Lille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2

28 Aug 2026, 18:45

Post on X

Paris Saint Germain

Away

AI предвидување Lille или реми

43%

27%

30%

Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Lille vs Paris Saint Germain prediction: Sportiko gives Lille a 43% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain 30% and the draw 27%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:47.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Lille

WLWDW

Paris Saint Germain

LLWWD

Last 3 meetings Lille · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Lille faces Paris Saint-Germain on August 28, 2026. PSG, known for their attacking prowess, boasts a formidable record against Lille, winning 15 of their last 20 encounters. Lille's defense will be tested, particularly against PSG's star forwards, who have consistently averaged over 2.5 goals per match in recent outings. Lille needs to maintain possession and capitalize on set pieces to stand a chance, while PSG will look to dominate midfield and exploit any defensive lapses. Overall, this match promises to be a tactical battle with significant implications for league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paris Saint Germain goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	7	13	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Lille goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

30%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

30%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 30% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.8%	5.5%	4.7%	2.1%	0.7%
1	7.1%	12.9%	7.6%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.9%	9.2%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.7%	5.0%	3.3%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.5%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lille	Draw	Paris Saint Germain
Lille	29.6%	5.2%	2.1%
Draw	12.3%	16.1%	10.7%
Paris Saint Germain	1.9%	4.1%	18.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lille vs Paris Saint Germain

0 Lille Wins

1 Draws

2 Paris Saint Germain Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Jan 2026	Paris Saint Germain	3 - 0	Lille
05 Oct 2025	Lille	1 - 1	Paris Saint Germain
01 Mar 2025	Paris Saint Germain	4 - 1	Lille

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Lille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A OH Leuven	W	3 - 6
17 May	H Auxerre	L	0 - 2
10 May	A Monaco	W	0 - 1
03 May	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1
26 Apr	A Paris FC	W	0 - 1

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	A Mallorca	L	3 - 0
17 May	A Paris FC	L	2 - 1
13 May	A Lens	W	0 - 2
10 May	H Stade Brestois 29	W	1 - 0
02 May	H Lorient	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.