Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück Prediction
FT
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
AI call
Difficult Holstein Kiel win or draw
52%
25%
24%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück prediction: Sportiko gives Holstein Kiel a 52% chance of winning, VfL Osnabrück 24% and the draw 25%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 12:53.
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Timeline
▮
1'
Robin Fabinski
Yellow Card
▮
9'
Jonathan Gómez
Yellow Card
David Zec
Yellow Card
10'
▮
▮
19'
Fridolin Wagner
Yellow Card
Hiroki Sekine
Yellow Card
29'
▮
Phil Harres
Penalty
45+2'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
⇄
63'
Fridolin Wagner
⇄ Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
Gyan de Regt
⇄ S. Skrzybski
69'
⇄
Noah Madsen
Yellow Card
70'
▮
⚽
1–1
72'
Hiroki Sekine
Own Goal
⇄
73'
Bernd Riesselmann
⇄ Luca Raimund
⇄
73'
Patrick Kammerbauer
⇄ Konrad Faber
David Zec
Red Card
74'
▮
⇄
87'
Jonathan Gómez
⇄ Joel Abu Hanna
⇄
87'
Robin Meißner
⇄ Leon Opitz
Hiroki Sekine
⇄ Ikem Ugoh
89'
⇄
Guillermo Balzi
⇄ Giorgi Kvilitaia
89'
⇄
▮
90+1'
Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Holstein Kiel
Match Stats
VfL Osnabrück
58%
Ball Possession
42%
17
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots off Goal
6
5
Blocked Shots
4
11
Shots insidebox
8
6
Shots outsidebox
5
10
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
526
Total passes
384
450
Passes accurate
286
15
Free Kicks
10
Holstein Kiel
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Adrián Kaprálik M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 17 (14%) | 1 |
| 19 Phil Harres F | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 1 Timon Weiner G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (46%) | 1 |
| 28 Jonas Meffert M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 47 (43%) | – |
| 7 S. Skrzybski F | 6.8 | 21' | – | – | 2 | 11 (8%) | 1 |
| 8 Guillermo Balzi M | 6.7 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 60 (48%) | 4 |
| 5 Noah Madsen D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 60 (54%) | 1 |
| 9 Giorgi Kvilitaia F | 6.6 | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 40 Leon Parduzi D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 61 (50%) | 3 |
| 27 Ikem Ugoh M | 6.5 | 1' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 2 |
| 15 Kasper Davidsen M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 51 (39%) | 2 |
| 11 Gyan de Regt M | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 26 (20%) | – |
| 26 David Zec D | 6.2 | 74' | – | – | – | 56 (53%) | 1 |
| 32 Hiroki Sekine D | 5.8 | 89' | – | – | – | 67 (61%) | 4 |
VfL Osnabrück
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Luca Raimund F | 6.7 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 27 Robin Fabinski D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (41%) | 3 |
| 28 Konrad Faber D | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 1 |
| 21 Adrian Beck M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 37 (27%) | 3 |
| 26 Fridolin Wagner M | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | – | 20 (16%) | – |
| 15 Bjarke Jacobsen M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 54 (41%) | 1 |
| 11 Robin Meißner M | 6.4 | 87' | – | – | 3 | 24 (15%) | 1 |
| 22 Bernd Riesselmann F | 6.4 | 73' | – | – | – | 14 (4%) | – |
| 24 Jannik Müller D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | 1 |
| 42 Jonathan Gómez M | 6.3 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 25 (18%) | 1 |
| 4 Joel Abu Hanna D | 6.2 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 19 Leon Opitz M | 6.2 | 3' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 25 Niklas Wiemann D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (22%) | 1 |
| 7 Daniel-Kofi Kyereh M | 6.0 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 32 Jonas Krumrey G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (21%) | – |
| 31 Patrick Kammerbauer M | 5.8 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 26 (22%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (52%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Holstein Kiel win or draw
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Holstein Kiel
LLDWD
VfL Osnabrück
LLWLD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
52%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
24%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Holstein Kiel
P. Harres
5 gls
VfL Osnabrück
R. Meißner
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Holstein Kiel — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Arminia Bielefeld | L | 1 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | A SpVgg Greuther Fürth | L | 1 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | H 1899 Hoffenheim | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Dynamo Dresden | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | H Hertha BSC | D | 0 - 0 |
VfL Osnabrück — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A VfL Wolfsburg | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H SpVgg Greuther Fürth | W | 3 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Arminia Bielefeld | L | 2 - 1 |
| 10 Oct | H Dynamo Dresden | D | 1 - 1 |
2. Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hertha BSC
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 31 |
| 2 |
1. FC Nürnberg
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 |
1. FC Kaiserslautern
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 21 |
| 4 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 16 | +10 | 19 |
| 5 |
1. FC Magdeburg
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 17 |
| 6 |
Arminia Bielefeld
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 |
FC St. Pauli
|
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 |
Energie Cottbus
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |
Eintracht Braunschweig
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 |
VfL Bochum
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Dynamo Dresden
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |
Hannover 96
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 |
Karlsruher SC
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 |
Holstein Kiel
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 |
Holstein Kiel
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: T. Walter
1
Weiner
40
Parduzi
26
Zec
5
Madsen
32
Sekine
28
Meffert
20
Kaprálik
15
Davidsen
8
Balzi
11
Regt
19
Harres
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Weiner | G |
| 32 | H. Sekine | D |
| 5 | N. Madsen | D |
| 26 | D. Zec | D |
| 40 | Leon Parduzi | D |
| 28 | J. Meffert | M |
| 11 | G. de Regt | M |
| 8 | G. Balzi | M |
| 15 | K. Davidsen | M |
| 20 | A. Kaprálik | M |
| 19 | P. Harres | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | G. Kvilitaia | F |
| 13 | I. Nekić | D |
| 44 | Mark Richter Monserrat | M |
| 41 | Lio Rothenhagen | G |
| 7 | S. Skrzybski | F |
| 30 | T. Tasdelen | M |
| 47 | J. Tolkin | D |
| 27 | I. Ugoh | M |
| 43 | T. Wiese | M |
VfL Osnabrück
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: T. Schultz
32
Krumrey
25
Wiemann
24
Müller
27
Fabinski
42
Gómez
26
Wagner
15
Jacobsen
31
Kammerbauer
11
Meißner
21
Beck
22
Riesselmann
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | J. Krumrey | G |
| 27 | R. Fabinski | D |
| 24 | J. Müller | D |
| 25 | N. Wiemann | D |
| 31 | P. Kammerbauer | M |
| 15 | B. Jacobsen | M |
| 26 | F. Wagner | M |
| 42 | J. Gómez | M |
| 21 | A. Beck | M |
| 11 | R. Meißner | M |
| 22 | B. Riesselmann | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | L. Raimund | F |
| 19 | L. Opitz | M |
| 8 | L. Münst | M |
| 23 | T. Lesueur | F |
| 7 | D. Kyereh | M |
| 20 | T. Janotta | D |
| 28 | K. Faber | D |
| 4 | J. Abu Hanna | D |
| 1 | N. Sauter | G |