Botafogo vs Vitoria Predicție

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Botafogo
54%
27%
19%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Botafogo vs Vitoria: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 54% pentru victoria lui Botafogo, 19% pentru Vitoria și 27% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 24 Jul 2026, 00:29.

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Timeline

34'
Emmanuel Martínez Yellow Card
HT 0–0
46'
Renê Sousa ⇄ Renato Kayzer
46'
Emmanuel Martínez ⇄ Caique Gonçalves
Lucas Villalba ⇄ Danilo Santos
66'
Matheus Martins ⇄ Lucas Emanuel
66'
66'
Matheuzinho ⇄ Diego Tarzia
78'
Zé Vitor ⇄ Tomás Pochettino
Huguinho ⇄ Santiago Rodríguez
79'
Vitinho ⇄ Mateo Ponte
79'
Arthur Cabral ⇄ Kadir Barría
79'
87'
Erick ⇄ Mateusinho
Mateo Ponte Yellow Card
90+2'
FT 0–0
Botafogo

Match Stats

Vitoria
57% Ball Possession 43%
1.38 Expected Goals (xG) 0.39
19 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 4
12 Shots outsidebox 1
9 Corner Kicks 2
Offsides
16 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
366 Total passes 295
299 Passes accurate 227
82% Passes % 77%
0.96 goals_prevented 0.96
Botafogo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Vitinho D 7.9 79' 1 35 (24%) 1
19 Arthur Cabral F 7.6 79' 2 17 (12%) 1
11 Matheus Martins M 7.3 66' 2 24 (22%) 1
21 Marçal D 7.3 95' 47 (42%) 2
10 Álvaro Montoro M 7.3 95' 1 46 (40%)
34 Gabriel Justino D 7.2 95' 1 32 (31%) 1
13 Alex Telles D 6.9 95' 36 (30%) 1
75 Huguinho M 6.9 79' 3 26 (23%) 3
6 Cristian Medina M 6.9 95' 1 32 (28%)
17 Warleson G 6.9 95' 22 (16%)
8 Danilo Santos M 6.7 29' 12 (7%) 1
4 Mateo Ponte D 6.7 16' 6 (5%) 2
77 Lucas Villalba M 6.5 66' 1 13 (8%) 4
23 Santiago Rodríguez M 6.5 16' 10 (8%)
37 Kadir Barría F 6.5 16' 2
79 Lucas Emanuel F 6.2 29' 1 6 (3%)
Vitoria
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Lucas Arcanjo G 8.5 95' 26 (15%)
33 Erick M 7.5 87' 34 (27%) 1
88 Zé Vitor M 7.3 78' 41 (35%) 3
83 Jamerson D 7.2 95' 33 (28%) 3
95 Caique Gonçalves M 7.2 50' 13 (9%) 5
36 Luan Cândido D 7.0 95' 34 (32%)
25 Cacá D 6.9 95' 1 21 (18%) 1
13 Ramon D 6.7 95' 36 (26%) 2
44 Gabriel Baralhas M 6.7 95' 17 (13%) 1
12 Diego Tarzia D 6.7 29' 3
6 Emmanuel Martínez M 6.5 45' 16 (12%)
8 Tomás Pochettino M 6.3 17' 2 (1%) 1
79 Renato Kayzer F 6.3 50' 3 (2%)
98 Mateusinho D 6.3 8'
91 Renê Sousa F 6.2 45' 1 3 (3%) 1
10 Matheuzinho M 6.2 66' 1 13 (6%) 1
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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

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Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Botafogo
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Botafogo
LWDDL
Vitoria
LDWLL
Last 3 meetings Botafogo · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Botafogo enters this Serie A clash against Vitoria boasting a strong home record, with a win percentage of 65% at home in the last season. Vitoria, on the other hand, has struggled in away fixtures, securing only 25% of their points on the road. Key players to watch include Botafogo's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Vitoria’s leading midfielder, who provides crucial assists. Given Botafogo’s offensive prowess and Vitoria's defensive vulnerabilities, the home team is favored to secure a vital three points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
54%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
19%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Botafogo
Danilo Santos 9 gls
Arthur Cabral 7 gls
Vitoria
Rene 9 gls

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Head to Head: Botafogo vs Vitoria

0 Botafogo Wins
2 Draws
1 Vitoria Wins
Date Home Score Away
16 Aug 2026 Vitoria 1 - 0 Botafogo
09 Nov 2025 Vitoria 0 - 0 Botafogo
16 Jul 2025 Botafogo 0 - 0 Vitoria
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Botafogo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Mirassol L 2 - 0
16 Sep H Gremio W 3 - 2
12 Sep H RB Bragantino D 1 - 1
06 Sep H Palmeiras D 0 - 0
30 Aug A Flamengo L 3 - 0

Vitoria — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Cruzeiro L 1 - 3
13 Sep A Mirassol D 2 - 2
07 Sep H Gremio W 1 - 0
03 Sep H Vasco DA Gama L 0 - 2
29 Aug A Atletico-MG L 2 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Palmeiras
28 16 9 3 +26 57
3
Atletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 +11 49
4
Fluminense
28 13 9 6 +8 48
5
Bahia
28 12 10 6 +8 46
6
Cruzeiro
28 13 6 9 +2 45
7
Atletico-MG
27 11 7 9 +4 40
8
Santos
27 10 8 9 +1 38
9
Coritiba
28 10 8 10 -6 38
10
RB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Sao Paulo
27 10 6 11 +2 36
12
Botafogo
28 9 8 11 -4 35
13
Vitoria
28 9 6 13 -14 33
14
Corinthians
28 8 8 12 -3 32
15
Mirassol
28 8 8 12 -9 32
16
Vasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 -7 31
17
Gremio
28 7 8 13 -8 29
18
Internacional
28 6 10 12 -6 28
19
Remo
28 5 8 15 -15 23
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 -24 18

Botafogo

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Franclim Carvalho
17 Warleson
13 Telles
21 Marçal
34 Justino
2 Vitinho
6 Medina
75 Huguinho
11 Martins
10 Montoro
77 Villalba
19 Cabral

Starting XI

# Player Pos
17 Warleson G
2 Vitinho D
34 Gabriel Justino D
21 Marçal D
13 Alex Telles D
75 Huguinho M
6 Cristian Medina M
77 Lucas Villalba M
10 Álvaro Montoro M
11 Matheus Martins M
19 Arthur Cabral F

Substitutes

12 Gabriel Batista G
4 Mateo Ponte D
63 Herick D
33 Lucas Monzón D
29 Paulinho D
8 Danilo Santos M
23 Santiago Rodríguez M
88 Edenilson M
59 Kauan Toledo M
14 Jordan Barrera M
37 Kadir Barría F
79 Lucas Emanuel F

Vitoria

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Ventura Jair
1 Arcanjo
13 Ramon
36 Cândido
25 Cacá
83 Jamerson
44 Baralhas
10 Matheuzinho
6 Martínez
88 Vitor
33 Erick
91 Sousa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Lucas Arcanjo G
83 Jamerson D
25 Cacá D
36 Luan Cândido D
13 Ramon D
44 Gabriel Baralhas M
33 Erick M
88 Zé Vitor M
6 Emmanuel Martínez M
10 Matheuzinho M
91 Renê Sousa F

Substitutes

71 Yuri Sena G
26 Edenilson M
98 Mateusinho D
70 Fabiano Souza D
2 Emanuel Brítez D
8 Tomás Pochettino M
15 Walace D
95 Caique Gonçalves M
12 Diego Tarzia D
79 Renato Kayzer F
7 Marinho F
23 Fabrício Santos F

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