Houston Dynamo vs DC United Prognose

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 16

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DC United

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Houston Dynamo

62%

26%

12%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Houston Dynamo vs. DC United Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Houston Dynamo eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 62%, für DC United 12% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Timeline

Héctor Herrera

40' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 53'

Jackson Hopkins ⇄ Matti Peltola

Duncan McGuire ⇄ Ezequiel Ponce

59' ⇄

Lucas Halter ⇄ Erik Sviatchenko

61' ⇄

▮ 67'

Silvan Hefti Yellow Card

⇄ 68'

Brandon Servania ⇄ Jared Stroud

⇄ 68'

Louis Munteanu ⇄ Nathan Ordaz

⇄ 68'

João Peglow ⇄ Hosei Kijima

Artur Yellow Card

70' ▮

▮ 71'

Tai Baribo Yellow Card

▮ 72'

Andre Dozzell Yellow Card

Lawrence Ennali ⇄ Franco Negri

77' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 78'

Tai Baribo assist: Nathan Ordaz

Héctor Herrera ⇄ Diadié Samassékou

78' ⇄

Mateusz Bogusz ⇄ Ondrej Lingr

88' ⇄

Felipe Andrade ⇄ Duane Holmes

88' ⇄

⇄ 88'

Andre Dozzell ⇄ Nikola Markovic

▮ 90+5'

Jared Stroud Yellow Card

Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

FT 1–1

Houston Dynamo

Match Stats

DC United

63% Ball Possession 37%

0.99 Expected Goals (xG) 0.85

20 Total Shots 7

5 Shots on Goal 1

8 Shots off Goal 3

7 Blocked Shots 3

13 Shots insidebox 3

7 Shots outsidebox 4

3 Corner Kicks 3

2 Offsides 1

8 Fouls 15

1 Yellow Cards 4

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 4

528 Total passes 304

479 Passes accurate 258

91% Passes % 85%

-0.12 goals_prevented -0.12

Houston Dynamo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Héctor Herrera M	8.0	78'	1	–	2	61 (57%)	–
8 Jack McGlynn M	7.7	97'	–	–	1	71 (65%)	–
6 Artur M	7.5	97'	–	–	–	91 (84%)	–
34 Agustin Resch D	7.2	97'	–	–	–	50 (48%)	2
5 Lucas Halter D	7.0	61'	–	–	1	34 (32%)	–
20 Guilherme M	7.0	97'	–	–	1	48 (40%)	–
36 Felipe Andrade D	6.9	88'	–	–	–	50 (48%)	–
23 Duncan McGuire F	6.7	59'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
14 Duane Holmes M	6.7	9'	–	–	–	–	–
19 Mateusz Bogusz M	6.6	88'	–	–	2	25 (21%)	1
10 Ezequiel Ponce F	6.6	38'	–	–	1	8 (6%)	–
31 Jonathan Bond G	6.5	97'	–	–	–	16 (11%)	–
11 Lawrence Ennali D	6.5	77'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	–
9 Ondrej Lingr M	6.5	9'	–	–	2	3 (2%)	–
21 Franco Negri D	6.3	20'	–	–	2	7 (6%)	1
28 Erik Sviatchenko D	6.3	36'	–	–	1	19 (18%)	–
18 Diadié Samassékou M	6.3	19'	–	–	–	15 (15%)	–

DC United

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Lucas Bartlett D	7.0	97'	–	–	–	47 (41%)	–
9 Tai Baribo F	7.0	97'	1	–	1	13 (7%)	–
1 Sean Johnson G	6.9	97'	–	–	–	26 (15%)	–
25 Jackson Hopkins M	6.9	53'	–	–	1	18 (15%)	3
4 Matti Peltola D	6.9	44'	–	–	1	14 (14%)	2
22 Nathan Ordaz F	6.9	30'	–	1	–	4 (4%)	–
23 Brandon Servania M	6.7	67'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	2
13 Sean Nealis D	6.6	97'	–	–	–	41 (37%)	–
21 Andre Dozzell M	6.6	88'	–	–	–	32 (29%)	1
77 Hosei Kijima M	6.6	30'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	1
7 João Peglow M	6.5	67'	–	–	–	20 (19%)	–
11 Louis Munteanu F	6.5	67'	–	–	1	2 (2%)	–
27 Nikola Markovic D	6.5	9'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
5 Silvan Hefti D	6.3	97'	–	–	–	31 (29%)	2
6 Keisuke Kurokawa D	6.2	97'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	–
8 Jared Stroud M	6.2	30'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Houston Dynamo

