Molde vs Fredrikstad Prediction
FT
Aker Stadion, Molde
AI call
Molde to win or draw
66%
20%
14%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction: Sportiko gives Molde a 66% chance of winning, Fredrikstad 14% and the draw 20%. Last updated 25 Oct 2026, 20:10.
Premium picks
Premium- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 76%
- Under 4.5 75%
- Home 2H Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline
Caleb Zady Sery
Yellow Card
2'
▮
⚽
0–1
8'
Bryan Fiabema
assist: S. Sørløkk
Kristian Lonebu
assist: Sander Hestetun Kilen
11'
⚽
1–1
Kristian Lonebu
assist: Mathias Løvik
17'
⚽
2–1
Emil Breivik
assist: Martin Linnes
35'
⚽
3–1
HT 3–1
▮
53'
Samuel Leach Holm
Yellow Card
⇄
59'
Samuel Leach Holm
⇄ B. Thoresen
⇄
59'
Bryan Fiabema
⇄ H. Skogvold
Kristian Lonebu
assist: Sondre Milian Granaas
60'
⚽
4–1
Kristian Lonebu
assist: Emil Breivik
63'
⚽
5–1
Sander Hestetun Kilen
⇄ Jalal Abdullai
64'
⇄
Kristian Lonebu
⇄ Oskar Spiten-Nysæter
64'
⇄
⇄
67'
S. Owusu
⇄ U. Fredriksen
⇄
67'
G. Wesseh
⇄ L. Owusu
Martin Linnes
Yellow Card
70'
▮
Sondre Milian Granaas
⇄ Niklas Odegard
75'
⇄
Daniel Daga
⇄ Mats Møller Dæhli
75'
⇄
F. Dahl
⇄ Birk Risa
78'
⇄
⇄
82'
Liam West
⇄ J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez
FT 5–1
Molde
Match Stats
Fredrikstad
61%
Ball Possession
39%
2.98
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
18
Total Shots
13
9
Shots on Goal
6
5
Shots off Goal
5
4
Blocked Shots
2
14
Shots insidebox
8
3
Shots outsidebox
5
5
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
711
Total passes
440
642
Passes accurate
389
9
Free Kicks
10
Molde
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Kristian Lonebu F | 9.9 | 64' | 4 | – | 6 | 9 (9%) | – |
| 10 Emil Breivik M | 9.0 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 78 (71%) | 4 |
| 22 Albert Posiadała G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (27%) | – |
| 17 Mats Møller Dæhli M | 7.2 | 15' | – | – | – | 24 (23%) | – |
| 30 Daniel Daga M | 7.1 | 75' | – | – | – | 63 (59%) | 9 |
| 23 Sondre Milian Granaas M | 7.0 | 75' | – | 1 | 3 | 78 (63%) | – |
| 8 Mathias Løvik D | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 60 (50%) | 3 |
| 25 Martin Linnes D | 6.8 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 58 (47%) | 2 |
| 19 Eirik Haugan D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 107 (102%) | 2 |
| 16 Sander Hestetun Kilen M | 6.7 | 64' | – | 1 | 1 | 25 (21%) | – |
| 27 F. Dahl D | 6.7 | 78' | – | – | – | 87 (85%) | – |
| 9 Jalal Abdullai F | 6.6 | 26' | – | – | 2 | 3 (3%) | 2 |
| 33 Birk Risa D | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | 16 (16%) | 1 |
| 21 Oskar Spiten-Nysæter F | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 20 (16%) | – |
| 11 Caleb Zady Sery M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (48%) | – |
| 6 Niklas Odegard M | 6.0 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 14 (11%) | – |
Fredrikstad
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Bryan Fiabema F | 7.9 | 59' | 1 | – | 3 | 14 (9%) | – |
| 13 S. Sørløkk M | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 24 (22%) | 1 |
| 10 J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez F | 6.8 | 8' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 77 M. Børsheim G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (21%) | – |
| 19 F. Ghebreyohannes M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (34%) | 5 |
| 14 M. Nilsson M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 63 (60%) | 1 |
| 29 G. Wesseh F | 6.5 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 21 (15%) | – |
| 11 Liam West F | 6.4 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 25 (24%) | 1 |
| 38 Isak Helstad Amundsen D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 57 (54%) | 4 |
| 6 Samuel Leach Holm M | 6.3 | 59' | – | – | – | 39 (37%) | – |
| 23 H. Skogvold F | 6.2 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 7 B. Thoresen F | 6.1 | 31' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 4 F. Holmé D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (46%) | 2 |
| 28 S. Owusu D | 5.9 | 67' | – | – | – | 30 (29%) | 1 |
| 12 U. Fredriksen D | 5.8 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 10 (10%) | – |
| 24 L. Owusu M | 5.8 | 23' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (66%)
At a glance
Our lean
Molde to win or draw
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Molde
LWWWD
Fredrikstad
LWLLD
Last 3 meetings
