Fiorentina vs Lazio Prognose
Fiorentina vs. Lazio Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Fiorentina eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 42%, für Lazio 33% und für ein Unentschieden 25%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Fiorentina secured a narrow but deserved 1–0 victory over Lazio at home in Serie A matchday 32, with Robin Gosens proving the decisive figure. The German full-back broke the deadlock in the 28th minute with a well-taken finish, giving the hosts a lead they would carry into the break. Lazio's Daniele Rugani was booked just minutes later, adding early pressure to the visitors' afternoon.
The second half saw Lazio push for an equaliser, but a pivotal VAR intervention at the 64th minute cancelled a Tijjani Noslin penalty — a moment that effectively ended the visitors' best route back into the contest. Noslin had also picked up a yellow card in the build-up, compounding Lazio's frustration. Both sides made multiple substitutions as the game opened up, though neither could significantly alter the scoreline.
Fiorentina's dominance was reflected throughout, with 66% possession, six shots on target, and an expected goals figure of 1.33 compared to Lazio's 0.61. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Fiorentina win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that proved correct as the hosts claimed all three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Fiorentina
Match Stats
Fiorentina
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 David De Gea G | 9.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (20%) | – |
| 27 Cher Ndour M | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (23%) | 2 |
| 22 Jacopo Fazzini F | 7.7 | 84' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | 1 |
| 21 Robin Gosens D | 7.6 | 80' | 1 | – | 1 | 34 (22%) | 1 |
| 2 Dodô D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (29%) | 2 |
| 8 Rolando Mandragora M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (39%) | 2 |
| 17 Jack Harrison F | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 31 (22%) | 2 |
| 6 Luca Ranieri D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (47%) | 1 |
| 62 Luís Balbo D | 7.0 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 19 Manor Solomon F | 6.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 3 Daniele Rugani D | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | – | 30 (26%) | 1 |
| 5 Marin Pongračić D | 6.6 | 19' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 80 Giovanni Fabbian M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 23 (20%) | – |
| 91 Roberto Piccoli F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
Lazio
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mattia Zaccagni F | 7.6 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 26 (24%) | 1 |
| 13 Alessio Romagnoli D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 98 (91%) | 1 |
| 25 Oliver Provstgaard D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 123 (117%) | – |
| 17 Nuno Tavares D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 54 (52%) | 2 |
| 7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru M | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 25 (24%) | 3 |
| 40 Edoardo Motta G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | – |
| 18 Gustav Isaksen F | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | 1 |
| 4 Patric M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 111 (105%) | – |
| 24 Kenneth Taylor M | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | – | 51 (45%) | 1 |
| 9 Pedro F | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 16 (15%) | – |
| 29 Manuel Lazzari D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (42%) | 1 |
| 22 Matteo Cancellieri F | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 19 Boulaye Dia F | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 14 Tijjani Noslin F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 26 Toma Bašić M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | – |
| 20 Petar Ratkov F | 6.2 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 1 | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
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Franco Mastantuono
3 gls
D. Frattesi
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Fiorentina vs Lazio
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan 2026 | Lazio | 2 - 2 | Fiorentina |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Lazio | 1 - 2 | Fiorentina |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | Lazio |
Fiorentina — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Napoli | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Pisa | W | 3 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | A Venezia | W | 2 - 4 |
| 05 Sep | H Torino | L | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Frosinone | L | 0 - 3 |
Lazio — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Venezia | W | 0 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H AC Milan | D | 2 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | A Udinese | W | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Genoa | W | 1 - 0 |
| 24 Aug | A Bologna | W | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Lazio
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Maurizio Sarri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | E. Motta | G |
| 29 | M. Lazzari | D |
| 13 | A. Romagnoli | D |
| 25 | O. Provstgaard | D |
| 17 | N. Tavares | D |
| 26 | T. Basic | M |
| 4 | Patric | M |
| 24 | K. Taylor | M |
| 22 | M. Cancellieri | F |
| 19 | B. Dia | F |
| 10 | M. Zaccagni | F |
Substitutes
| 55 | A. Furlanetto | G |
| 99 | G. Giacomone | G |
| 9 | Pedro | F |
| 23 | E. Hysaj | D |
| 3 | L. Pellegrini | D |
| 14 | T. Noslin | F |
| 32 | D. Cataldi | M |
| 18 | G. Isaksen | F |
| 7 | F. Dele-Bashiru | M |
| 20 | P. Ratkov | F |
| 21 | R. Belahyane | M |
| 28 | A. Przyborek | M |
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Paolo Vanoli
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | D. de Gea | G |
| 2 | Dodo | D |
| 3 | D. Rugani | D |
| 6 | L. Ranieri | D |
| 21 | R. Gosens | D |
| 80 | G. Fabbian | M |
| 8 | R. Mandragora | M |
| 27 | C. Ndour | M |
| 17 | J. Harrison | F |
| 91 | R. Piccoli | F |
| 22 | J. Fazzini | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | L. Lezzerini | G |
| 53 | O. Christensen | G |
| 5 | M. Pongracic | D |
| 61 | R. Braschi | F |
| 23 | E. Kospo | D |
| 60 | E. Kouadio | D |
| 71 | S. Cianciulli | M |
| 19 | M. Solomon | F |
| 62 | L. Balbo | D |
| 15 | P. Comuzzo | D |
| 64 | L. Deli | M |
| 69 | G. Puzzoli | F |