Fiorentina vs Lazio Предвидување

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

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Lazio

Away

AI предвидување Fiorentina или реми

42%

25%

33%

Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Fiorentina против Lazio: Sportiko проценува дека Fiorentina има 42% шанса за победа, Lazio 33%, а реми 25%. Последно ажурирано 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Fiorentina secured a narrow but deserved 1–0 victory over Lazio at home in Serie A matchday 32, with Robin Gosens proving the decisive figure. The German full-back broke the deadlock in the 28th minute with a well-taken finish, giving the hosts a lead they would carry into the break. Lazio's Daniele Rugani was booked just minutes later, adding early pressure to the visitors' afternoon.

The second half saw Lazio push for an equaliser, but a pivotal VAR intervention at the 64th minute cancelled a Tijjani Noslin penalty — a moment that effectively ended the visitors' best route back into the contest. Noslin had also picked up a yellow card in the build-up, compounding Lazio's frustration. Both sides made multiple substitutions as the game opened up, though neither could significantly alter the scoreline.

Fiorentina's dominance was reflected throughout, with 66% possession, six shots on target, and an expected goals figure of 1.33 compared to Lazio's 0.61. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Fiorentina win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that proved correct as the hosts claimed all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Robin Gosens assist: Jack Harrison

28' ⚽ 1–0

Daniele Rugani Yellow Card

31' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ Tijjani Noslin

⇄ 46'

Toma Bašić ⇄ Fisayo Dele-Bashiru

▮ 63'

Tijjani Noslin Yellow Card

🖵 64'

Tijjani Noslin Penalty cancelled

⇄ 67'

Boulaye Dia ⇄ Pedro

⇄ 67'

Matteo Cancellieri ⇄ Gustav Isaksen

Daniele Rugani ⇄ Marin Pongračić

71' ⇄

⇄ 79'

Kenneth Taylor ⇄ Petar Ratkov

Dodô Yellow Card

80' ▮

Robin Gosens ⇄ Luís Balbo

80' ⇄

Jacopo Fazzini ⇄ Manor Solomon

84' ⇄

Roberto Piccoli Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

▮ 90+4'

Pedro Yellow Card

FT 1–0

Fiorentina

Match Stats

Lazio

34% Ball Possession 66%

0.61 Expected Goals (xG) 1.33

8 Total Shots 13

2 Shots on Goal 6

4 Shots off Goal 3

2 Blocked Shots 4

4 Shots insidebox 8

4 Shots outsidebox 5

5 Corner Kicks 6

Offsides

10 Fouls 10

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

6 Goalkeeper Saves 1

350 Total passes 674

291 Passes accurate 620

83% Passes % 92%

0.05 goals_prevented 0.05

Fiorentina

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
43 David De Gea G	9.2	90'	–	–	–	28 (20%)	–
27 Cher Ndour M	7.9	90'	–	–	1	27 (23%)	2
22 Jacopo Fazzini F	7.7	84'	–	–	–	27 (18%)	1
21 Robin Gosens D	7.6	80'	1	–	1	34 (22%)	1
2 Dodô D	7.3	90'	–	–	1	34 (29%)	2
8 Rolando Mandragora M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	39 (39%)	2
17 Jack Harrison F	7.2	90'	–	1	1	31 (22%)	2
6 Luca Ranieri D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	48 (47%)	1
62 Luís Balbo D	7.0	10'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	1
19 Manor Solomon F	6.9	14'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
3 Daniele Rugani D	6.9	71'	–	–	–	30 (26%)	1
5 Marin Pongračić D	6.6	19'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
80 Giovanni Fabbian M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	23 (20%)	–
91 Roberto Piccoli F	6.2	90'	–	–	1	7 (6%)	–

Lazio

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Mattia Zaccagni F	7.6	45'	–	–	2	26 (24%)	1
13 Alessio Romagnoli D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	98 (91%)	1
25 Oliver Provstgaard D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	123 (117%)	–
17 Nuno Tavares D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	54 (52%)	2
7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru M	6.9	45'	–	–	–	25 (24%)	3
40 Edoardo Motta G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	–
18 Gustav Isaksen F	6.6	23'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	1
4 Patric M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	111 (105%)	–
24 Kenneth Taylor M	6.5	79'	–	–	–	51 (45%)	1
9 Pedro F	6.3	23'	–	–	1	16 (15%)	–
29 Manuel Lazzari D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	46 (42%)	1
22 Matteo Cancellieri F	6.3	67'	–	–	2	20 (17%)	–
19 Boulaye Dia F	6.3	67'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–
14 Tijjani Noslin F	6.2	45'	–	–	2	21 (19%)	1
26 Toma Bašić M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	31 (26%)	–
20 Petar Ratkov F	6.2	11'	–	–	1	1	–

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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Нашата анализа

Fiorentina или реми

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Fiorentina

DWWLL

Lazio

WDWWW

Last 3 meetings Fiorentina · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Fiorentina hosts Lazio in a pivotal Serie A clash on April 12, 2026. Both teams are vying for European qualification, making this match crucial for their ambitions. Fiorentina has shown strong home form, with a win rate of 60% at Stadio Artemio Franchi this season, while Lazio’s away performance has been inconsistent, recording only 30% wins on the road. Key players to watch include Fiorentina's forward who has netted 15 goals this season, and Lazio's midfield maestro, contributing significantly to their goal creation. Tactical battles in midfield will likely dictate the outcome, making possession and transition play critical.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lazio goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	8	5	2	1
1	9	12	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	3	5	3	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Fiorentina goals · most likely 1–1 (11.7%)

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Players in form

Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

Lazio

D. Frattesi 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Fiorentina vs Lazio

2 Fiorentina Wins

1 Draws

0 Lazio Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Jan 2026	Lazio	2 - 2	Fiorentina
26 Jan 2025	Lazio	1 - 2	Fiorentina
22 Sep 2024	Fiorentina	2 - 1	Lazio

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Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Napoli	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Pisa	W	3 - 0
11 Sep	A Venezia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	H Torino	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Frosinone	L	0 - 3

Lazio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Venezia	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H AC Milan	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	A Udinese	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Genoa	W	1 - 0
24 Aug	A Bologna	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lazio

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Maurizio Sarri

40 Motta

17 Tavares

25 Provstgaard

13 Romagnoli

29 Lazzari

24 Taylor

4 Patric

26 Basic

10 Zaccagni

19 Dia

22 Cancellieri

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
40	E. Motta	G
29	M. Lazzari	D
13	A. Romagnoli	D
25	O. Provstgaard	D
17	N. Tavares	D
26	T. Basic	M
4	Patric	M
24	K. Taylor	M
22	M. Cancellieri	F
19	B. Dia	F
10	M. Zaccagni	F

Substitutes

55	A. Furlanetto	G
99	G. Giacomone	G
9	Pedro	F
23	E. Hysaj	D
3	L. Pellegrini	D
14	T. Noslin	F
32	D. Cataldi	M
18	G. Isaksen	F
7	F. Dele-Bashiru	M
20	P. Ratkov	F
21	R. Belahyane	M
28	A. Przyborek	M

Fiorentina

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Paolo Vanoli

43 Gea

21 Gosens

6 Ranieri

3 Rugani

2 Dodo

27 Ndour

8 Mandragora

80 Fabbian

22 Fazzini

91 Piccoli

17 Harrison

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
43	D. de Gea	G
2	Dodo	D
3	D. Rugani	D
6	L. Ranieri	D
21	R. Gosens	D
80	G. Fabbian	M
8	R. Mandragora	M
27	C. Ndour	M
17	J. Harrison	F
91	R. Piccoli	F
22	J. Fazzini	F

Substitutes

1	L. Lezzerini	G
53	O. Christensen	G
5	M. Pongracic	D
61	R. Braschi	F
23	E. Kospo	D
60	E. Kouadio	D
71	S. Cianciulli	M
19	M. Solomon	F
62	L. Balbo	D
15	P. Comuzzo	D
64	L. Deli	M
69	G. Puzzoli	F