Houston Dynamo vs DC United Prediction
FT
AI call
Difficult Houston Dynamo win or draw
62%
26%
12%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Houston Dynamo vs DC United prediction: Sportiko gives Houston Dynamo a 62% chance of winning, DC United 12% and the draw 26%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.
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Timeline
Héctor Herrera
40'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
⇄
53'
Jackson Hopkins
⇄ Matti Peltola
Duncan McGuire
⇄ Ezequiel Ponce
59'
⇄
Lucas Halter
⇄ Erik Sviatchenko
61'
⇄
▮
67'
Silvan Hefti
Yellow Card
⇄
68'
Brandon Servania
⇄ Jared Stroud
⇄
68'
Louis Munteanu
⇄ Nathan Ordaz
⇄
68'
João Peglow
⇄ Hosei Kijima
Artur
Yellow Card
70'
▮
▮
71'
Tai Baribo
Yellow Card
▮
72'
Andre Dozzell
Yellow Card
Lawrence Ennali
⇄ Franco Negri
77'
⇄
⚽
1–1
78'
Tai Baribo
assist: Nathan Ordaz
Héctor Herrera
⇄ Diadié Samassékou
78'
⇄
Mateusz Bogusz
⇄ Ondrej Lingr
88'
⇄
Felipe Andrade
⇄ Duane Holmes
88'
⇄
⇄
88'
Andre Dozzell
⇄ Nikola Markovic
▮
90+5'
Jared Stroud
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
90+7'
▮
FT 1–1
Houston Dynamo
Match Stats
DC United
63%
Ball Possession
37%
0.99
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
20
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
1
8
Shots off Goal
3
7
Blocked Shots
3
13
Shots insidebox
3
7
Shots outsidebox
4
3
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
4
Red Cards
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
528
Total passes
304
479
Passes accurate
258
91%
Passes %
85%
-0.12
goals_prevented
-0.12
Houston Dynamo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Héctor Herrera M | 8.0 | 78' | 1 | – | 2 | 61 (57%) | – |
| 8 Jack McGlynn M | 7.7 | 97' | – | – | 1 | 71 (65%) | – |
| 6 Artur M | 7.5 | 97' | – | – | – | 91 (84%) | – |
| 34 Agustin Resch D | 7.2 | 97' | – | – | – | 50 (48%) | 2 |
| 5 Lucas Halter D | 7.0 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 34 (32%) | – |
| 20 Guilherme M | 7.0 | 97' | – | – | 1 | 48 (40%) | – |
| 36 Felipe Andrade D | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | – | 50 (48%) | – |
| 23 Duncan McGuire F | 6.7 | 59' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 14 Duane Holmes M | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 19 Mateusz Bogusz M | 6.6 | 88' | – | – | 2 | 25 (21%) | 1 |
| 10 Ezequiel Ponce F | 6.6 | 38' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 31 Jonathan Bond G | 6.5 | 97' | – | – | – | 16 (11%) | – |
| 11 Lawrence Ennali D | 6.5 | 77' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | – |
| 9 Ondrej Lingr M | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | 2 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 21 Franco Negri D | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | 2 | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 28 Erik Sviatchenko D | 6.3 | 36' | – | – | 1 | 19 (18%) | – |
| 18 Diadié Samassékou M | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 15 (15%) | – |
DC United
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Lucas Bartlett D | 7.0 | 97' | – | – | – | 47 (41%) | – |
| 9 Tai Baribo F | 7.0 | 97' | 1 | – | 1 | 13 (7%) | – |
| 1 Sean Johnson G | 6.9 | 97' | – | – | – | 26 (15%) | – |
| 25 Jackson Hopkins M | 6.9 | 53' | – | – | 1 | 18 (15%) | 3 |
| 4 Matti Peltola D | 6.9 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 14 (14%) | 2 |
| 22 Nathan Ordaz F | 6.9 | 30' | – | 1 | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 23 Brandon Servania M | 6.7 | 67' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | 2 |
| 13 Sean Nealis D | 6.6 | 97' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | – |
| 21 Andre Dozzell M | 6.6 | 88' | – | – | – | 32 (29%) | 1 |
| 77 Hosei Kijima M | 6.6 | 30' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 7 João Peglow M | 6.5 | 67' | – | – | – | 20 (19%) | – |
| 11 Louis Munteanu F | 6.5 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 27 Nikola Markovic D | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 5 Silvan Hefti D | 6.3 | 97' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | 2 |
