Ayr Utd vs Morton Prognose

Championship · Regular Season - 4

Post on X

Ayr Utd

Home

1 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Morton

Away

Somerset Park, Ayr

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Ayr Utd

59%

26%

15%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Ayr Utd vs. Morton Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Ayr Utd eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 59%, für Morton 15% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 29 Aug 2026, 15:51.

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Timeline

Yellow Card

37' ▮

▮ 42'

Yellow Card

Penalty

44' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⚽ 1–1 63'

⇄ Thomas Hatton

67' ⇄

⇄ 69'

▮ 72'

Yellow Card

⇄ 73'

▮ 75'

Yellow Card

77' ⇄

⇄ 83'

89' ⇄

FT 1–1

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Ayr Utd

Most likely score

1:0 · 19.8%

Both teams to score

29%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Ayr Utd

WLLDL

Morton

LLLDL

Last 1 meetings Ayr Utd · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

59%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

15%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Morton goals →

	0	1	2
0	14	4	1
1	20	10	2
2	17	7	2
3	9	4	1
4	4	2
5	1	1

↑ Ayr Utd goals · most likely 1–0 (19.8%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

26%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

26%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.1%	4.4%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
1	19.8%	10.2%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.0%	7.3%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%
3	9.2%	4.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
4	3.7%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ayr Utd	Draw	Morton
Ayr Utd	46.8%	2.8%	0.4%
Draw	19.0%	19.4%	4.1%
Morton	1.0%	2.1%	4.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

65%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ayr Utd vs Morton

0 Ayr Utd Wins

0 Draws

1 Morton Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Ayr Utd	0 - 1	Morton

Ayr Utd — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Queen's Park	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Inverness CT	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Partick	L	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Morton	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Raith Rovers	L	2 - 0

Morton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Dunfermline	L	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Livingston	L	1 - 4
05 Sep	A Queen's Park	L	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Ayr Utd	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Arbroath	L	1 - 2

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	7	6	1	0	11	2	+9	19
2	Raith Rovers	7	4	2	1	11	3	+8	14
3	Partick	7	3	3	1	5	2	+3	12
4	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6	4	+2	12
5	Livingston	7	3	1	3	10	7	+3	10
6	Ayr Utd	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
7	Arbroath	7	2	2	3	4	9	-5	8
8	Inverness CT	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
9	Queen's Park	7	1	1	5	3	11	-8	4
10	Morton	7	0	1	6	4	13	-9	1

Morton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ramón Catalá

1 Harrison

28 Murphy

52 Fairnie

4 Cupps

2 Ballantyne

21 Gillespie

47 Cochrane

7 Garrity

20 Sandilands

29 O'Halloran

10 Brophy

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Elyh Harrison	G
2	C. Ballantyne	D
4	Christopher Cupps	D
52	L. Fairnie	D
28	L. Murphy	D
47	H. Cochrane	M
21	G. Gillespie	M
29	M. O'Halloran	M
20	C. Sandilands	M
7	M. Garrity	M
10	E. Brophy	F

Substitutes

30	J. O’Toole	M
19	Kerr Robertson	M
8	G. Savoury	M
35	D. Black	M
17	Sahil Bashir	F
6	K. Moore	D
11	B. McLuckie	M
31	B. Kinnear	G
25	M. Carse	M

Ayr Utd

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ramón Catalá

1 Stone

16 Summers

33 McMann

5 Holt

2 McAllister

6 Lyon

11 Taylor

7 Stirton

15 Murphy

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	H. Stone	G
2	N. McAllister	D
5	K. Holt	D
33	S. McMann	D
16	B. Summers	M
11	R. Taylor	M
6	R. Lyon	M
15	J. Murphy	M
7	O. Stirton	F

Substitutes

3	L. Dick	D
17	Thomas Hatton	M
25	K. Mitchell	M
38	L. Russell	G
35	J. Simpson	M
26	M. Warbrick	F
34	J. Douglas	M