Corinthians vs Fluminense Prediction
Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
AI call
Corinthians or draw
37%
31%
32%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Corinthians vs Fluminense prediction: Sportiko gives Corinthians a 37% chance of winning, Fluminense 32% and the draw 31%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 21:00.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 73%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
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Timeline
M. Depay
Yellow Card
20'
▮
⚽
0–1
24'
Hulk
assist: Luciano Acosta
🖵
24'
Hulk
Goal confirmed
Matheuzinho
Yellow Card
35'
▮
▮
44'
Samuel Xavier
Yellow Card
Iago Machado
⇄ Gui Negão
45'
⇄
▮
45+6'
Martinelli
Yellow Card
HT 0–1
Gustavo Henrique
56'
⚽
1–1
⇄
59'
Samuel Xavier
⇄ Júlio Fidelis
⇄
59'
Luciano Acosta
⇄ Ganso
André Luiz
Yellow Card
61'
▮
▮
62'
Agustín Canobbio
Yellow Card
▮
64'
Júlio Fidelis
Yellow Card
▮
71'
Nonato
Yellow Card
⚽
1–2
76'
Hulk
assist: Ganso
⇄
76'
Agustín Canobbio
⇄ Riquelme Felipe
⇄
76'
Nonato
⇄ Hércules
André Luiz
⇄ Jesse Lingard
80'
⇄
M. Depay
⇄ Pedro Raul
81'
⇄
⇄
87'
Hulk
⇄ Rodrigo Castillo
Breno Bidon
⇄ Matheus Pereira
88'
⇄
⚽
1–3
90+3'
Kevin Serna
assist: Martinelli
FT 1–3
Corinthians
Match Stats
Fluminense
57%
Ball Possession
43%
20
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
2
7
Blocked Shots
2
11
Shots insidebox
8
9
Shots outsidebox
2
11
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
21
3
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
513
Total passes
417
453
Passes accurate
349
21
Free Kicks
14
Corinthians
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Gustavo Henrique D | 7.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 54 (47%) | – |
| 10 M. Depay F | 6.8 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 28 (24%) | – |
| 14 Raniele M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 67 (63%) | 2 |
| 8 Rodrigo Garro M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 68 (57%) | 1 |
| 21 Matheus Bidu D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (42%) | 1 |
| 7 Breno Bidon M | 6.5 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 47 (43%) | 2 |
| 37 Kaio César M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 34 (29%) | – |
| 49 André Luiz M | 6.4 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 36 (32%) | 2 |
| 56 Gui Negão F | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 55 Iago Machado D | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | – | 37 (36%) | – |
| 18 Pedro Raul F | 6.1 | 9' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 1 Hugo Souza G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | – |
| 2 Matheuzinho D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 57 (50%) | 1 |
| 23 Matheus Pereira M | 5.9 | 2' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 77 Jesse Lingard M | 5.8 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
Fluminense
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Hulk F | 9.1 | 87' | 2 | – | 3 | 14 (11%) | – |
| 1 Fábio G | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | – |
| 90 Kevin Serna M | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 26 (20%) | 2 |
| 32 Luciano Acosta M | 7.7 | 59' | – | 1 | – | 20 (17%) | 1 |
| 8 Martinelli M | 7.4 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 46 (42%) | 2 |
| 6 Renê D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | 3 |
| 3 Thiago Silva D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (56%) | – |
| 29 Julián Millán D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (48%) | 1 |
| 28 Riquelme Felipe F | 6.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 19 Rodrigo Castillo F | 6.8 | 3' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 35 Hércules M | 6.4 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 8 (8%) | – |
| 10 Ganso M | 6.4 | 31' | – | 1 | – | 22 (17%) | – |
| 17 Agustín Canobbio M | 6.3 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 17 (11%) | 1 |
| 16 Nonato M | 6.2 | 76' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 46 Júlio Fidelis D | 6.1 | 31' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 2 |
| 2 Samuel Xavier D | 6.0 | 59' | – | – | – | 26 (19%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (37%)
At a glance
Our lean
Corinthians or draw
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Corinthians
DWLDL
Fluminense
WWLWL
Last 3 meetings
Corinthians · 1W 0D 2L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
37%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
32%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Corinthians
No scorer data.
Fluminense
John Kennedy
9 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Corinthians vs Fluminense
1
Corinthians Wins
0
Draws
2
Fluminense Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr 2026 | Fluminense | 3 - 1 | Corinthians |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Fluminense | 0 - 1 | Corinthians |
| 16 Apr 2025 | Corinthians | 0 - 2 | Fluminense |
Corinthians — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Sao Paulo | D | 0 - 0 |
| 30 Oct | H Mirassol | W | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A Vasco DA Gama | L | 3 - 2 |
| 19 Oct | H Vitoria | D | 1 - 1 |
| 11 Oct | A Palmeiras | L | 4 - 1 |
Fluminense — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Vitoria | W | 0 - 3 |
| 28 Oct | H Internacional | W | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Chapecoense-sc | L | 2 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | A Palmeiras | W | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Santos | L | 1 - 2 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71 | 29 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62 | 23 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |
Cruzeiro
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 48 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 42 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 43 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |
Bahia
|
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 45 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 40 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |
Santos
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |
Sao Paulo
|
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |
Botafogo
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Coritiba
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |
Vitoria
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |
Corinthians
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |
Gremio
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 21 |
Fluminense
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Marcão
1
Fábio
6
Renê
29
Millán
3
Silva
2
Xavier
8
Martinelli
16
Nonato
90
Serna
32
Acosta
17
Canobbio
7
Hulk
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fábio | G |
| 2 | Samuel Xavier | D |
| 3 | Thiago Silva | D |
| 29 | J. Millán | D |
| 6 | Renê | D |
| 16 | Nonato | M |
| 8 | Martinelli | M |
| 17 | A. Canobbio | M |
| 32 | L. Acosta | M |
| 90 | K. Serna | M |
| 7 | Hulk | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | Guilherme Arana | D |
| 35 | Hércules | M |
| 21 | Igor Rabello | D |
| 44 | Jemmes | D |
| 46 | Julio Fidelis | D |
| 94 | Otávio | M |
| 10 | PH Ganso | M |
| 28 | Riquelme | F |
| 11 | J. Savarino | F |
| 98 | Vitor Eudes | G |
| 19 | R. Castillo | F |
| 22 | J. Freytes | D |
Corinthians
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Fernando Diniz
1
Souza
21
Bidu
13
Henrique
55
Machado
2
Matheuzinho
14
Raniele
49
Andre
7
Breno
8
Garro
37
César
10
Depay
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hugo Souza | G |
| 2 | Matheuzinho | D |
| 55 | I. Machado | D |
| 13 | Gustavo Henrique | D |
| 21 | Matheus Bidu | D |
| 49 | Andre | M |
| 14 | Raniele | M |
| 37 | Kaio César | M |
| 8 | R. Garro | M |
| 7 | Breno | M |
| 10 | M. Depay | F |
Substitutes
| 61 | Dieguinho | M |
| 4 | João Pedro | D |
| 51 | Kauê Camargo | G |
| 18 | Pedro Raul | F |
| 11 | Vitinho | F |
| 26 | F. Angileri | D |
| 77 | J. Lingard | M |
| 20 | P. Milans | D |
| 23 | Matheus Pereira | M |
| 35 | Charles | M |
| 29 | Allan | M |
| 56 | Guilherme Inácio | F |