Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück Predicción

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

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Holstein Kiel

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1 : 1

HT 1 - 0

VfL Osnabrück

Away

Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Holstein Kiel

52%

25%

24%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück: Sportiko le da a Holstein Kiel un 52% de probabilidad de ganar, a VfL Osnabrück un 24% y al empate un 25%. Última actualización: 19 Sep 2026, 12:53.

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Visitante anota 72%

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Timeline

▮ 1'

Robin Fabinski Yellow Card

▮ 9'

Jonathan Gómez Yellow Card

David Zec Yellow Card

10' ▮

▮ 19'

Fridolin Wagner Yellow Card

Hiroki Sekine Yellow Card

29' ▮

Phil Harres Penalty

45+2' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 63'

Fridolin Wagner ⇄ Daniel-Kofi Kyereh

Gyan de Regt ⇄ S. Skrzybski

69' ⇄

Noah Madsen Yellow Card

70' ▮

⚽ 1–1 72'

Hiroki Sekine Own Goal

⇄ 73'

Bernd Riesselmann ⇄ Luca Raimund

⇄ 73'

Patrick Kammerbauer ⇄ Konrad Faber

David Zec Red Card

74' ▮

⇄ 87'

Jonathan Gómez ⇄ Joel Abu Hanna

⇄ 87'

Robin Meißner ⇄ Leon Opitz

Hiroki Sekine ⇄ Ikem Ugoh

89' ⇄

Guillermo Balzi ⇄ Giorgi Kvilitaia

89' ⇄

▮ 90+1'

Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Holstein Kiel

Match Stats

VfL Osnabrück

58% Ball Possession 42%

17 Total Shots 13

4 Shots on Goal 3

8 Shots off Goal 6

5 Blocked Shots 4

11 Shots insidebox 8

6 Shots outsidebox 5

10 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 2

11 Fouls 15

2 Yellow Cards 3

1 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

526 Total passes 384

450 Passes accurate 286

15 Free Kicks 10

Holstein Kiel

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Adrián Kaprálik M	7.2	90'	–	–	3	17 (14%)	1
19 Phil Harres F	7.2	90'	1	–	4	11 (10%)	–
1 Timon Weiner G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	54 (46%)	1
28 Jonas Meffert M	6.9	90'	–	–	2	47 (43%)	–
7 S. Skrzybski F	6.8	21'	–	–	2	11 (8%)	1
8 Guillermo Balzi M	6.7	89'	–	–	1	60 (48%)	4
5 Noah Madsen D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	60 (54%)	1
9 Giorgi Kvilitaia F	6.6	1'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1
40 Leon Parduzi D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	61 (50%)	3
27 Ikem Ugoh M	6.5	1'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	2
15 Kasper Davidsen M	6.4	90'	–	–	2	51 (39%)	2
11 Gyan de Regt M	6.2	69'	–	–	1	26 (20%)	–
26 David Zec D	6.2	74'	–	–	–	56 (53%)	1
32 Hiroki Sekine D	5.8	89'	–	–	–	67 (61%)	4

VfL Osnabrück

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Luca Raimund F	6.7	17'	–	–	1	8 (6%)	–
27 Robin Fabinski D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	46 (41%)	3
28 Konrad Faber D	6.6	17'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	1
21 Adrian Beck M	6.5	90'	–	–	4	37 (27%)	3
26 Fridolin Wagner M	6.5	63'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	–
15 Bjarke Jacobsen M	6.4	90'	–	–	1	54 (41%)	1
11 Robin Meißner M	6.4	87'	–	–	3	24 (15%)	1
22 Bernd Riesselmann F	6.4	73'	–	–	–	14 (4%)	–
24 Jannik Müller D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	33 (27%)	1
42 Jonathan Gómez M	6.3	87'	–	–	1	25 (18%)	1
4 Joel Abu Hanna D	6.2	3'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
19 Leon Opitz M	6.2	3'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
25 Niklas Wiemann D	6.1	90'	–	–	1	30 (22%)	1
7 Daniel-Kofi Kyereh M	6.0	27'	–	–	1	13 (9%)	–
32 Jonas Krumrey G	5.9	90'	–	–	–	33 (21%)	–
31 Patrick Kammerbauer M	5.8	73'	–	–	1	26 (22%)	1

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación

Difícil victoria o empate de Holstein Kiel

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.3%

Both teams to score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Holstein Kiel

DLDLW

VfL Osnabrück

WDLWL

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 65.2%. Late goal chance: 39%.

72' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 59.1%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Holstein Kiel win: 78.5%. BTTS: 47%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Holstein Kiel leads. Win probability: 78.5%. Over 0.5 more goals: 78.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

24%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

VfL Osnabrück goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	4	3	1
1	7	11	6	3	1
2	8	10	6	3	1
3	5	6	4	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Holstein Kiel goals · most likely 1–1 (11.3%)

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Players in form

Holstein Kiel

P. Harres 4 gls

VfL Osnabrück

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

25%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

25%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

69% Home (No Draw) 31% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	3.8%	3.3%	1.4%	0.4%
1	6.6%	11.3%	6.4%	2.7%	0.9%
2	7.7%	9.8%	6.2%	2.6%	0.8%
3	5.1%	6.4%	4.1%	1.7%	0.6%
4	2.5%	3.1%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Holstein Kiel	Draw	VfL Osnabrück
Holstein Kiel	33.1%	3.9%	1.4%
Draw	16.7%	14.1%	7.4%
VfL Osnabrück	3.3%	5.0%	15.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Holstein Kiel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H VfL Osnabrück	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A 1. FC Heidenheim	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H 1. FC Nürnberg	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A 1. FC Magdeburg	L	2 - 0
22 Aug	A TSV 1860 München	W	0 - 2

VfL Osnabrück — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 Sep	A Wiedenbrück	W	0 - 3
19 Sep	A Holstein Kiel	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Hertha BSC	L	1 - 3
06 Sep	H Eintracht Braunschweig	W	3 - 1
02 Sep	H Bayern München	L	1 - 4

2. Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	6	6	0	0	17	7	+10	18
2	1. FC Nürnberg	6	5	1	0	16	6	+10	16
3	1. FC Heidenheim	6	4	1	1	14	12	+2	13
4	VfL Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	15	8	+7	11
5	1. FC Kaiserslautern	6	3	2	1	6	4	+2	11
6	1. FC Magdeburg	6	3	1	2	11	9	+2	10
7	Energie Cottbus	6	2	2	2	14	13	+1	8
8	FC St. Pauli	6	1	4	1	8	8	0	7
9	VfL Bochum	6	2	1	3	5	6	-1	7
10	Hannover 96	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7
11	VfL Osnabrück	6	2	1	3	9	12	-3	7
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	6	1	3	2	9	11	-2	6
13	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10	12	-2	5
14	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6	12	-6	5
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	1	1	4	12	13	-1	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	0	4	2	7	10	-3	4
17	Dynamo Dresden	6	1	1	4	8	14	-6	4
18	SV Darmstadt 98	6	1	1	4	5	13	-8	4