngapandouetnbu | G |
| 3 | Naoufel El Hannach | D |
| 15 | J. Laporte | D |
| 6 | Y. Mouanga | D |
| 28 | Y. Zouaoui | D |
| 5 | F. Tardieu | M |
| 27 | D. Meddah | M |
| 18 | N. Pays | M |
| 23 | Daryll Benlahlou | M |
| 9 | Lacine Megnan-Pave | M |
| 11 | M. Camara | F |
Substitutes
| 44 | T. Chennahi | M |
| 10 | Y. Benhattab | M |
| 90 | Gregory Ayem | M |
| 32 | Hichem Abderrebi | M |
| 36 | Massaoly Diarra | F |
| 1 | M. Michel | G |
| 19 | N. Mukiele | F |
| 77 | Everson | M |
| 40 | N. Vidal-Cartoux | M |
Metz
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Fischer
3
Miguel
4
Mboula
42
Devenish
2
Colin
70
Sarr
21
Pandore
10
Savanier
98
Mohamed
8
Deminguet
11
Fall
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Fischer | G |
| 70 | B. Sarr | D |
| 2 | M. Colin | D |
| 42 | C. Devenish | D |
| 4 | U. Mboula | D |
| 3 | F. Miguel | D |
| 8 | J. Deminguet | M |
| 98 | I. Mohamed | M |
| 10 | T. Savanier | M |
| 21 | J. Pandore | M |
| 11 | P. Fall | F |
Substitutes
| 61 | P. Sy | G |
| 88 | A. Agne Ba | F |
| 19 | M. Bokele Mputu | F |
| 22 | N. Mbala | F |
| 33 | Abdourahmane Mbodj | F |
| 18 | B. Munongo | M |
| 5 | J. Ruiz | D |
| 7 | Ibou Sané | F |
| 39 | B. Song | D |