Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire Napoved

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 26

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Chicago Fire

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Nashville SC

53%

24%

23%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Nashville SC proti Chicago Fire: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Nashville SC na 53%, za Chicago Fire na 23%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 24%. Zadnja posodobitev: 20 Sep 2026, 03:35.

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1st Half Over 0.5 76%
Gosti dosežejo gol 72%

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Timeline

Sam Surridge assist: Reed Baker-Whiting

33' ⚽ 1–0

Hany Mukhtar Yellow Card

35' ▮

HT 1–0

▮ 57'

Jack Elliott Yellow Card

⇄ 68'

Robin Lod ⇄ Jonathan Bamba

⇄ 68'

Maren Haile-Selassie ⇄ Puso Dithejane

Elias Saad ⇄ Shakur Mohammed

69' ⇄

⇄ 75'

Sergio Oregel ⇄ Anzor Mekvabishvili

Cristian Espinoza assist: Andy Najar

78' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 79'

Dje Tah D'Avilla ⇄ Mauricio Pineda

⇄ 79'

Jonathan Dean ⇄ Johan Gomez

Patrick Yazbek ⇄ Edvard Tagseth

83' ⇄

Andy Najar ⇄ Daniel Lovitz

83' ⇄

Hany Mukhtar assist: Cristian Espinoza

87' ⚽ 3–0

Hany Mukhtar ⇄ Alex Muyl

90+1' ⇄

Cristian Espinoza ⇄ Josh Bauer

90+1' ⇄

FT 3–0

Nashville SC

Match Stats

Chicago Fire

56% Ball Possession 44%

2.07 Expected Goals (xG) 0.96

13 Total Shots 8

5 Shots on Goal 1

6 Shots off Goal 5

2 Blocked Shots 2

9 Shots insidebox 7

4 Shots outsidebox 1

5 Corner Kicks 2

4 Offsides 2

12 Fouls 8

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

497 Total passes 399

443 Passes accurate 340

89% Passes % 85%

0.49 goals_prevented 0.49

Nashville SC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Cristian Espinoza M	8.6	91'	1	1	2	38 (31%)	1
27 Reed Baker-Whiting D	8.0	93'	–	1	–	46 (43%)	–
10 Hany Mukhtar M	7.7	91'	1	–	4	42 (39%)	1
4 Jeisson Palacios D	7.7	93'	–	–	–	73 (66%)	2
31 Andy Najar D	7.7	83'	–	1	1	44 (40%)	1
9 Sam Surridge F	7.5	93'	1	–	3	11 (11%)	2
11 Elias Saad M	7.3	68'	–	–	–	21 (18%)	3
16 Matthew Corcoran M	7.3	93'	–	–	1	82 (70%)	6
8 Patrick Yazbek M	7.3	83'	–	–	–	40 (39%)	2
3 Maxwell Woledzi D	7.2	93'	–	–	–	60 (58%)	1
99 Brian Schwake G	6.7	93'	–	–	–	24 (15%)	–
14 Shakur Mohammed M	6.5	25'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
2 Daniel Lovitz D	6.3	10'	–	–	–	2	–
20 Edvard Tagseth M	6.3	10'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
22 Josh Bauer D	—	2'	–	–	–	–	–
19 Alex Muyl M	—	2'	–	–	–	1	–

Chicago Fire

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Chris Brady G	7.5	93'	–	–	–	30 (19%)	–
35 Sergio Oregel M	7.2	75'	–	–	–	45 (41%)	–
32 Noah Allen D	6.9	93'	–	–	–	48 (44%)	1
12 Puso Dithejane F	6.6	25'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	1
17 Robin Lod M	6.6	68'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	–
42 Dje Tah D'Avilla M	6.5	79'	–	–	–	38 (31%)	1
3 Jack Elliott D	6.3	93'	–	–	1	42 (35%)	–
11 Philip Zinckernagel M	6.3	93'	–	–	2	29 (25%)	2
19 Jonathan Bamba F	6.3	25'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
7 Maren Haile-Selassie M	6.3	68'	–	–	–	19 (19%)	–
22 Mauricio Pineda D	6.3	14'	–	–	–	19 (19%)	–
23 Anzor Mekvabishvili M	6.3	18'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	1
18 Johan Gomez F	6.3	14'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
24 Jonathan Dean D	6.2	79'	–	–	–	29 (21%)	3
9 Robert Lewandowski F	6.0	93'	–	–	2	15 (11%)	–
15 Andrew Gutman D	5.6	93'	–	–	1	23 (20%)	–

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Nashville SC

Most likely score

1:1 · 11%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

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Nashville SC

WDLDW

Chicago Fire

LLDDD

Last 1 meetings Nashville SC · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

87' Goal 85% sure

Nashville SC now leads 3-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 11.1%.

