Anderlecht vs PAOK Prognose

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
3 : 2
HT 1 - 1
Hinspiel 1-0 · Gesamt 4-2
KI-Tipp Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose
38%
27%
35%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Anderlecht vs. PAOK Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Anderlecht eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 38%, für PAOK 35% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 13 Aug 2026, 20:28.

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Match Report

Anderlecht edged past PAOK 3–2 in a dramatic Europa League third qualifying round tie that swung repeatedly before the hosts held on. Léo Pétrot opened the scoring in the 19th minute, but PAOK levelled before half-time to make it 1–1 at the break. Lukáš Ambros put Anderlecht back in front just after the interval, only for Danylo Sikan to equalise again on 55 minutes, setting up a tense finale.

The decisive moment came from the penalty spot in the 88th minute, giving Anderlecht a 3–2 lead they would not relinquish. A VAR-disallowed goal for offside in the 74th minute had briefly threatened to alter the contest's shape. The closing stages turned febrile, with two red cards shown — one in the 89th minute and another in stoppage time — alongside a flurry of bookings that included Ambros, who had already been cautioned.

Our pre-match AI model rated an Anderlecht win at just 38%, reflecting the genuine uncertainty of a tie that ultimately lived up to its billing as a closely contested affair.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Léo Pétrot
19' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 34'
▮ 43'
Rahman Baba Yellow Card
HT 1–1
⇄ 46'
Rahman Baba ⇄ Dimitrios Giannoulis
⇄ 46'
Lukáš Ambros assist: Giulian Biancone
47' ⚽ 2–1
Danylo Sikan
55' ⚽ 3–1
⇄ 67'
Baptiste Santamaria
⇄ 67'
🖵 74'
Colin Coosemans Goal Disallowed - offside
Moussa Ndiaye ⇄ Nathan-Dylan Saliba
78' ⇄
Danylo Sikan ⇄ Tristan Degreef
78' ⇄
Joshua Nga Kana ⇄ Ludwig Augustinsson
78' ⇄
Lukáš Ambros Yellow Card
80' ▮
▮ 82'
Yellow Card
Enric Llansana ⇄ Jayden Onia Seke
84' ⇄
⇄ 84'
⇄ Tom Louchet
⚽ 3–2 88'
Penalty
▮ 89'
Red Card
Giulian Biancone Yellow Card
89' ▮
▮ 90+2'
Red Card
⇄ Adriano Bertaccini
90+2' ⇄
Nathan-Dylan Saliba Yellow Card
90+5' ▮
FT 3–2
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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose
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Anderlecht
WLWDW
PAOK
WWWLD
Last 1 meetings Anderlecht · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
38%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
35%
10%

Most likely scores

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Players in form

Anderlecht
M. Cvetković 1 gls
PAOK
A. Živković 1 gls

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Head to Head: Anderlecht vs PAOK

1 Anderlecht Wins
0 Draws
0 PAOK Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 Aug 2026 PAOK 0 - 1 Anderlecht

Anderlecht — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Zulte Waregem W 3 - 0
16 Sep H Lyon L 1 - 2
11 Sep A KV Mechelen W 0 - 1
06 Sep H Genk D 0 - 0
03 Sep H Kortrijk W 1 - 0

PAOK — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Panetolikos W 1 - 3
16 Sep A Atromitos W 0 - 1
13 Sep H Aris Thessalonikis W 2 - 0
06 Sep A Panathinaikos L 3 - 1
02 Sep H OFI D 0 - 0

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Juventus
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Crystal Palace
1 1 0 0 +4 3
3
Sparta Praha
1 1 0 0 +3 3
4
Beşiktaş
1 1 0 0 +3 3
5
Union St. Gilloise
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
Ferencvarosi TC
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Benfica
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Bayer Leverkusen
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
OFI
1 1 0 0 +2 3
10
Bournemouth
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Lyon
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Torreense
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Red Bull Salzburg
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Sunderland
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
Omonia Nicosia
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
Sturm Graz
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Rennes
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
Dinamo Zagreb
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Jagiellonia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Real Sociedad
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Anderlecht
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Lillestrom
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Celta Vigo
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
AZ Alkmaar
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Levski Sofia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Celtic
1 0 0 1 -2 0
29
1899 Hoffenheim
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
AC Milan
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
Celje
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
Marseille
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Ararat-Armenia
1 0 0 1 -3 0
34
Plzen
1 0 0 1 -3 0
35
Lech Poznan
1 0 0 1 -4 0
36
NEC Nijmegen
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Anderlecht

Coach: Vitor Bruno

PAOK

Coach: A. Lisci

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