Botafogo vs Vitoria Prediction
Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
AI call
Difficult Botafogo win or draw
54%
27%
19%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Botafogo vs Vitoria prediction: Sportiko gives Botafogo a 54% chance of winning, Vitoria 19% and the draw 27%. Last updated 24 Jul 2026, 00:29.
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Timeline
▮
34'
Emmanuel Martínez
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
⇄
46'
Renê Sousa
⇄ Renato Kayzer
⇄
46'
Emmanuel Martínez
⇄ Caique Gonçalves
Lucas Villalba
⇄ Danilo Santos
66'
⇄
Matheus Martins
⇄ Lucas Emanuel
66'
⇄
⇄
66'
Matheuzinho
⇄ Diego Tarzia
⇄
78'
Zé Vitor
⇄ Tomás Pochettino
Huguinho
⇄ Santiago Rodríguez
79'
⇄
Vitinho
⇄ Mateo Ponte
79'
⇄
Arthur Cabral
⇄ Kadir Barría
79'
⇄
⇄
87'
Erick
⇄ Mateusinho
Mateo Ponte
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
FT 0–0
Botafogo
Match Stats
Vitoria
57%
Ball Possession
43%
1.38
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
19
Total Shots
5
6
Shots on Goal
1
7
Shots off Goal
2
6
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots insidebox
4
12
Shots outsidebox
1
9
Corner Kicks
2
Offsides
16
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
366
Total passes
295
299
Passes accurate
227
82%
Passes %
77%
0.96
goals_prevented
0.96
Botafogo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Vitinho D | 7.9 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 35 (24%) | 1 |
| 19 Arthur Cabral F | 7.6 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 17 (12%) | 1 |
| 11 Matheus Martins M | 7.3 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 24 (22%) | 1 |
| 21 Marçal D | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 47 (42%) | 2 |
| 10 Álvaro Montoro M | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 46 (40%) | – |
| 34 Gabriel Justino D | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 32 (31%) | 1 |
| 13 Alex Telles D | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 36 (30%) | 1 |
| 75 Huguinho M | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | 3 | 26 (23%) | 3 |
| 6 Cristian Medina M | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 32 (28%) | – |
| 17 Warleson G | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | – |
| 8 Danilo Santos M | 6.7 | 29' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 4 Mateo Ponte D | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 2 |
| 77 Lucas Villalba M | 6.5 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 13 (8%) | 4 |
| 23 Santiago Rodríguez M | 6.5 | 16' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 37 Kadir Barría F | 6.5 | 16' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 79 Lucas Emanuel F | 6.2 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 6 (3%) | – |
Vitoria
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lucas Arcanjo G | 8.5 | 95' | – | – | – | 26 (15%) | – |
| 33 Erick M | 7.5 | 87' | – | – | – | 34 (27%) | 1 |
| 88 Zé Vitor M | 7.3 | 78' | – | – | – | 41 (35%) | 3 |
| 83 Jamerson D | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | 3 |
| 95 Caique Gonçalves M | 7.2 | 50' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | 5 |
| 36 Luan Cândido D | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 34 (32%) | – |
| 25 Cacá D | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 13 Ramon D | 6.7 | 95' | – | – | – | 36 (26%) | 2 |
| 44 Gabriel Baralhas M | 6.7 | 95' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 12 Diego Tarzia D | 6.7 | 29' | – | – | – | 3 | – |
| 6 Emmanuel Martínez M | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | – |
| 8 Tomás Pochettino M | 6.3 | 17' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 79 Renato Kayzer F | 6.3 | 50' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 98 Mateusinho D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 91 Renê Sousa F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 10 Matheuzinho M | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 13 (6%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (54%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Botafogo win or draw
