Manchester United vs Manchester City Предвидување

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Old Trafford, Manchester
AI предвидување Manchester City или реми
32%
26%
42%
Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Manchester United против Manchester City: Sportiko проценува дека Manchester United има 32% шанса за победа, Manchester City 42%, а реми 26%. Последно ажурирано 13 Sep 2026, 17:25.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
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Match Report

Manchester City claimed derby bragging rights at Old Trafford, edging out a tense Manchester derby 1–0 thanks to Erling Haaland's second-half strike. The match's defining moment came as early as the 23rd minute, when Phil Foden was dismissed with a red card, leaving City to navigate the remainder of the contest with ten men.

Despite the numerical disadvantage, City held firm and broke the deadlock on the hour mark. Haaland netted what proved to be the only goal of the game, with VAR subsequently confirming the effort stood. United, who dominated possession at 55% and registered 16 total shots to City's six, were unable to convert their territorial advantage into anything meaningful, managing just three shots on target throughout.

The closing stages grew fractious, with yellow cards shown to Gvardiol, Enzo Fernández, and Harry Maguire in quick succession between the 79th and 81st minutes. Our pre-match AI model had rated a City win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that proved correct despite the considerable challenge of playing the final hour a man short.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

23'
Phil Foden Red Card
45'
Rayan Cherki ⇄ Iliman Ndiaye
45+1'
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
0–1 60'
Erling Haaland
🖵 60'
Erling Haaland Goal confirmed
Youri Tielemans ⇄ Benjamin Šeško
67'
79'
Joško Gvardiol Yellow Card
80'
Enzo Fernández Yellow Card
Harry Maguire Yellow Card
81'
82'
Enzo Fernández ⇄ Nico O'Reilly
Marcus Rashford ⇄ Joshua Zirkzee
83'
FT 0–1
Manchester United

Match Stats

Manchester City
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 2
9 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 2
10 Shots outsidebox 4
6 Corner Kicks 7
4 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
472 Total passes 396
411 Passes accurate 326
9 Free Kicks 17
Manchester United
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Bruno Fernandes M 7.2 90' 1 57 (51%) 2
37 Kobbie Mainoo M 7.2 90' 1 67 (65%)
13 Patrick Dorgu D 7.1 90' 40 (36%) 6
6 Lisandro Martínez D 7.0 90' 1 61 (53%) 3
18 Youri Tielemans M 6.7 67' 43 (38%) 2
5 Harry Maguire D 6.7 90' 2 58 (50%) 1
1 Senne Lammens G 6.6 90' 15 (12%)
2 Diogo Dalot D 6.6 90' 1 38 (32%) 1
9 Marcus Rashford M 6.5 83' 3 28 (23%) 1
30 Benjamin Šeško F 6.4 23' 1 4 (4%)
10 Matheus Cunha F 6.3 90' 3 28 (23%) 1
11 Joshua Zirkzee F 6.3 7' 7 (5%)
19 Bryan Mbeumo M 6.2 90' 3 26 (19%) 1
Manchester City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Erling Haaland F 7.7 90' 1 2 18 (11%)
27 Matheus Nunes D 7.7 90' 37 (34%) 2
3 Rúben Dias D 7.4 90' 48 (41%)
6 Marc Guéhi D 7.4 90' 53 (48%)
24 Joško Gvardiol D 7.4 90' 1 33 (30%) 4
10 Rayan Cherki M 7.2 46' 1 27 (24%)
7 Iliman Ndiaye F 6.9 44' 15 (12%) 1
1 Gianluigi Donnarumma G 6.9 90' 42 (25%)
33 Nico O'Reilly D 6.8 8' 3 (2%)
5 Elliot Anderson M 6.7 90' 52 (45%) 3
17 Enzo Fernández M 6.6 82' 2 31 (25%) 2
42 Antoine Semenyo M 6.2 90' 29 (21%) 1
47 Phil Foden M 6.0 23' 8 (8%)
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Отклучи ја целосната AI анализа за Manchester United vs Manchester City

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Нашата анализа
Manchester City или реми
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Manchester United
DLLWD
Manchester City
WWWWW
Last 3 meetings Manchester United · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this highly anticipated Manchester derby, Manchester United will face Manchester City in a crucial Premier League clash. Both teams have shown strong attacking form, with City averaging 2.5 goals per game this season, thanks to their dynamic front line led by Erling Haaland. United, meanwhile, has been solid defensively, conceding just 1 goal per match, but they will need to enhance their creativity in the midfield to break down City's compact defense. Key battles, particularly in midfield, will be critical, as United seeks to control possession while City looks to exploit transitions. This match could significantly impact their standings as both teams aim for Champions League qualification.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
32%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
42%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Manchester United
Bruno Fernandes 3 gls
Manchester City
E. Haaland 5 gls
R. Cherki 3 gls
A. Semenyo 2 gls

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Head to Head: Manchester United vs Manchester City

1 Manchester United Wins
1 Draws
1 Manchester City Wins
Date Home Score Away
17 Jan 2026 Manchester United 2 - 0 Manchester City
14 Sep 2025 Manchester City 3 - 0 Manchester United
06 Apr 2025 Manchester United 0 - 0 Manchester City
Види ги сите 10 средби — Premium

Manchester United — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Fulham D 1 - 1
16 Sep H Brighton L 2 - 3
13 Sep H Manchester City L 0 - 1
10 Sep H Sabah FA W 4 - 0
06 Sep A Everton D 2 - 2

Manchester City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Sunderland W 5 - 3
17 Sep H Norwich W 5 - 0
13 Sep A Manchester United W 0 - 1
08 Sep A FC Porto W 0 - 2
05 Sep H Coventry W 1 - 0

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Manchester United

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Carrick
1 Lammens
13 Dorgu
6 Martínez
5 Maguire
2 Dalot
37 Mainoo
18 Tielemans
9 Rashford
8 Fernandes
19 Mbeumo
10 Cunha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. Lammens G
2 Diogo Dalot D
5 H. Maguire D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
13 P. Dorgu D
18 Y. Tielemans M
37 K. Mainoo M
19 B. Mbeumo M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
9 M. Rashford M
10 Matheus Cunha F

Substitutes

26 A. Heaven D
3 N. Mazraoui D
15 L. Yoro D
17 Andrey Santos M
7 M. Mount M
31 S. Lacey F
30 B. Šeško F
12 K. Darlow G
11 J. Zirkzee F

Manchester City

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: E. Maresca
1 Donnarumma
24 Gvardiol
3 Dias
6 Guéhi
27 Nunes
5 Anderson
17 Fernández
42 Semenyo
10 Cherki
47 Foden
9 Haaland

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 G. Donnarumma G
27 Matheus Nunes D
6 M. Guéhi D
3 Rúben Dias D
24 J. Gvardiol D
17 E. Fernández M
5 E. Anderson M
47 P. Foden M
10 R. Cherki M
42 A. Semenyo M
9 E. Haaland F

Substitutes

7 I. Ndiaye F
28 G. Rulli G
37 Allan F
82 R. Lewis D
45 A. Khusanov D
33 N. O'Reilly D
22 Vitor Nunes D
8 M. Kovačić M
32 A. Bouaddi M

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