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Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück Prediction

2. Bundesliga 2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

Home
1 : 1
HT 1 - 0
VfL Osnabrück

VfL Osnabrück

Away
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
AI call Difficult Holstein Kiel win or draw
52%
25%
24%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück prediction: Sportiko gives Holstein Kiel a 52% chance of winning, VfL Osnabrück 24% and the draw 25%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 12:53.

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  • Away to Score 72%
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Timeline

▮ 1'
Robin Fabinski Yellow Card
▮ 9'
Jonathan Gómez Yellow Card
David Zec Yellow Card
10' ▮
▮ 19'
Fridolin Wagner Yellow Card
Hiroki Sekine Yellow Card
29' ▮
Phil Harres Penalty
45+2' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
⇄ 63'
Fridolin Wagner ⇄ Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
Gyan de Regt ⇄ S. Skrzybski
69' ⇄
Noah Madsen Yellow Card
70' ▮
⚽ 1–1 72'
Hiroki Sekine Own Goal
⇄ 73'
Bernd Riesselmann ⇄ Luca Raimund
⇄ 73'
Patrick Kammerbauer ⇄ Konrad Faber
David Zec Red Card
74' ▮
⇄ 87'
Jonathan Gómez ⇄ Joel Abu Hanna
⇄ 87'
Robin Meißner ⇄ Leon Opitz
Hiroki Sekine ⇄ Ikem Ugoh
89' ⇄
Guillermo Balzi ⇄ Giorgi Kvilitaia
89' ⇄
▮ 90+1'
Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Holstein Kiel

Match Stats

VfL Osnabrück
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 5
10 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
526 Total passes 384
450 Passes accurate 286
15 Free Kicks 10
Holstein Kiel
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Adrián Kaprálik M 7.2 90' – – 3 17 (14%) 1
19 Phil Harres F 7.2 90' 1 – 4 11 (10%) –
1 Timon Weiner G 7.0 90' – – – 54 (46%) 1
28 Jonas Meffert M 6.9 90' – – 2 47 (43%) –
7 S. Skrzybski F 6.8 21' – – 2 11 (8%) 1
8 Guillermo Balzi M 6.7 89' – – 1 60 (48%) 4
5 Noah Madsen D 6.7 90' – – 1 60 (54%) 1
9 Giorgi Kvilitaia F 6.6 1' – – – 3 (2%) 1
40 Leon Parduzi D 6.6 90' – – 1 61 (50%) 3
27 Ikem Ugoh M 6.5 1' – – – 2 (1%) 2
15 Kasper Davidsen M 6.4 90' – – 2 51 (39%) 2
11 Gyan de Regt M 6.2 69' – – 1 26 (20%) –
26 David Zec D 6.2 74' – – – 56 (53%) 1
32 Hiroki Sekine D 5.8 89' – – – 67 (61%) 4
VfL Osnabrück
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Luca Raimund F 6.7 17' – – 1 8 (6%) –
27 Robin Fabinski D 6.6 90' – – – 46 (41%) 3
28 Konrad Faber D 6.6 17' – – – 14 (11%) 1
21 Adrian Beck M 6.5 90' – – 4 37 (27%) 3
26 Fridolin Wagner M 6.5 63' – – – 20 (16%) –
15 Bjarke Jacobsen M 6.4 90' – – 1 54 (41%) 1
11 Robin Meißner M 6.4 87' – – 3 24 (15%) 1
22 Bernd Riesselmann F 6.4 73' – – – 14 (4%) –
24 Jannik Müller D 6.3 90' – – – 33 (27%) 1
42 Jonathan Gómez M 6.3 87' – – 1 25 (18%) 1
4 Joel Abu Hanna D 6.2 3' – – – 1 (1%) –
19 Leon Opitz M 6.2 3' – – – 2 (1%) –
25 Niklas Wiemann D 6.1 90' – – 1 30 (22%) 1
7 Daniel-Kofi Kyereh M 6.0 27' – – 1 13 (9%) –
32 Jonas Krumrey G 5.9 90' – – – 33 (21%) –
31 Patrick Kammerbauer M 5.8 73' – – 1 26 (22%) 1
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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Holstein Kiel win or draw
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Holstein Kiel
DLDLW
VfL Osnabrück
WDLWL

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 65.2%. Late goal chance: 39%.

72' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 59.1%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Holstein Kiel win: 78.5%. BTTS: 47%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Holstein Kiel leads. Win probability: 78.5%. Over 0.5 more goals: 78.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
52%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
24%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Holstein Kiel
P. Harres 4 gls
VfL Osnabrück

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Holstein Kiel — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H VfL Osnabrück D 1 - 1
13 Sep A 1. FC Heidenheim L 1 - 0
05 Sep H 1. FC Nürnberg D 2 - 2
30 Aug A 1. FC Magdeburg L 2 - 0
22 Aug A TSV 1860 München W 0 - 2

VfL Osnabrück — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
23 Sep A Wiedenbrück W 0 - 3
19 Sep A Holstein Kiel D 1 - 1
13 Sep H Hertha BSC L 1 - 3
06 Sep H Eintracht Braunschweig W 3 - 1
02 Sep H Bayern München L 1 - 4

2. Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Hertha BSC
6 6 0 0 +10 18
2
1. FC Nürnberg
6 5 1 0 +10 16
3
1. FC Heidenheim
6 4 1 1 +2 13
4
VfL Wolfsburg
6 3 2 1 +7 11
5
1. FC Kaiserslautern
6 3 2 1 +2 11
6
1. FC Magdeburg
6 3 1 2 +2 10
7
Energie Cottbus
6 2 2 2 +1 8
8
FC St. Pauli
6 1 4 1 0 7
9
VfL Bochum
6 2 1 3 -1 7
10
Hannover 96
6 2 1 3 -2 7
11
VfL Osnabrück
6 2 1 3 -3 7
12
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
6 1 3 2 -2 6
13
Arminia Bielefeld
6 1 2 3 -2 5
14
Karlsruher SC
6 1 2 3 -6 5
15
Eintracht Braunschweig
6 1 1 4 -1 4
16
Holstein Kiel
6 0 4 2 -3 4
17
Dynamo Dresden
6 1 1 4 -6 4
18
SV Darmstadt 98
6 1 1 4 -8 4

Holstein Kiel

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: T. Walter
1 Weiner
40 Parduzi
26 Zec
5 Madsen
32 Sekine
28 Meffert
20 Kaprálik
15 Davidsen
8 Balzi
11 Regt
19 Harres

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 T. Weiner G
32 H. Sekine D
5 N. Madsen D
26 D. Zec D
40 Leon Parduzi D
28 J. Meffert M
11 G. de Regt M
8 G. Balzi M
15 K. Davidsen M
20 A. Kaprálik M
19 P. Harres F

Substitutes

9 G. Kvilitaia F
13 I. Nekić D
44 Mark Richter Monserrat M
41 Lio Rothenhagen G
7 S. Skrzybski F
30 T. Tasdelen M
47 J. Tolkin D
27 I. Ugoh M
43 T. Wiese M

VfL Osnabrück

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: T. Schultz
32 Krumrey
25 Wiemann
24 Müller
27 Fabinski
42 Gómez
26 Wagner
15 Jacobsen
31 Kammerbauer
11 Meißner
21 Beck
22 Riesselmann

Starting XI

# Player Pos
32 J. Krumrey G
27 R. Fabinski D
24 J. Müller D
25 N. Wiemann D
31 P. Kammerbauer M
15 B. Jacobsen M
26 F. Wagner M
42 J. Gómez M
21 A. Beck M
11 R. Meißner M
22 B. Riesselmann F

Substitutes

17 L. Raimund F
19 L. Opitz M
8 L. Münst M
23 T. Lesueur F
7 D. Kyereh M
20 T. Janotta D
28 K. Faber D
4 J. Abu Hanna D
1 N. Sauter G

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