Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prognoza

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 6
FT
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MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Typowanie AI AC Milan lub remis
27%
27%
46%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Sassuolo vs AC Milan: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Sassuolo na 27%, AC Milan na 46%, a remisu na 27%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 11 Oct 2026, 18:01.

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Match Report

Sassuolo and AC Milan played out a 1–1 draw in Serie A's sixth round, with both goals arriving in a lively second half after a goalless first 45 minutes. Milan dominated possession at 59% and edged the expected goals metric slightly at 1.22 to 1.14, though neither side could find a breakthrough before the interval.

Adrien Rabiot broke the deadlock for Milan in the 63rd minute, giving the visitors what looked like a winning lead. However, Sassuolo responded swiftly through Cas Odenthal just five minutes later to level the contest and ensure the points were shared. Both managers turned to their benches heavily in the second half, with a combined ten substitutions made across the two sides, including early enforced changes due to injuries and Pervis Estupiñán's yellow card forcing him off at half-time.

The closing stages grew fractious, with four yellow cards distributed in the final minutes. Milan's pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 46%, though ultimately neither team could secure all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⇄ 20'
Matteo Gabbia ⇄ Koni De Winter
Fedde Leysen ⇄ Cas Odenthal
26' ⇄
▮ 41'
Pervis Estupiñán Yellow Card
⇄ 45'
Pervis Estupiñán ⇄ Luka Modrić
▮ 45+3'
Koni De Winter Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Sebastiano Esposito ⇄ Kieron Bowie
60' ⇄
Vasilije Adžić ⇄ Kristian Thorstvedt
60' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 63'
Adrien Rabiot assist: Luka Modrić
Cas Odenthal
68' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 78'
Yunus Musah ⇄ Ardon Jashari
⇄ 78'
Christian Pulišić ⇄ Alphadjo Cissè
Ignace Van der Brempt ⇄ S. Cinquegrano
79' ⇄
Nemanja Matić ⇄ Luca Lipani
79' ⇄
⇄ 85'
Samuel Chukwueze ⇄ Omari Hutchinson
▮ 87'
Gonçalo Ramos Yellow Card
▮ 90+1'
Strahinja Pavlović Yellow Card
Kristian Thorstvedt Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
FT 1–1
Sassuolo

Match Stats

AC Milan
41% Ball Possession 59%
1.14 Expected Goals (xG) 1.22
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 10
6 Shots outsidebox 1
3 Corner Kicks 5
1 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
442 Total passes 627
384 Passes accurate 565
10 Free Kicks 11
Sassuolo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
26 Cas Odenthal D 8.4 64' 1 – 1 30 (26%) 1
49 Arijanet Murić G 7.8 90' – – – 23 (19%) –
20 Ignace Van der Brempt D 7.1 79' – – – 35 (32%) 5
15 Duje Ćaleta-Car D 7.0 90' – – – 47 (44%) –
94 Sebastiano Esposito F 6.9 60' – – – 22 (17%) 4
9 Kieron Bowie F 6.8 30' – – 2 5 (5%) –
50 Darryl Bakola M 6.7 90' – – 1 49 (46%) 2
3 Josh Doig D 6.7 90' – – 1 34 (28%) 2
45 Armand Laurienté F 6.5 90' – – 2 38 (32%) 1
16 Fedde Leysen D 6.5 26' – – – 19 (17%) –
35 Luca Lipani M 6.4 11' – – – 4 (4%) 1
46 S. Cinquegrano M 6.4 11' – – – 3 (2%) 1
10 Domenico Berardi F 6.3 90' – – 1 45 (36%) 2
18 Nemanja Matić M 6.3 79' – – – 50 (42%) 2
42 Kristian Thorstvedt M 6.0 30' – – 1 18 (18%) –
17 Vasilije Adžić M 5.9 60' – – 1 20 (16%) 1
AC Milan
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 Adrien Rabiot M 7.9 90' 1 – 2 59 (50%) 2
22 Diego Moreira M 7.2 90' – – 2 53 (45%) 1
34 Mario Gila Fuentes D 7.1 90' – – – 63 (61%) 2
16 Mike Maignan G 6.9 90' – – – 34 (29%) –
14 Luka Modrić M 6.9 44' – 1 – 53 (47%) 1
11 Christian Pulišić M 6.8 78' – – 1 41 (36%) 2
5 Koni De Winter D 6.8 70' – – – 72 (72%) 3
80 Yunus Musah M 6.7 78' – – – 60 (56%) –
20 Omari Hutchinson F 6.6 5' – – – 5 (5%) –
31 Strahinja Pavlović D 6.5 90' – – 1 81 (75%) 3
46 Matteo Gabbia D 6.5 20' – – – 14 (12%) –
30 Ardon Jashari M 6.4 12' – – – 8 (8%) –
2 Pervis Estupiñán D 6.4 46' – – – 25 (23%) 2
70 Alphadjo Cissè M 6.4 12' – – – 6 (5%) –
9 Gonçalo Ramos F 6.2 90' – – 4 19 (14%) 1
21 Samuel Chukwueze M 6.1 85' – – 1 34 (27%) –
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
AC Milan lub remis
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Sassuolo
LLLLL
AC Milan
LWLWL
Last 3 meetings Sassuolo · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Sassuolo faces AC Milan in a Serie A clash, with both teams showcasing contrasting forms. AC Milan has been strong defensively, ranking among the top in clean sheets this season, while Sassuolo struggles with consistency, particularly in their defensive third. Key battles in midfield will be crucial, as Milan's playmakers look to exploit Sassuolo's vulnerabilities. Both teams will aim for crucial points, but Milan's superior squad depth might give them an edge in this matchup. Expect a tactical game with potential for individual brilliance from both sides.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
27%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
46%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Sassuolo

