Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire Prediction
FT
AI call
Difficult Nashville SC win or draw
53%
24%
23%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire prediction: Sportiko gives Nashville SC a 53% chance of winning, Chicago Fire 23% and the draw 24%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 03:35.
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Premium- 1st Half Over 0.5 76%
- Away to Score 72%
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Timeline
Sam Surridge
assist: Reed Baker-Whiting
33'
⚽
1–0
Hany Mukhtar
Yellow Card
35'
▮
HT 1–0
▮
57'
Jack Elliott
Yellow Card
⇄
68'
Robin Lod
⇄ Jonathan Bamba
⇄
68'
Maren Haile-Selassie
⇄ Puso Dithejane
Elias Saad
⇄ Shakur Mohammed
69'
⇄
⇄
75'
Sergio Oregel
⇄ Anzor Mekvabishvili
Cristian Espinoza
assist: Andy Najar
78'
⚽
2–0
⇄
79'
Dje Tah D'Avilla
⇄ Mauricio Pineda
⇄
79'
Jonathan Dean
⇄ Johan Gomez
Patrick Yazbek
⇄ Edvard Tagseth
83'
⇄
Andy Najar
⇄ Daniel Lovitz
83'
⇄
Hany Mukhtar
assist: Cristian Espinoza
87'
⚽
3–0
Hany Mukhtar
⇄ Alex Muyl
90+1'
⇄
Cristian Espinoza
⇄ Josh Bauer
90+1'
⇄
FT 3–0
Nashville SC
Match Stats
Chicago Fire
56%
Ball Possession
44%
2.07
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
13
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
1
6
Shots off Goal
5
2
Blocked Shots
2
9
Shots insidebox
7
4
Shots outsidebox
1
5
Corner Kicks
2
4
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
497
Total passes
399
443
Passes accurate
340
89%
Passes %
85%
0.49
goals_prevented
0.49
Nashville SC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Cristian Espinoza M | 8.6 | 91' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 38 (31%) | 1 |
| 27 Reed Baker-Whiting D | 8.0 | 93' | – | 1 | – | 46 (43%) | – |
| 10 Hany Mukhtar M | 7.7 | 91' | 1 | – | 4 | 42 (39%) | 1 |
| 4 Jeisson Palacios D | 7.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 73 (66%) | 2 |
| 31 Andy Najar D | 7.7 | 83' | – | 1 | 1 | 44 (40%) | 1 |
| 9 Sam Surridge F | 7.5 | 93' | 1 | – | 3 | 11 (11%) | 2 |
| 11 Elias Saad M | 7.3 | 68' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 3 |
| 16 Matthew Corcoran M | 7.3 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 82 (70%) | 6 |
| 8 Patrick Yazbek M | 7.3 | 83' | – | – | – | 40 (39%) | 2 |
| 3 Maxwell Woledzi D | 7.2 | 93' | – | – | – | 60 (58%) | 1 |
| 99 Brian Schwake G | 6.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 24 (15%) | – |
| 14 Shakur Mohammed M | 6.5 | 25' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 2 Daniel Lovitz D | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 20 Edvard Tagseth M | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 22 Josh Bauer D | — | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 19 Alex Muyl M | — | 2' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
Chicago Fire
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Chris Brady G | 7.5 | 93' | – | – | – | 30 (19%) | – |
| 35 Sergio Oregel M | 7.2 | 75' | – | – | – | 45 (41%) | – |
| 32 Noah Allen D | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 48 (44%) | 1 |
| 12 Puso Dithejane F | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 17 Robin Lod M | 6.6 | 68' | – | – | – | 17 (16%) | – |
| 42 Dje Tah D'Avilla M | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | – | 38 (31%) | 1 |
| 3 Jack Elliott D | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 42 (35%) | – |
| 11 Philip Zinckernagel M | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 29 (25%) | 2 |
| 19 Jonathan Bamba F | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 7 Maren Haile-Selassie M | 6.3 | 68' | – | – | – | 19 (19%) | – |
| 22 Mauricio Pineda D | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 19 (19%) | – |
| 23 Anzor Mekvabishvili M | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | 1 |
| 18 Johan Gomez F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 24 Jonathan Dean D | 6.2 | 79' | – | – | – | 29 (21%) | 3 |
| 9 Robert Lewandowski F | 6.0 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 15 (11%) | – |
| 15 Andrew Gutman D | 5.6 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 23 (20%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (53%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Nashville SC win or draw
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Nashville SC
WDLDW
Chicago Fire
LLDDD
Last 1 meetings
Nashville SC · 0W 0D 1L
Live insights
87'
Goal
85% sure
Nashville SC now leads 3-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 11.1%.