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Nashville SC leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.6%. Comeback chance: 0.4%.

78' Goal 85% sure

Nashville SC now leads 2-0 with 99% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 35.2%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Nashville SC leads 1-0. Win probability: 87%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Nashville SC leads. Win probability: 79.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 79.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

53%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

23%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Chicago Fire goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	4	3	1
1	6	11	6	3	1
2	8	10	6	3	1
3	5	7	4	2	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Nashville SC goals · most likely 1–1 (11.0%)

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Players in form

Nashville SC

S. Surridge 16 gls

H. Mukhtar 11 gls

Chicago Fire

H. Cuypers 13 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

24%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

37%

2.5

63%

59%

3.5

41%

78%

4.5

22%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

24%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

37%

2.5

63%

59%

3.5

41%

78%

4.5

22%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

23%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	3.5%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%
1	6.4%	11.0%	6.2%	2.6%	0.8%
2	7.8%	9.8%	6.3%	2.7%	0.8%
3	5.3%	6.7%	4.2%	1.8%	0.6%
4	2.7%	3.4%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

44%

1.5

56%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

26%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nashville SC	Draw	Chicago Fire
Nashville SC	34.5%	4.4%	1.8%
Draw	17.0%	13.7%	8.4%
Chicago Fire	3.1%	4.3%	12.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire

0 Nashville SC Wins

0 Draws

1 Chicago Fire Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Apr 2026	Chicago Fire	1 - 0	Nashville SC

Nashville SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Chicago Fire	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Toronto FC	L	2 - 1
04 Sep	A New York City FC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H FC Cincinnati	W	4 - 0

Chicago Fire — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Nashville SC	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H New England Revolution	L	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Inter Miami	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Toronto FC	D	4 - 4
29 Aug	A Seattle Sounders	D	2 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Chicago Fire

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mario Barcena

1 Brady

15 Gutman

32 Allen

3 Elliott

24 Dean

42 D'Avilla

35 Oregel

7 Haile-Selassie

17 Lod

11 Zinckernagel

9 Lewandowski

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Chris Brady	G
24	Jonathan Dean	D
3	Jack Elliott	D
32	Noah Allen	D
15	Andrew Gutman	D
35	Sergio Oregel	M
42	Dje Tah D'Avilla	M
11	Philip Zinckernagel	M
17	Robin Lod	M
7	Maren Haile-Selassie	M
9	Robert Lewandowski	F

Substitutes

44	Josh Cohen	G
5	Samuel Rogers	D
2	Leonardo Barroso	D
22	Mauricio Pineda	D
29	David Poreba	M
23	Anzor Mekvabishvili	M
12	Puso Dithejane	F
18	Johan Gomez	F
19	Jonathan Bamba	F

Nashville SC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Brian Callaghan

99 Schwake

27 Baker-Whiting

3 Woledzi

4 Palacios

31 Najar

16 Corcoran

8 Yazbek

11 Saad

10 Mukhtar

7 Espinoza

9 Surridge

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Brian Schwake	G
31	Andy Najar	D
4	Jeisson Palacios	D
3	Maxwell Woledzi	D
27	Reed Baker-Whiting	D
8	Patrick Yazbek	M
16	Matthew Corcoran	M
7	Cristian Espinoza	M
10	Hany Mukhtar	M
11	Elias Saad	M
9	Sam Surridge	F

Substitutes

1	Joe Willis	G
5	Jack Maher	D
22	Josh Bauer	D
2	Daniel Lovitz	D
19	Alex Muyl	M
14	Shakur Mohammed	M
37	Ahmed Qasem	F
20	Edvard Tagseth	M
6	Bryan Acosta	M