No scorer data.

AC Milan
A. Rabiot 5 gls
Diego Moreira 4 gls
A. Cissè 4 gls

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Head to Head: Sassuolo vs AC Milan

1 Sassuolo Wins
2 Draws
0 AC Milan Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 May 2026 Sassuolo 2 - 0 AC Milan
14 Dec 2025 AC Milan 2 - 2 Sassuolo
14 Apr 2024 Sassuolo 3 - 3 AC Milan
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Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A AS Roma L 3 - 0
02 Nov H Fiorentina L 2 - 4
27 Oct H Lazio L 2 - 6
24 Oct A Como L 2 - 0
16 Oct A Frosinone L 4 - 2

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Ferencvarosi TC L 0 - 2
31 Oct H Inter W 3 - 1
28 Oct H Bologna L 2 - 4
25 Oct A Udinese W 0 - 2
22 Oct A Bournemouth L 3 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Sassuolo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: A. Aquilani
49 Murić
3 Doig
16 Leysen
15 Ćaleta-Car
20 Brempt
50 Bakola
18 Matić
17 Adžić
45 Laurienté
94 Esposito
10 Berardi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
49 A. Murić G
20 I. Van der Brempt D
15 D. Ćaleta-Car D
16 F. Leysen D
3 J. Doig D
17 Vasilije Adžić M
18 N. Matić M
50 D. Bakola M
10 D. Berardi F
94 S. Esposito F
45 A. Laurienté F

Substitutes

6 S. Walukiewicz D
7 C. Volpato M
80 S. Turati G
42 K. Thorstvedt M
55 I. Sulemana M
19 L. Skjellerup F
12 G. Satalino G
26 C. Odenthal D
33 Rafael Obrador D
35 L. Lipani M
8 A. Ghion M
25 B. Domínguez F
46 S. Cinquegrano M
5 Fali Candé D
9 K. Bowie F

AC Milan

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: Ruben Amorim
16 Maignan
2 Estupiñán
31 Pavlović
46 Gabbia
34 Gila
22 Moreira
12 Rabiot
80 Musah
21 Chukwueze
11 Pulišić
9 Ramos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 M. Maignan G
34 Mario Gila D
46 M. Gabbia D
31 S. Pavlović D
2 P. Estupiñán D
21 S. Chukwueze M
80 Y. Musah M
12 A. Rabiot M
22 Diego Moreira M
11 C. Pulišić M
9 Gonçalo Ramos F

Substitutes

73 F. Camarda F
41 L. P. Bouyer G
33 D. Bartesaghi D
96 L. Torriani G
70 A. Cissè M
23 F. Tomori D
42 F. Terracciano D
14 L. Modrić M
8 R. Loftus-Cheek M
30 A. Jashari M
20 O. Hutchinson F
13 S. Bocoum D
5 K. De Winter D
28 C. Comotto M

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