Rochdale vs Oldham Prediction

League Two League Two · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
AI call Oldham or draw
26%
28%
46%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Rochdale vs Oldham prediction: Sportiko gives Rochdale a 26% chance of winning, Oldham 46% and the draw 28%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 13:25.

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Timeline

Daniel Moss assist: Kane Taylor
7' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 45'
Kai Payne ⇄ Calum Kavanagh
HT 1–0
Jonny Smith ⇄ Luke Hanannt
57' ⇄
Dajaune Brown assist: Babajide Adeeko
63' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 66'
Favour Fawunmi ⇄ Josh Hawkes
⇄ 66'
Donervon Daniels ⇄ Lewis Temple
Kaiden Wilson ⇄ L. Maguire
67' ⇄
Daniel Moss ⇄ Tobi Adebayo-Rowling
67' ⇄
Dajaune Brown ⇄ Emmanuel Dieseruvwe
77' ⇄
Kane Taylor ⇄ Edward Francis
77' ⇄
FT 2–0
Rochdale

Match Stats

Oldham
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Goal 1
2 Shots off Goal 13
3 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 6
0 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 2
16 Fouls 11
0 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
350 Total passes 368
252 Passes accurate 273
11 Free Kicks 15
Rochdale
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Daniel Moss D 8.3 67' 1 – 1 32 (25%) 1
39 Dajaune Brown F 7.7 77' 1 – 2 9 (5%) –
21 Kane Taylor M 7.5 77' – 1 – 9 (6%) 3
5 L. Maguire D 7.4 23' – – – 13 (7%) –
13 Tobi Adebayo-Rowling D 7.3 23' – – – 13 (11%) 1
17 Babajide Adeeko M 7.3 90' – 1 – 25 (21%) 2
3 Kaiden Wilson D 7.1 67' – – – 40 (35%) –
2 Charlie Tasker D 7.1 90' – – – 20 (17%) –
18 Jonny Smith M 7.1 57' – – 4 14 (10%) –
19 Luke Hanannt M 6.9 33' – – – 7 (3%) 1
14 Edward Francis M 6.8 13' – – – 8 (6%) –
8 Harvey Gilmour M 6.8 90' – – – 37 (32%) 2
44 A. Flint D 6.6 90' – – – 39 (25%) 1
1 Nils Ramming G 6.5 90' – – – 56 (32%) –
9 Emmanuel Dieseruvwe F 6.4 13' – – – 1 (1%) –
45 G. Middleton M 6.3 90' – – – 26 (15%) 1
Oldham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 Jamie Robson D 6.9 90' – – – 41 (34%) 2
8 Ollie Norburn M 6.8 90' – – – 61 (55%) –
24 Lewis Temple D 6.6 24' – – 1 18 (13%) –
10 Calum Kavanagh F 6.5 44' – – 1 6 (6%) –
6 Manny Monthe D 6.5 90' – – 2 34 (26%) –
7 Keenan Appiah-Forson M 6.4 90' – – – 33 (27%) 2
17 Favour Fawunmi M 6.4 66' – – 2 10 (7%) 2
26 Kai Payne M 6.3 46' – – – 8 (7%) 1
15 Kane Drummond M 6.2 90' – – 4 31 (23%) 1
21 Josh Hawkes M 6.1 24' – – – 7 (6%) 1
9 Mike Fondop F 6.0 90' – – 3 21 (14%) –
2 Gus Scott-Morriss D 5.8 90' – – 4 29 (18%) 2
1 Mathew Hudson G 5.7 90' – – – 42 (21%) –
5 Donervon Daniels D 5.5 66' – – – 26 (15%) 1
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean
Oldham or draw
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Rochdale
DWDLW
Oldham
WLLLD

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Rochdale leads 2-0. Win probability: 97.7%. Comeback chance: 2.3%.

64' Goal 85% sure

Rochdale now leads 2-0 with 93.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 54.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Rochdale leads. Win probability: 63.5%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74%.

28' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 34.3%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

7' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Rochdale win: 54.8%. BTTS: 77.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
26%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
46%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Rochdale

No scorer data.

Oldham
C. Kavanagh 3 gls

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Head to Head: Rochdale vs Oldham

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Rochdale — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep H Liverpool U21 D 3 - 3
19 Sep H Oldham W 2 - 0
12 Sep A Walsall D 0 - 0
05 Sep H Gillingham L 1 - 4
01 Sep H Shrewsbury W 3 - 0

Oldham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep H Fleetwood Town W 1 - 0
19 Sep A Rochdale L 2 - 0
12 Sep H Chesterfield L 1 - 2
05 Sep A Tranmere L 2 - 0
01 Sep A Fleetwood Town D 1 - 1

League Two Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barnet
7 4 3 0 +7 15
2
Walsall
7 3 4 0 +6 13
3
Grimsby
7 3 4 0 +5 13
4
Gillingham
7 3 3 1 +5 12
5
Cheltenham
7 3 3 1 +3 12
6
Bristol Rovers
7 4 0 3 +1 12
7
York
7 3 2 2 +3 11
8
Chesterfield
7 3 2 2 +2 11
9
Crewe
7 2 5 0 +2 11
10
Tranmere
7 2 4 1 +2 10
11
Fleetwood Town
7 2 4 1 +1 10
12
Salford City
7 3 1 3 -1 10
13
Swindon Town
7 3 1 3 -3 10
14
Rotherham
7 2 3 2 0 9
15
Colchester
7 2 3 2 -2 9
16
Oldham
7 2 1 4 -1 7
17
Rochdale
7 2 1 4 -3 7
18
Shrewsbury
7 2 1 4 -6 7
19
Newport County
7 1 3 3 -1 6
20
Exeter City
7 1 3 3 -1 6
21
Accrington ST
7 1 3 3 -3 6
22
Northampton
7 1 3 3 -3 6
23
Port Vale
7 1 2 4 -6 5
24
Crawley Town
7 1 1 5 -7 4

Oldham

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Thaloba Nthaga
1 Hudson
3 Robson
6 Monthe
5 Daniels
2 Scott-Morriss
7 Appiah-Forson
8 Norburn
15 Drummond
26 Payne
17 Fawunmi
9 Fondop-Talum

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Hudson G
2 G. Scott-Morriss D
5 D. Daniels D
6 E. Monthe D
3 J. Robson D
8 O. Norburn M
7 K. Appiah-Forson M
17 F. Fawunmi M
26 Kai Payne M
15 K. Drummond M
9 M. Fondop-Talum F

Substitutes

14 N. Chilvers M
27 O. Hammond M
21 J. Hawkes M
10 C. Kavanagh F
4 T. Pett M
24 L. Temple D
22 Wilson Wilson G

Rochdale

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Thaloba Nthaga
1 Ramming
22 Moss
3 Wilson
44 Flint
2 Tasker
17 Adeeko
8 Gilmour
45 Middleton
21 Taylor
18 Smith
39 Brown

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Nils Ramming G
2 C. Tasker D
44 A. Flint D
3 Kaiden Wilson D
22 D. Moss D
8 H. Gilmour M
17 B. Adeeko M
18 J. Smith M
21 Kane Taylor M
45 G. Middleton M
39 D. Brown F

Substitutes

9 E. Dieseruvwe F
14 E. Francis M
19 L. Hannant M
7 C. Hayes F
5 L. Maguire D
20 Sam William John Waller G
13 O. Adebayo-Rowling D

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