PAU vs Dunkerque Prediction

Ligue 2 Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Stade Nouste Camp, Bizanos
AI call PAU or draw
39%
29%
32%
Home Win Draw Away Win

PAU vs Dunkerque prediction: Sportiko gives PAU a 39% chance of winning, Dunkerque 32% and the draw 29%. Last updated 18 Sep 2026, 19:56.

Premium picks

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  • Away to Score 73%
  • Under 3.5 Goals 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

▮ 11'
Victor Mayela Red Card
Anthony Briançon Yellow Card
16' ▮
⇄ 17'
G. Robail ⇄ Bram Lagae
Akim Abdallah Yellow Card
32' ▮
HT 0–0
Jessy Benet Penalty
49' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 52'
Bram Lagae Yellow Card
Axel Bamba ⇄ Axel Dodote
58' ⇄
▮ 63'
Yellow Card
J. Sebas ⇄ Abdoulaye Mbaye
66' ⇄
Akim Abdallah ⇄ Souleymane Basse
67' ⇄
⇄ 67'
J. Morel ⇄ Ousmane Touré
⇄ 68'
Egor Prutsev ⇄ Enzo Mayilla
⇄ 77'
Souleymane Keita ⇄ Pape Dieng
⇄ 77'
Théna Massock ⇄ Franck Atoen
▮ 81'
Enzo Mayilla Yellow Card
Tom Saettel ⇄ Lorenzo Rajot
83' ⇄
Abdoulaye Mbaye assist: Lorenzo Rajot
88' ⚽ 2–0
FT 2–0
PAU

Match Stats

Dunkerque
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 0
15 Shots insidebox 3
7 Shots outsidebox 4
6 Corner Kicks 2
4 Offsides 0
16 Fouls 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
3 Goalkeeper Saves 8
556 Total passes 286
495 Passes accurate 210
15 Free Kicks 16
PAU
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
29 Gaëtan Paquiez D 7.9 90' – – – 102 (95%) 2
21 Jessy Benet M 7.8 90' 1 – 4 71 (62%) 3
23 Anthony Briançon D 7.7 90' – – 4 80 (75%) 4
56 Abdoulaye Mbaye F 7.7 24' 1 – 2 7 (3%) –
88 Axel Bamba D 7.6 58' – – – 48 (46%) 1
2 Tom Pouilly D 7.6 90' – – 1 67 (60%) –
4 Axel Dodote D 7.5 32' – – – 21 (19%) 2
5 Lorenzo Rajot M 7.2 7' – 1 2 7 (6%) –
1 Brice Maubleu G 7.1 90' – – – 14 (13%) –
8 Souleymane Basse D 7.1 23' – – – 13 (12%) 2
6 Cheikh Fall M 7.0 90' – – 4 49 (42%) 1
97 Akim Abdallah D 7.0 67' – – – 37 (31%) 2
19 Tom Saettel F 6.7 83' – – 2 17 (14%) 2
9 B. Leye F 6.5 90' – – 1 17 (14%) –
18 J. Sebas M 6.3 66' – – 2 7 (3%) 1
Dunkerque
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
73 Moha Ramos G 7.4 90' – – – 38 (21%) –
24 Lenny Vallier D 6.7 90' – – – 28 (21%) 2
6 J. Morel M 6.7 67' – – – 21 (20%) 1
19 Souleymane Keita M 6.5 77' – – 2 14 (8%) 1
11 Egor Prutsev M 6.4 68' – – 1 9 (6%) 1
2 Ousmane Touré D 6.4 23' – – 1 12 (11%) 1
26 Opa Sangante D 6.3 90' – – 1 44 (36%) –
25 Franck Atoen M 6.2 13' – – – 10 (8%) 1
18 Théna Massock M 6.2 77' – – – 13 (9%) 2
94 Enzo Mayilla F 6.1 22' – – – 2 (1%) –
17 Pape Dieng M 6.1 13' – – – 5 (4%) –
9 G. Robail F 6.0 17' – – – 6 (3%) –
4 Bram Lagae D 5.9 73' – – 1 29 (22%) 1
7 Khalil Ayari M 5.8 90' – – 1 15 (10%) 3
27 Allan Linguet D 5.7 90' – – – 23 (17%) 1
22 Victor Mayela D 5.3 11' – – – 15 (12%) –
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean
PAU or draw
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PAU
LWWWW
Dunkerque
WLDWL

