Molde vs Fredrikstad Napoved

Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12

25 Oct 2026, 16:00

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Fredrikstad

Away

Aker Stadion, Molde

UI napoved Molde ali neodločeno

49%

32%

19%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Molde proti Fredrikstad: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Molde na 49%, za Fredrikstad na 19%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 32%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Molde

LWWWW

Fredrikstad

DWDLW

Last 3 meetings Molde · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eliteserien match on July 4, 2026, Molde will host Fredrikstad at Aker Stadion. Historically, Molde has been a dominant force at home, boasting a strong win rate of approximately 70% in their last 20 home matches. Meanwhile, Fredrikstad has struggled on the road, with a win rate of just 25% in away fixtures over the same period. Molde's offensive capabilities, led by their top scorer, will be crucial against a Fredrikstad defense that has conceded an average of 2 goals per match in recent outings. Expect Molde to leverage their home advantage and attacking prowess to secure a favorable result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fredrikstad goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	8	3	1
1	15	14	5	1
2	11	8	3	1
3	5	4	1
4	2	1
5

↑ Molde goals · most likely 1–0 (15.2%)

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Players in form

Molde

E. Hestad 8 gls

E. Breivik 7 gls

K. Lonebu 7 gls

Trent Toure Kone Doherty 6 gls

Fredrikstad

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

32%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

32%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.4%	7.8%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
1	15.2%	14.1%	4.6%	1.1%	0.2%
2	11.1%	8.2%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%
3	4.9%	3.6%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Molde	Draw	Fredrikstad
Molde	29.8%	3.8%	0.9%
Draw	18.6%	22.4%	8.7%
Fredrikstad	1.6%	3.6%	10.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Molde vs Fredrikstad

1 Molde Wins

0 Draws

2 Fredrikstad Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Sep 2025	Molde	1 - 2	Fredrikstad
12 Jul 2025	Fredrikstad	4 - 2	Molde
14 Sep 2024	Molde	6 - 1	Fredrikstad

Prikaži vseh 4 medsebojnih srečanj — Premium

Molde — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Aalesund	L	1 - 2
16 Sep	A Trygg/Lade	W	0 - 5
13 Sep	A Ham-Kam	W	1 - 5
06 Sep	H KFUM Oslo	W	2 - 0
30 Aug	A Valerenga	W	3 - 4

Fredrikstad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Valerenga	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Stjørdals-Blink	W	0 - 1
13 Sep	H Sarpsborg 08 FF	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Lillestrom	W	1 - 4

Eliteserien Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Viking	21	16	2	3	54	20	+34	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	53	19	+34	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	40	29	+11	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	44	32	+12	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	39	30	+9	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	28	29	-1	32
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	39	32	+7	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25	32	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	6	7	8	24	29	-5	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	25	35	-10	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	21	27	-6	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	34	43	-9	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	6	5	10	29	44	-15	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33	46	-13	21
15	Kristiansund BK	21	5	4	12	21	40	-19	19
16	Start	21	4	4	13	22	44	-22	16

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.