Sassuolo vs AC Milan Napoved

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

11 Oct 2026, 16:30

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AC Milan

Away

UI napoved Sassuolo ali neodločeno

36%

31%

33%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Sassuolo proti AC Milan: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Sassuolo na 36%, za AC Milan na 33%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 31%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Sassuolo

LWDDW

AC Milan

WLDDW

Last 3 meetings Sassuolo · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Sassuolo faces AC Milan in a Serie A clash, with both teams showcasing contrasting forms. AC Milan has been strong defensively, ranking among the top in clean sheets this season, while Sassuolo struggles with consistency, particularly in their defensive third. Key battles in midfield will be crucial, as Milan's playmakers look to exploit Sassuolo's vulnerabilities. Both teams will aim for crucial points, but Milan's superior squad depth might give them an edge in this matchup. Expect a tactical game with potential for individual brilliance from both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AC Milan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Sassuolo goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Players in form

Sassuolo

Vasilije Adžić 3 gls

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Away Win

33%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Away Win

33%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

52% Home (No Draw) 48% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	8.4%	6.1%	2.5%	0.7%
1	9.0%	14.6%	7.8%	3.1%	1.0%
2	6.8%	8.3%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
3	2.9%	3.5%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sassuolo	Draw	AC Milan
Sassuolo	21.4%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	14.2%	19.4%	12.8%
AC Milan	2.0%	4.6%	19.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sassuolo vs AC Milan

1 Sassuolo Wins

2 Draws

0 AC Milan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	Sassuolo	2 - 0	AC Milan
14 Dec 2025	AC Milan	2 - 2	Sassuolo
14 Apr 2024	Sassuolo	3 - 3	AC Milan

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Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monza	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Juventus	W	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Bologna	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Torino	W	2 - 1

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.