Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma Prediction
Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma prediction: Sportiko gives Fenerbahçe a 30% chance of winning, AS Roma 43% and the draw 27%. Last updated 10 Sep 2026, 18:38.
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Match Report
Fenerbahçe and AS Roma played out a 1–1 draw in the opening matchday of the UEFA Champions League league stage, with Roma coming closest to claiming all three points. Bryan Cristante broke the deadlock on 39 minutes to send the visitors into half-time with a deserved lead, having outshot the hosts across the opening period.
Fenerbahçe responded immediately after the break, with Archie Brown levelling on 48 minutes — though the midfielder was booked just three minutes later. Roma had a penalty overturned by VAR on 69 minutes when Paulo Dybala's spot-kick was cancelled, a pivotal moment that ultimately denied them a winning goal. Both sides made a flurry of substitutions in the final quarter, including Matías Soulé entering for Roma, but neither team could find a winner in a feisty contest that produced six yellow cards in total.
Roma edged the key metrics, holding 42% possession but registering five shots on target to Fenerbahçe's three. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Roma victory as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that nearly proved correct before Brown's equaliser intervened.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Fenerbahçe
Match Stats
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mason Greenwood F | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 34 (30%) | – |
| 15 N. Aké D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (39%) | 3 |
| 37 Milan Škriniar D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (54%) | 2 |
| 3 Archie Brown D | 6.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 42 (34%) | 1 |
| 18 Mert Müldür D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (41%) | 4 |
| 9 Romelu Lukaku F | 6.7 | 18' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 70 Oğuz Aydın F | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | 2 |
| 19 Vedat Muriqi F | 6.6 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 5 İsmail Yüksek M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (33%) | 4 |
| 22 Levent Mercan D | 6.5 | 28' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
| 31 Ederson G | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (32%) | – |
| 7 Kerem Aktürkoğlu F | 6.3 | 72' | – | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 91 N'Golo Kanté M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (28%) | – |
| 28 Bartuğ Elmaz M | 6.2 | 62' | – | – | 2 | 37 (31%) | 1 |
AS Roma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Bryan Cristante M | 8.1 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 105 (90%) | – |
| 99 Mile Svilar G | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | – |
| 17 Manu Koné M | 7.2 | 53' | – | – | – | 43 (43%) | 1 |
| 14 D. Malen F | 7.0 | 87' | – | 1 | 4 | 19 (19%) | 1 |
| 5 Evan Ndicka D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (41%) | 1 |
| 61 Niccolò Pisilli M | 6.8 | 37' | – | – | – | 53 (51%) | 1 |
| 23 Gianluca Mancini D | 6.6 | 74' | – | – | – | 34 (31%) | 2 |
| 22 Mario Hermoso D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 80 (74%) | – |
| 18 Matías Soulé M | 6.5 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 44 (37%) | 1 |
| 21 Paulo Dybala M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 39 (33%) | 2 |
| 86 Rodrigo Mora M | 6.4 | 16' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | – |
| 20 Nahuel Molina D | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 15 M. de Roon M | 6.3 | 3' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 2 Devyne Rensch M | 6.2 | 74' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | 1 |
| 26 Leonardo Balerdi D | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | 1 |
| 43 Wesley M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (36%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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M. Greenwood
4 gls
Talisca
4 gls
D. Malen
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Fenerbahçe — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | H Liverpool | W | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Göztepe | L | 1 - 2 |
| 26 Oct | A Galatasaray | L | 2 - 1 |
| 20 Oct | H Slavia Praha | D | 2 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Alanyaspor | W | 3 - 0 |
AS Roma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Sassuolo | W | 3 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Manchester United | L | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Udinese | W | 2 - 5 |
| 27 Oct | H Cagliari | W | 4 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Napoli | D | 3 - 3 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Como
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Manchester City
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge KV
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Inter
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Lask Linz
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Manchester United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |
Galatasaray
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |
AS Roma
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Viking
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |
FC Porto
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |
Sabah FA
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |
Feyenoord
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |
Lens
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
AS Roma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: G. Gasperini
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | M. Svilar | G |
| 23 | G. Mancini | D |
| 5 | E. Ndicka | D |
| 22 | Hermoso | D |
| 2 | D. Rensch | M |
| 4 | B. Cristante | M |
| 17 | M. Koné | M |
| 43 | Wesley | M |
| 21 | P. Dybala | M |
| 18 | M. Soulé | M |
| 14 | D. Malen | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | L. Balerdi | D |
| 9 | S. Castro | F |
| 70 | G. De Marzi | G |
| 15 | M. de Roon | M |
| 87 | D. Ghilardi | D |
| 95 | P. Gollini | G |
| 3 | K. Koulierakis | D |
| 77 | E. Lulli | D |
| 20 | N. Molina | D |
| 61 | N. Pisilli | M |
| 86 | Rodrigo Mora | M |
Fenerbahçe
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: İ. Kartal
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Ederson | G |
| 18 | M. Müldür | D |
| 37 | M. Škriniar | D |
| 15 | N. Aké | D |
| 3 | A. Brown | D |
| 91 | N. Kanté | M |
| 5 | İ. Yüksek | M |
| 28 | B. Elmaz | M |
| 11 | M. Greenwood | F |
| 19 | V. Muriqi | F |
| 7 | K. Aktürkoğlu | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | Nélson Semedo | D |
| 14 | Y. Demir | D |
| 34 | M. Günok | G |
| 17 | İ. Kahveci | M |
| 9 | R. Lukaku | F |
| 22 | L. Mercan | D |
| 77 | O. MimoviÄ | D |
| 45 | N. Dorgeles | F |
| 21 | K. Peprah Oppong | D |
| 13 | T. Çetin | G |
| 70 | O. Aydın | F |