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Botafogo
WDWLD
Vitoria
WLLLD
Last 3 meetings
Botafogo · 0W 3D 0L
Match summary
Botafogo enters this Serie A clash against Vitoria boasting a strong home record, with a win percentage of 65% at home in the last season. Vitoria, on the other hand, has struggled in away fixtures, securing only 25% of their points on the road. Key players to watch include Botafogo's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Vitoria’s leading midfielder, who provides crucial assists. Given Botafogo’s offensive prowess and Vitoria's defensive vulnerabilities, the home team is favored to secure a vital three points.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
54%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
19%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Botafogo
Danilo Santos
7 gls
Arthur Cabral
7 gls
Vitoria
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Botafogo vs Vitoria
0
Botafogo Wins
3
Draws
0
Vitoria Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov 2025 | Vitoria | 0 - 0 | Botafogo |
| 16 Jul 2025 | Botafogo | 0 - 0 | Vitoria |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Botafogo | 1 - 1 | Vitoria |
Botafogo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | A Cruzeiro | W | 0 - 1 |
| 23 Jul | H Vitoria | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Jul | H Santos | W | 2 - 1 |
| 30 May | A Bahia | L | 2 - 1 |
| 23 May | A Sao Paulo | D | 1 - 1 |
Vitoria — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H Atletico Paranaense | W | 4 - 0 |
| 04 Aug | A Atletico Paranaense | L | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | H Palmeiras | L | 0 - 4 |
| 26 Jul | A Remo | L | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Jul | A Botafogo | D | 0 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | +22 | 47 |
| 2 |
Flamengo
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |
RB Bragantino
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 |
Cruzeiro
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 29 |
| 9 |
Corinthians
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 28 |
| 11 |
Coritiba
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 26 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 |
Santos
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
| 18 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 21 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Botafogo
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
17
Warleson
13
Telles
21
Marçal
34
Justino
2
Vitinho
6
Medina
75
Huguinho
11
Martins
10
Montoro
77
Villalba
19
Cabral
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warleson | G |
| 2 | Vitinho | D |
| 34 | Gabriel Justino | D |
| 21 | Marçal | D |
| 13 | Alex Telles | D |
| 75 | Huguinho | M |
| 6 | Cristian Medina | M |
| 77 | Lucas Villalba | M |
| 10 | Álvaro Montoro | M |
| 11 | Matheus Martins | M |
| 19 | Arthur Cabral | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | Gabriel Batista | G |
| 4 | Mateo Ponte | D |
| 63 | Herick | D |
| 33 | Lucas Monzón | D |
| 29 | Paulinho | D |
| 8 | Danilo Santos | M |
| 23 | Santiago Rodríguez | M |
| 88 | Edenilson | M |
| 59 | Kauan Toledo | M |
| 14 | Jordan Barrera | M |
| 37 | Kadir Barría | F |
| 79 | Lucas Emanuel | F |
Vitoria
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Ventura Jair
1
Arcanjo
13
Ramon
36
Cândido
25
Cacá
83
Jamerson
44
Baralhas
10
Matheuzinho
6
Martínez
88
Vitor
33
Erick
91
Sousa
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Arcanjo | G |
| 83 | Jamerson | D |
| 25 | Cacá | D |
| 36 | Luan Cândido | D |
| 13 | Ramon | D |
| 44 | Gabriel Baralhas | M |
| 33 | Erick | M |
| 88 | Zé Vitor | M |
| 6 | Emmanuel Martínez | M |
| 10 | Matheuzinho | M |
| 91 | Renê Sousa | F |
Substitutes
| 71 | Yuri Sena | G |
| 26 | Edenilson | M |
| 98 | Mateusinho | D |
| 70 | Fabiano Souza | D |
| 2 | Emanuel Brítez | D |
| 8 | Tomás Pochettino | M |
| 15 | Walace | D |
| 95 | Caique Gonçalves | M |
| 12 | Diego Tarzia | D |
| 79 | Renato Kayzer | F |
| 7 | Marinho | F |
| 23 | Fabrício Santos | F |