Molde · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Eliteserien match on July 4, 2026, Molde will host Fredrikstad at Aker Stadion. Historically, Molde has been a dominant force at home, boasting a strong win rate of approximately 70% in their last 20 home matches. Meanwhile, Fredrikstad has struggled on the road, with a win rate of just 25% in away fixtures over the same period. Molde's offensive capabilities, led by their top scorer, will be crucial against a Fredrikstad defense that has conceded an average of 2 goals per match in recent outings. Expect Molde to leverage their home advantage and attacking prowess to secure a favorable result.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
66%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
14%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Molde
K. Lonebu
13 gls
E. Breivik
10 gls
E. Hestad
8 gls
S. Kilen
7 gls
Fredrikstad
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Molde vs Fredrikstad
1
Molde Wins
0
Draws
2
Fredrikstad Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Molde | 1 - 2 | Fredrikstad |
| 12 Jul 2025 | Fredrikstad | 4 - 2 | Molde |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Molde | 6 - 1 | Fredrikstad |
Molde — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | A Brann | L | 3 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | H Stromsgodset | W | 4 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Fredrikstad | W | 5 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Start | W | 6 - 1 |
| 11 Oct | A Lillestrom | D | 2 - 2 |
Fredrikstad — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | H Rosenborg | L | 0 - 3 |
| 28 Oct | A Ranheim | W | 2 - 5 |
| 25 Oct | A Molde | L | 5 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Viking | L | 3 - 2 |
| 11 Oct | H Tromso | D | 1 - 1 |
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viking
|
25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 64 | 26 | +38 | 59 |
| 2 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 61 | 23 | +38 | 59 |
| 3 |
Rosenborg
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 53 | 32 | +21 | 46 |
| 4 |
Molde
|
25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 39 | +20 | 43 |
| 5 |
Lillestrom
|
25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | +3 | 42 |
| 6 |
Tromso
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 38 | +5 | 40 |
| 7 |
Brann
|
25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 42 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 |
Valerenga
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 |
KFUM Oslo
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |
Fredrikstad
|
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 29 |
| 12 |
Sandefjord
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 |
Ham-Kam
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 27 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 |
Kristiansund BK
|
25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 |
Start
|
26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 59 | -32 | 19 |
Fredrikstad
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
77
Børsheim
28
Owusu
4
Holmé
38
Amundsen
13
Sørløkk
14
Nilsson
6
Holm
19
Ghebreyohannes
11
West
18
Fiabema
29
Wesseh
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | M. Børsheim | G |
| 38 | I. Amundsen | D |
| 4 | F. Holmé | D |
| 28 | S. Owusu | D |
| 19 | F. Ghebreyohannes | M |
| 6 | S. Leach Holm | M |
| 14 | M. Nilsson | M |
| 13 | S. Sørløkk | M |
| 29 | G. Wesseh | F |
| 18 | B. Fiabema | F |
| 11 | L. West | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | J. Torkildsen | G |
| 23 | H. Skogvold | F |
| 5 | S. Rafn | D |
| 24 | L. Owusu | M |
| 10 | J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez | F |
| 9 | S. Laghzaoui | M |
| 21 | J. Jezierski | M |
| 12 | U. Fredriksen | D |
| 7 | B. Thoresen | F |
Molde
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: S. Tjelmeland
22
Posiadała
8
Løvik
27
Dahl
19
Haugan
25
Linnes
30
Daga
10
Breivik
16
Kilen
23
Granaas
11
Sery
20
Lonebu
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | A. Posiadała | G |
| 25 | M. Linnes | D |
| 19 | E. Haugan | D |
| 27 | F. Dahl | D |
| 8 | M. Løvik | D |
| 10 | E. Breivik | M |
| 30 | D. Daga | M |
| 11 | C. Zady Sery | M |
| 23 | S. Granaas | M |
| 16 | S. Kilen | M |
| 20 | K. Lonebu | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | J. Abdulai | F |
| 17 | M. Møller Dæhli | M |
| 26 | S. Kabini | D |
| 24 | Trent Toure Kone Doherty | F |
| 12 | P. Lervik | G |
| 6 | N. Ødegård | M |
| 33 | B. Risa | D |
| 21 | O. Spiten-Nysæter | F |
| 50 | Ioan Alexandru Szamboti | M |