Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma Prédiction

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 1
FT
Post on X
Prédiction IA AS Roma ou match nul
30%
27%
43%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma : Sportiko estime que Fenerbahçe a 30% de chances de s'imposer, AS Roma 43% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 10 Sep 2026, 18:38.

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Match Report

Fenerbahçe and AS Roma played out a 1–1 draw in the opening matchday of the UEFA Champions League league stage, with Roma coming closest to claiming all three points. Bryan Cristante broke the deadlock on 39 minutes to send the visitors into half-time with a deserved lead, having outshot the hosts across the opening period.

Fenerbahçe responded immediately after the break, with Archie Brown levelling on 48 minutes — though the midfielder was booked just three minutes later. Roma had a penalty overturned by VAR on 69 minutes when Paulo Dybala's spot-kick was cancelled, a pivotal moment that ultimately denied them a winning goal. Both sides made a flurry of substitutions in the final quarter, including Matías Soulé entering for Roma, but neither team could find a winner in a feisty contest that produced six yellow cards in total.

Roma edged the key metrics, holding 42% possession but registering five shots on target to Fenerbahçe's three. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Roma victory as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that nearly proved correct before Brown's equaliser intervened.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

0–1 39'
Bryan Cristante assist: D. Malen
HT 0–1
47'
Devyne Rensch Yellow Card
Archie Brown assist: Mason Greenwood
48' 1–1
Archie Brown Yellow Card
51'
53'
Manu Koné ⇄ Niccolò Pisilli
Bartuğ Elmaz ⇄ Levent Mercan
62'
Kerem Aktürkoğlu Yellow Card
69'
🖵 69'
Paulo Dybala Penalty cancelled
Mert Müldür Yellow Card
71'
Vedat Muriqi ⇄ Romelu Lukaku
72'
Kerem Aktürkoğlu ⇄ Oğuz Aydın
72'
74'
Gianluca Mancini ⇄ Leonardo Balerdi
74'
Devyne Rensch ⇄ Nahuel Molina
74'
Matías Soulé ⇄ Rodrigo Mora
İsmail Yüksek Yellow Card
84'
86'
Bryan Cristante Yellow Card
87'
D. Malen ⇄ M. de Roon
FT 1–1
Fenerbahçe

Match Stats

AS Roma
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
437 Total passes 610
365 Passes accurate 550
18 Free Kicks 11
Fenerbahçe
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Mason Greenwood F 7.1 90' 1 3 34 (30%)
15 N. Aké D 6.9 90' 1 41 (39%) 3
37 Milan Škriniar D 6.8 90' 60 (54%) 2
3 Archie Brown D 6.8 90' 1 1 42 (34%) 1
18 Mert Müldür D 6.7 90' 47 (41%) 4
9 Romelu Lukaku F 6.7 18' 6 (3%)
70 Oğuz Aydın F 6.6 18' 1 7 (5%) 2
19 Vedat Muriqi F 6.6 72' 1 20 (17%)
5 İsmail Yüksek M 6.5 90' 38 (33%) 4
22 Levent Mercan D 6.5 28' 10 (10%)
31 Ederson G 6.4 90' 47 (32%)
7 Kerem Aktürkoğlu F 6.3 72' 2 9 (8%)
91 N'Golo Kanté M 6.3 90' 39 (28%)
28 Bartuğ Elmaz M 6.2 62' 2 37 (31%) 1
AS Roma
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Bryan Cristante M 8.1 90' 1 1 105 (90%)
99 Mile Svilar G 7.7 90' 24 (22%)
17 Manu Koné M 7.2 53' 43 (43%) 1
14 D. Malen F 7.0 87' 1 4 19 (19%) 1
5 Evan Ndicka D 6.8 90' 45 (41%) 1
61 Niccolò Pisilli M 6.8 37' 53 (51%) 1
23 Gianluca Mancini D 6.6 74' 34 (31%) 2
22 Mario Hermoso D 6.6 90' 80 (74%)
18 Matías Soulé M 6.5 74' 1 44 (37%) 1
21 Paulo Dybala M 6.5 90' 2 39 (33%) 2
86 Rodrigo Mora M 6.4 16' 11 (8%)
20 Nahuel Molina D 6.3 16' 19 (15%) 1
15 M. de Roon M 6.3 3' 7 (7%)
2 Devyne Rensch M 6.2 74' 31 (29%) 1
26 Leonardo Balerdi D 6.2 16' 15 (14%) 1
43 Wesley M 6.1 90' 41 (36%)
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

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AS Roma ou match nul
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Fenerbahçe
WDDLW
AS Roma
DWDWW
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Fenerbahçe
Talisca 4 gls
M. Greenwood 2 gls
A. Brown 2 gls
AS Roma

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Fenerbahçe — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Eyüpspor W 8 - 0
14 Sep A Gaziantep FK D 0 - 0
10 Sep H AS Roma D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Beşiktaş L 1 - 2
30 Aug A Samsunspor W 0 - 2

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Inter D 2 - 2
14 Sep A Torino W 0 - 2
10 Sep A Fenerbahçe D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Atalanta W 2 - 1
31 Aug A Lecce W 0 - 4

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Bayern München
1 1 0 0 +5 3
3
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 +4 3
4
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 +4 3
5
Como
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
VfB Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 +1 3
10
Lens
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
AEK Athens FC
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Villarreal
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Lille
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Slavia Praha
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Club Brugge KV
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Inter
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
Atletico Madrid
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Napoli
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Lask Linz
1 0 0 1 -1 0
29
Viking
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
FC Porto
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 -4 0
34
Sabah FA
1 0 0 1 -4 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 -5 0
36
Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0 1 -5 0

AS Roma

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
99 Svilar
22 Hermoso
5 Ndicka
23 Mancini
43 Wesley
17 Koné
4 Cristante
2 Rensch
18 Soulé
21 Dybala
14 Malen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
22 Hermoso D
2 D. Rensch M
4 B. Cristante M
17 M. Koné M
43 Wesley M
21 P. Dybala M
18 M. Soulé M
14 D. Malen F

Substitutes

26 L. Balerdi D
9 S. Castro F
70 G. De Marzi G
15 M. de Roon M
87 D. Ghilardi D
95 P. Gollini G
3 K. Koulierakis D
77 E. Lulli D
20 N. Molina D
61 N. Pisilli M
86 Rodrigo Mora M

Fenerbahçe

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: İ. Kartal
31 Ederson
3 Brown
15 Aké
37 Škriniar
18 Müldür
28 Elmaz
5 Yüksek
91 Kanté
7 Aktürkoğlu
19 Muriqi
11 Greenwood

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Ederson G
18 M. Müldür D
37 M. Škriniar D
15 N. Aké D
3 A. Brown D
91 N. Kanté M
5 İ. Yüksek M
28 B. Elmaz M
11 M. Greenwood F
19 V. Muriqi F
7 K. Aktürkoğlu F

Substitutes

27 Nélson Semedo D
14 Y. Demir D
34 M. Günok G
17 İ. Kahveci M
9 R. Lukaku F
22 L. Mercan D
77 O. Mimović D
45 N. Dorgeles F
21 K. Peprah Oppong D
13 T. Çetin G
70 O. Aydın F

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