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Houston Dynamo

DLWDD

DC United

LDWDL

Last 3 meetings Houston Dynamo · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

The upcoming match between Houston Dynamo and DC United promises to be competitive, as both teams have shown varying form throughout the season. Houston Dynamo has a solid attacking record, averaging 1.5 goals per game, but has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals. Conversely, DC United has been more consistent defensively, allowing only 1.2 goals per match, but their offense has been less potent, averaging 1.3 goals scored. The outcome may hinge on whether Dynamo can exploit their home ground and capitalize on DC's defensive lapses. Overall, this matchup should showcase contrasting styles, with Houston's attack facing off against DC's structured defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

62%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

DC United goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	5	2
1	15	12	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	8	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Houston Dynamo goals · most likely 1–0 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Houston Dynamo

Guilherme 14 gls

DC United

T. Baribo 14 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

26%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

26%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

83% Home (No Draw) 17% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	4.8%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
1	15.1%	11.9%	3.4%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.1%	9.0%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	8.0%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.4%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Houston Dynamo	Draw	DC United
Houston Dynamo	39.5%	3.1%	0.6%
Draw	21.5%	17.8%	5.5%
DC United	2.0%	3.2%	6.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Houston Dynamo vs DC United

3 Houston Dynamo Wins

0 Draws

0 DC United Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Oct 2013	DC United	1 - 2	Houston Dynamo
08 May 2013	DC United	0 - 4	Houston Dynamo
03 Mar 2013	Houston Dynamo	2 - 0	DC United

Alle 8 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Houston Dynamo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H FC Cincinnati	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A San Jose Earthquakes	L	1 - 0
10 Sep	H Real Salt Lake	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Charlotte	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H San Jose Earthquakes	D	0 - 0

DC United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Charlotte	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Atlanta United FC	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Columbus Crew	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	H Los Angeles FC	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	A Charlotte	L	3 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Houston Dynamo

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Ben Olsen

31 Bond

11 Ennali

34 Resch

5 Halter

36 Andrade

6 Artur

20 Guilherme

16 Herrera

8 McGlynn

19 Bogusz

23 McGuire

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Jonathan Bond	G
36	Felipe Andrade	D
5	Lucas Halter	D
34	Agustin Resch	D
11	Lawrence Ennali	D
6	Artur	M
19	Mateusz Bogusz	M
8	Jack McGlynn	M
16	Héctor Herrera	M
20	Guilherme	M
23	Duncan McGuire	F

Substitutes

26	Blake Gillingham	G
21	Franco Negri	D
28	Erik Sviatchenko	D
14	Duane Holmes	M
30	Agustín Bouzat	M
18	Diadié Samassékou	M
9	Ondrej Lingr	M
24	Ibrahim Aliyu	F
10	Ezequiel Ponce	F

DC United

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Rene Weiler

1 Johnson

6 Kurokawa

13 Nealis

3 Bartlett

5 Hefti

7 Peglow

23 Servania

21 Dozzell

25 Hopkins

11 Munteanu

9 Baribo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Sean Johnson	G
5	Silvan Hefti	D
3	Lucas Bartlett	D
13	Sean Nealis	D
6	Keisuke Kurokawa	D
25	Jackson Hopkins	M
21	Andre Dozzell	M
23	Brandon Servania	M
7	João Peglow	M
9	Tai Baribo	F
11	Louis Munteanu	F

Substitutes

26	Alex Bono	G
20	Grant Leveille	G
27	Nikola Markovic	D
77	Hosei Kijima	M
8	Jared Stroud	M
4	Matti Peltola	D
32	Oscar Avilez	F
22	Nathan Ordaz	F
17	Jacob Murrell	F