| 6 Keisuke Kurokawa D | 6.2 | 97' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | – |
| 8 Jared Stroud M | 6.2 | 30' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (62%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Houston Dynamo win or draw
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Houston Dynamo
LLWDD
DC United
LLLLL
Last 3 meetings
Houston Dynamo · 3W 0D 0L
Match summary
The upcoming match between Houston Dynamo and DC United promises to be competitive, as both teams have shown varying form throughout the season. Houston Dynamo has a solid attacking record, averaging 1.5 goals per game, but has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals. Conversely, DC United has been more consistent defensively, allowing only 1.2 goals per match, but their offense has been less potent, averaging 1.3 goals scored. The outcome may hinge on whether Dynamo can exploit their home ground and capitalize on DC's defensive lapses. Overall, this matchup should showcase contrasting styles, with Houston's attack facing off against DC's structured defense.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
62%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
12%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Houston Dynamo
Guilherme
16 gls
DC United
T. Baribo
16 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Houston Dynamo vs DC United
3
Houston Dynamo Wins
0
Draws
0
DC United Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2013 | DC United | 1 - 2 | Houston Dynamo |
| 08 May 2013 | DC United | 0 - 4 | Houston Dynamo |
| 03 Mar 2013 | Houston Dynamo | 2 - 0 | DC United |
Houston Dynamo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H St. Louis City | L | 0 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | A Portland Timbers | L | 3 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Seattle Sounders | W | 0 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Minnesota United FC | D | 0 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H FC Dallas | D | 2 - 2 |
DC United — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H New York City FC | L | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Columbus Crew | L | 3 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Toronto FC | L | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H FC Cincinnati | L | 0 - 2 |
| 21 Oct | A FC Cincinnati | L | 2 - 1 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Houston Dynamo
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Ben Olsen
31
Bond
11
Ennali
34
Resch
5
Halter
36
Andrade
6
Artur
20
Guilherme
16
Herrera
8
McGlynn
19
Bogusz
23
McGuire
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Jonathan Bond | G |
| 36 | Felipe Andrade | D |
| 5 | Lucas Halter | D |
| 34 | Agustin Resch | D |
| 11 | Lawrence Ennali | D |
| 6 | Artur | M |
| 19 | Mateusz Bogusz | M |
| 8 | Jack McGlynn | M |
| 16 | Héctor Herrera | M |
| 20 | Guilherme | M |
| 23 | Duncan McGuire | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | Blake Gillingham | G |
| 21 | Franco Negri | D |
| 28 | Erik Sviatchenko | D |
| 14 | Duane Holmes | M |
| 30 | Agustín Bouzat | M |
| 18 | Diadié Samassékou | M |
| 9 | Ondrej Lingr | M |
| 24 | Ibrahim Aliyu | F |
| 10 | Ezequiel Ponce | F |
DC United
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Rene Weiler
1
Johnson
6
Kurokawa
13
Nealis
3
Bartlett
5
Hefti
7
Peglow
23
Servania
21
Dozzell
25
Hopkins
11
Munteanu
9
Baribo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Johnson | G |
| 5 | Silvan Hefti | D |
| 3 | Lucas Bartlett | D |
| 13 | Sean Nealis | D |
| 6 | Keisuke Kurokawa | D |
| 25 | Jackson Hopkins | M |
| 21 | Andre Dozzell | M |
| 23 | Brandon Servania | M |
| 7 | João Peglow | M |
| 9 | Tai Baribo | F |
| 11 | Louis Munteanu | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | Alex Bono | G |
| 20 | Grant Leveille | G |
| 27 | Nikola Markovic | D |
| 77 | Hosei Kijima | M |
| 8 | Jared Stroud | M |
| 4 | Matti Peltola | D |
| 32 | Oscar Avilez | F |
| 22 | Nathan Ordaz | F |
| 17 | Jacob Murrell | F |