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 match, PAU faces Dunkerque. PAU has shown a solid home record, while Dunkerque struggles on the road, having secured only 4 points from their last 5 away matches. Key players to watch include PAU’s top scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking play, and Dunkerque’s goalkeeper, who has made crucial saves to keep them in contests. Given the current form and PAU's attacking efficiency, they are likely to dominate possession and create more goal-scoring opportunities. This match will be crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
39%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
32%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

PAU
B. Leye 4 gls
Dunkerque
E. Prutsev 3 gls
S. Keita 3 gls

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Head to Head: PAU vs Dunkerque

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

PAU — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Nantes L 0 - 2
30 Oct A Metz W 1 - 3
23 Oct H Grenoble W 2 - 1
16 Oct A Guingamp W 1 - 2
09 Oct H Laval W 3 - 2

Dunkerque — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Guingamp W 3 - 0
30 Oct A Rodez L 1 - 0
23 Oct H Metz D 1 - 1
17 Oct A Nantes W 2 - 3
09 Oct H Annecy L 0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Saint Etienne
12 9 1 2 +14 28
2
Nancy
12 8 1 3 +8 25
3
Montpellier
12 7 3 2 +9 24
4
Reims
12 5 6 1 +9 21
5
PAU
12 6 2 4 +3 20
6
Dijon
12 5 3 4 +2 18
7
Metz
12 4 5 3 +1 17
8
RED Star FC 93
12 5 2 5 -3 17
9
Annecy
12 5 1 6 -4 16
10
Dunkerque
12 4 3 5 0 15
11
Guingamp
12 4 2 6 -2 14
12
Boulogne
12 2 7 3 +2 13
13
Rodez
12 4 1 7 -6 13
14
Nantes
12 3 3 6 -4 12
15
Clermont Foot
12 1 8 3 -4 11
16
Sochaux
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Grenoble
12 3 2 7 -9 11
18
Laval
12 2 3 7 -9 9

PAU

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Thierry Debes
1 Maubleu
97 Abdallah
88 Bamba
23 Briançon
29 Paquiez
2 Pouilly
18 Sebas
21 Benet
6 Fall
19 Saettel
9 Leye

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Maubleu G
2 T. Pouilly D
29 G. Paquiez D
23 A. Briançon D
88 A. Bamba D
97 A. Abdallah D
6 C. Fall M
21 J. Benet M
18 J. Sebas M
9 B. Leye F
19 T. Saettel F

Substitutes

8 S. Basse D
10 B. Brahimi M
4 A. Dodote D
27 L. Gadegbeku M
11 A. Lefebvre F
56 Abdoulaye Mbaye F
5 L. Rajot M
30 E. Salles G
39 M. Tourraine D

Dunkerque

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Albert Sánchez
73 Airam
24 Vallier
22 Mayela
26 Sanganté
27 Linguet
18 Massock
6 Morel
11 Prutsev
19 Keita
7 Ayari
9 Robail

Starting XI

# Player Pos
73 Moha Airam G
27 A. Linguet D
26 Opa Sanganté D
22 V. Mayela D
24 L. Vallier D
6 J. Morel M
18 Théna Massock M
7 K. Ayari M
19 S. Keita M
11 E. Prutsev M
9 G. Robail F

Substitutes

30 Abner M
16 M. Prévot G
33 Noah Nemorin F
94 E. Mayilla F
4 B. Lagae D
21 L. Loussilaho D
17 P. M. Dieng M
25 Franck Atoen M
2 O. Touré D

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