Lille vs Paris Saint Germain Predicción
Predicción Lille vs Paris Saint Germain: Sportiko le da a Lille un 26% de probabilidad de ganar, a Paris Saint Germain un 47% y al empate un 27%. Última actualización: 28 Aug 2026, 20:55.
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- Visitante anota 72%
- Local anota 72%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
Match Report
Lille took an early lead through Hakon Arnar Haraldsson in the 21st minute, and the hosts held that advantage into half-time despite PSG dominating possession — the visitors would finish the match with 73% of the ball and 18 total shots to Lille's nine. Our pre-match AI model had rated a PSG win as the most likely outcome at 47%, a call that ultimately proved correct, albeit in dramatic fashion.
The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both sides, and Lille extended their lead when Dilane Bakwa struck in the 84th minute, seemingly putting the result beyond doubt. PSG, however, had other ideas, with Vitinha pulling one back in the first minute of stoppage time to set up a tense finale.
The equaliser arrived deep into added time, Marquinhos heading home in the 90+5th minute to rescue a point for PSG. Despite their territorial dominance throughout, Luis Enrique's side could not convert that control into a victory, with both teams finishing level on expected goals — 1.09 for Lille and 1.19 for PSG.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Lille
Match Stats
Lille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson M | 7.5 | 80' | 1 | – | 2 | 26 (25%) | 1 |
| 9 Olivier Giroud F | 7.3 | 94' | – | 2 | 2 | 21 (15%) | – |
| 18 Dilane Bakwa F | 7.3 | 26' | 1 | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 6 Nabil Bentaleb M | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| 8 Ethan Mbappé M | 7.2 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 17 (16%) | – |
| 22 Tiago Santos D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 26 (21%) | – |
| 1 Berke Özer G | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 36 (22%) | – |
| 17 Ngal'ayel Mukau M | 6.7 | 33' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 21 Benjamin André M | 6.7 | 61' | – | – | – | 25 (23%) | 4 |
| 28 Gaëtan Perrin F | 6.7 | 33' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 2 |
| 27 Félix Correia M | 6.7 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | 1 |
| 3 Nathan Ngoy D | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | 1 |
| 15 Romain Perraud D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | 2 |
| 4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 23 (22%) | – |
| 24 Calvin Verdonk D | 6.2 | 14' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Vitinha M | 8.2 | 94' | 1 | – | 5 | 113 (104%) | 1 |
| 39 Matvey Safonov G | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 22 (17%) | – |
| 5 Marquinhos D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 90 (82%) | – |
| 8 Fabián Ruiz M | 6.9 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 59 (54%) | 3 |
| 14 Désiré Doué F | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 32 (27%) | 1 |
| 22 Mika Godts F | 6.9 | 31' | – | 1 | – | 33 (29%) | 1 |
| 4 Lucas Beraldo M | 6.9 | 63' | – | – | – | 41 (35%) | 1 |
| 27 Dro Fernández M | 6.9 | 16' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 2 |
| 9 Ferran Torres F | 6.7 | 72' | – | – | 3 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 2 Achraf Hakimi D | 6.5 | 94' | – | – | 2 | 93 (85%) | 1 |
| 12 Lucas Digne D | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 16 (15%) | – |
| 7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F | 6.5 | 49' | – | – | 2 | 27 (26%) | – |
| 51 Willian Pacho D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 84 (79%) | – |
| 33 Warren Zaïre-Emery D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 98 (93%) | 2 |
| 24 Senny Mayulu M | 6.3 | 22' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 11 Maghnes Akliouche F | 6.2 | 78' | – | – | – | 71 (63%) | 1 |
Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Lille vs Paris Saint Germain
- Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
- Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Tiago Santos
2 gls
Ferran Torres
4 gls
Marquinhos
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lille vs Paris Saint Germain
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 - 0 | Lille |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Lille | 1 - 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Paris Saint Germain | 4 - 1 | Lille |
Lille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Nice | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Estac Troyes | W | 2 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | H Real Betis | L | 2 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | A Toulouse | W | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Paris Saint Germain | D | 2 - 2 |
Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Marseille | W | 1 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | A Stade Brestois 29 | W | 0 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Slovan Bratislava | W | 6 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | H Monaco | L | 1 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | A Lille | D | 2 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Lille
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Davide Ancelotti
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berke Özer | G |
| 22 | Tiago Santos | D |
| 3 | Nathan Ngoy | D |
| 4 | Alexsandro Ribeiro | D |
| 15 | Romain Perraud | D |
| 21 | Benjamin André | M |
| 6 | Nabil Bentaleb | M |
| 8 | Ethan Mbappé | M |
| 10 | Hakon Arnar Haraldsson | M |
| 27 | Félix Correia | M |
| 9 | Olivier Giroud | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | Ngal'ayel Mukau | M |
| 28 | Gaëtan Perrin | F |
| 18 | Dilane Bakwa | F |
| 16 | Arnaud Bodart | G |
| 26 | Isaac Cossier | D |
| 24 | Calvin Verdonk | D |
| 19 | Başar Önal | F |
| 11 | Osame Sahraoui | F |
| 35 | Soriba Diaoune | F |
Paris Saint Germain
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Luis Enrique
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Matvey Safonov | G |
| 2 | Achraf Hakimi | D |
| 5 | Marquinhos | D |
| 51 | Willian Pacho | D |
| 33 | Warren Zaïre-Emery | D |
| 17 | Vitinha | M |
| 4 | Lucas Beraldo | M |
| 8 | Fabián Ruiz | M |
| 11 | Maghnes Akliouche | F |
| 9 | Ferran Torres | F |
| 14 | Désiré Doué | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | F |
| 22 | Mika Godts | F |
| 12 | Lucas Digne | D |
| 24 | Senny Mayulu | M |
| 16 | Alessandro Longoni | G |
| 30 | Lucas Chevalier | G |
| 21 | Lucas Hernández | D |
| 6 | Ilya Zabarnyi | D |
| 27 | Dro Fernández | M |