83'
time check
80% sure
Min 83: Nashville SC leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.6%. Comeback chance: 0.4%.
78'
Goal
85% sure
Nashville SC now leads 2-0 with 99% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 35.2%.
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: Nashville SC leads 1-0. Win probability: 87%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 1-0. Nashville SC leads. Win probability: 79.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 79.2%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
23%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Nashville SC
S. Surridge
16 gls
H. Mukhtar
11 gls
Chicago Fire
H. Cuypers
13 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire
0
Nashville SC Wins
0
Draws
1
Chicago Fire Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr 2026 | Chicago Fire | 1 - 0 | Nashville SC |
Nashville SC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Chicago Fire | W | 3 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Inter Miami | D | 2 - 2 |
| 09 Sep | A Toronto FC | L | 2 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A New York City FC | D | 0 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H FC Cincinnati | W | 4 - 0 |
Chicago Fire — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Nashville SC | L | 3 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H New England Revolution | L | 1 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | H Inter Miami | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Toronto FC | D | 4 - 4 |
| 29 Aug | A Seattle Sounders | D | 2 - 2 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53 | 21 | +32 | 57 |
| 2 |
New England Revolution
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 33 | +12 | 46 |
| 3 |
Inter Miami
|
26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63 | 48 | +15 | 46 |
| 4 |
Charlotte
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 37 | +10 | 43 |
| 5 |
Chicago Fire
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 39 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 36 |
| 7 |
Orlando City SC
|
26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 34 |
| 8 |
New York Red Bulls
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 33 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 |
New York City FC
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 34 | +5 | 32 |
| 11 |
DC United
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 29 |
| 13 |
Columbus Crew
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 26 |
| 14 |
Atlanta United FC
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 21 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56 | 23 | +33 | 49 |
| 2 |
Houston Dynamo
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 30 | +4 | 44 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 44 |
| 4 |
FC Dallas
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 42 | +7 | 44 |
| 5 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 38 | +8 | 42 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43 | 29 | +14 | 41 |
| 7 |
Colorado Rapids
|
26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 35 | +1 | 36 |
| 8 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 |
Portland Timbers
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 |
San Diego
|
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 |
Austin
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 30 |
| 12 |
Real Salt Lake
|
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 |
Seattle Sounders
|
24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 |
Minnesota United FC
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 18 |
Chicago Fire
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Mario Barcena
1
Brady
15
Gutman
32
Allen
3
Elliott
24
Dean
42
D'Avilla
35
Oregel
7
Haile-Selassie
17
Lod
11
Zinckernagel
9
Lewandowski
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Brady | G |
| 24 | Jonathan Dean | D |
| 3 | Jack Elliott | D |
| 32 | Noah Allen | D |
| 15 | Andrew Gutman | D |
| 35 | Sergio Oregel | M |
| 42 | Dje Tah D'Avilla | M |
| 11 | Philip Zinckernagel | M |
| 17 | Robin Lod | M |
| 7 | Maren Haile-Selassie | M |
| 9 | Robert Lewandowski | F |
Substitutes
| 44 | Josh Cohen | G |
| 5 | Samuel Rogers | D |
| 2 | Leonardo Barroso | D |
| 22 | Mauricio Pineda | D |
| 29 | David Poreba | M |
| 23 | Anzor Mekvabishvili | M |
| 12 | Puso Dithejane | F |
| 18 | Johan Gomez | F |
| 19 | Jonathan Bamba | F |
Nashville SC
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Brian Callaghan
99
Schwake
27
Baker-Whiting
3
Woledzi
4
Palacios
31
Najar
16
Corcoran
8
Yazbek
11
Saad
10
Mukhtar
7
Espinoza
9
Surridge
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Brian Schwake | G |
| 31 | Andy Najar | D |
| 4 | Jeisson Palacios | D |
| 3 | Maxwell Woledzi | D |
| 27 | Reed Baker-Whiting | D |
| 8 | Patrick Yazbek | M |
| 16 | Matthew Corcoran | M |
| 7 | Cristian Espinoza | M |
| 10 | Hany Mukhtar | M |
| 11 | Elias Saad | M |
| 9 | Sam Surridge | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Joe Willis | G |
| 5 | Jack Maher | D |
| 22 | Josh Bauer | D |
| 2 | Daniel Lovitz | D |
| 19 | Alex Muyl | M |
| 14 | Shakur Mohammed | M |
| 37 | Ahmed Qasem | F |
| 20 | Edvard Tagseth | M |
| 6 | Bryan Acosta | M |