Ayr Utd vs Morton Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 4

Post on X

Ayr Utd

Home

1 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Morton

Away

Somerset Park, Ayr

AI call Difficult Ayr Utd win or draw

59%

26%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ayr Utd vs Morton prediction: Sportiko gives Ayr Utd a 59% chance of winning, Morton 15% and the draw 26%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 15:51.

Premium picks

Premium

Home or Away 74%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Yellow Card

37' ▮

▮ 42'

Yellow Card

Penalty

44' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⚽ 1–1 63'

⇄ Thomas Hatton

67' ⇄

⇄ 69'

▮ 72'

Yellow Card

⇄ 73'

▮ 75'

Yellow Card

77' ⇄

⇄ 83'

89' ⇄

FT 1–1

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Ayr Utd vs Morton

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Ayr Utd win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 19.8%

Both teams to score

29%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Ayr Utd

WLLDL

Morton

LLLDL

Last 1 meetings Ayr Utd · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

59%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

15%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Morton goals →

	0	1	2
0	14	4	1
1	20	10	2
2	17	7	2
3	9	4	1
4	4	2
5	1	1

↑ Ayr Utd goals · most likely 1–0 (19.8%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

26%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

26%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.1%	4.4%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
1	19.8%	10.2%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.0%	7.3%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%
3	9.2%	4.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
4	3.7%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ayr Utd	Draw	Morton
Ayr Utd	46.8%	2.8%	0.4%
Draw	19.0%	19.4%	4.1%
Morton	1.0%	2.1%	4.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

65%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Ayr Utd vs Morton

0 Ayr Utd Wins

0 Draws

1 Morton Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Ayr Utd	0 - 1	Morton

Ayr Utd — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Queen's Park	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Inverness CT	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Partick	L	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Morton	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Raith Rovers	L	2 - 0

Morton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dunfermline	L	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Livingston	L	1 - 4
05 Sep	A Queen's Park	L	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Ayr Utd	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Arbroath	L	1 - 2

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	7	6	1	0	11	2	+9	19
2	Raith Rovers	7	4	2	1	11	3	+8	14
3	Partick	7	3	3	1	5	2	+3	12
4	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6	4	+2	12
5	Livingston	7	3	1	3	10	7	+3	10
6	Ayr Utd	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
7	Arbroath	7	2	2	3	4	9	-5	8
8	Inverness CT	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
9	Queen's Park	7	1	1	5	3	11	-8	4
10	Morton	7	0	1	6	4	13	-9	1

Morton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

1 Harrison

28 Murphy

52 Fairnie

4 Cupps

2 Ballantyne

21 Gillespie

47 Cochrane

7 Garrity

20 Sandilands

29 O'Halloran

10 Brophy

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Elyh Harrison	G
2	C. Ballantyne	D
4	Christopher Cupps	D
52	L. Fairnie	D
28	L. Murphy	D
47	H. Cochrane	M
21	G. Gillespie	M
29	M. O'Halloran	M
20	C. Sandilands	M
7	M. Garrity	M
10	E. Brophy	F

Substitutes

30	J. O’Toole	M
19	Kerr Robertson	M
8	G. Savoury	M
35	D. Black	M
17	Sahil Bashir	F
6	K. Moore	D
11	B. McLuckie	M
31	B. Kinnear	G
25	M. Carse	M

Ayr Utd

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

1 Stone

16 Summers

33 McMann

5 Holt

2 McAllister

6 Lyon

11 Taylor

7 Stirton

15 Murphy

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	H. Stone	G
2	N. McAllister	D
5	K. Holt	D
33	S. McMann	D
16	B. Summers	M
11	R. Taylor	M
6	R. Lyon	M
15	J. Murphy	M
7	O. Stirton	F

Substitutes

3	L. Dick	D
17	Thomas Hatton	M
25	K. Mitchell	M
38	L. Russell	G
35	J. Simpson	M
26	M. Warbrick	F
34	J. Douglas	M