Anderlecht vs PAOK Prediction
Anderlecht vs PAOK prediction: Sportiko gives Anderlecht a 38% chance of winning, PAOK 35% and the draw 27%. Last updated 13 Aug 2026, 20:28.
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Match Report
Anderlecht edged past PAOK 3–2 in a dramatic Europa League third qualifying round tie that swung repeatedly before the hosts held on. Léo Pétrot opened the scoring in the 19th minute, but PAOK levelled before half-time to make it 1–1 at the break. Lukáš Ambros put Anderlecht back in front just after the interval, only for Danylo Sikan to equalise again on 55 minutes, setting up a tense finale.
The decisive moment came from the penalty spot in the 88th minute, giving Anderlecht a 3–2 lead they would not relinquish. A VAR-disallowed goal for offside in the 74th minute had briefly threatened to alter the contest's shape. The closing stages turned febrile, with two red cards shown — one in the 89th minute and another in stoppage time — alongside a flurry of bookings that included Ambros, who had already been cautioned.
Our pre-match AI model rated an Anderlecht win at just 38%, reflecting the genuine uncertainty of a tie that ultimately lived up to its billing as a closely contested affair.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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M. CvetkoviÄ
1 gls
A. Živković
1 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Anderlecht vs PAOK
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug 2026 | PAOK | 0 - 1 | Anderlecht |
Anderlecht — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Zulte Waregem | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Lyon | L | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Sep | A KV Mechelen | W | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Genk | D | 0 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | H Kortrijk | W | 1 - 0 |
PAOK — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Panetolikos | W | 1 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | A Atromitos | W | 0 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Aris Thessalonikis | W | 2 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Panathinaikos | L | 3 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | H OFI | D | 0 - 0 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |