PAU vs Dunkerque Prognose

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 7

Post on X

Dunkerque

Away

Stade Nouste Camp, Bizanos

KI-Tipp PAU oder Unentschieden

39%

29%

32%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

PAU vs. Dunkerque Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für PAU eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 39%, für Dunkerque 32% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 18 Sep 2026, 19:56.

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Timeline

▮ 11'

Victor Mayela Red Card

Anthony Briançon Yellow Card

16' ▮

⇄ 17'

G. Robail ⇄ Bram Lagae

Akim Abdallah Yellow Card

32' ▮

HT 0–0

Jessy Benet Penalty

49' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 52'

Bram Lagae Yellow Card

Axel Bamba ⇄ Axel Dodote

58' ⇄

▮ 63'

Yellow Card

J. Sebas ⇄ Abdoulaye Mbaye

66' ⇄

Akim Abdallah ⇄ Souleymane Basse

67' ⇄

⇄ 67'

J. Morel ⇄ Ousmane Touré

⇄ 68'

Egor Prutsev ⇄ Enzo Mayilla

⇄ 77'

Souleymane Keita ⇄ Pape Dieng

⇄ 77'

Théna Massock ⇄ Franck Atoen

▮ 81'

Enzo Mayilla Yellow Card

Tom Saettel ⇄ Lorenzo Rajot

83' ⇄

Abdoulaye Mbaye assist: Lorenzo Rajot

88' ⚽ 2–0

FT 2–0

PAU

Match Stats

Dunkerque

67% Ball Possession 33%

22 Total Shots 7

10 Shots on Goal 3

7 Shots off Goal 4

5 Blocked Shots 0

15 Shots insidebox 3

7 Shots outsidebox 4

6 Corner Kicks 2

4 Offsides 0

16 Fouls 15

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 8

556 Total passes 286

495 Passes accurate 210

15 Free Kicks 16

PAU

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
29 Gaëtan Paquiez D	7.9	90'	–	–	–	102 (95%)	2
21 Jessy Benet M	7.8	90'	1	–	4	71 (62%)	3
23 Anthony Briançon D	7.7	90'	–	–	4	80 (75%)	4
56 Abdoulaye Mbaye F	7.7	24'	1	–	2	7 (3%)	–
88 Axel Bamba D	7.6	58'	–	–	–	48 (46%)	1
2 Tom Pouilly D	7.6	90'	–	–	1	67 (60%)	–
4 Axel Dodote D	7.5	32'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	2
5 Lorenzo Rajot M	7.2	7'	–	1	2	7 (6%)	–
1 Brice Maubleu G	7.1	90'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
8 Souleymane Basse D	7.1	23'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	2
6 Cheikh Fall M	7.0	90'	–	–	4	49 (42%)	1
97 Akim Abdallah D	7.0	67'	–	–	–	37 (31%)	2
19 Tom Saettel F	6.7	83'	–	–	2	17 (14%)	2
9 B. Leye F	6.5	90'	–	–	1	17 (14%)	–
18 J. Sebas M	6.3	66'	–	–	2	7 (3%)	1

Dunkerque

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
73 Moha Ramos G	7.4	90'	–	–	–	38 (21%)	–
24 Lenny Vallier D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	28 (21%)	2
6 J. Morel M	6.7	67'	–	–	–	21 (20%)	1
19 Souleymane Keita M	6.5	77'	–	–	2	14 (8%)	1
11 Egor Prutsev M	6.4	68'	–	–	1	9 (6%)	1
2 Ousmane Touré D	6.4	23'	–	–	1	12 (11%)	1
26 Opa Sangante D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	44 (36%)	–
25 Franck Atoen M	6.2	13'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	1
18 Théna Massock M	6.2	77'	–	–	–	13 (9%)	2
94 Enzo Mayilla F	6.1	22'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
17 Pape Dieng M	6.1	13'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
9 G. Robail F	6.0	17'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
4 Bram Lagae D	5.9	73'	–	–	1	29 (22%)	1
7 Khalil Ayari M	5.8	90'	–	–	1	15 (10%)	3
27 Allan Linguet D	5.7	90'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	1
22 Victor Mayela D	5.3	11'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	–

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

PAU oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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PAU

WLDDL

Dunkerque

LWDLL

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 match, PAU faces Dunkerque. PAU has shown a solid home record, while Dunkerque struggles on the road, having secured only 4 points from their last 5 away matches. Key players to watch include PAU’s top scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking play, and Dunkerque’s goalkeeper, who has made crucial saves to keep them in contests. Given the current form and PAU's attacking efficiency, they are likely to dominate possession and create more goal-scoring opportunities. This match will be crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league.

Live insights

88' Goal 85% sure

PAU now leads 2-0 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: PAU leads 1-0. Win probability: 88.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 11.6%.

51' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. PAU win: 80.6%. BTTS: 34.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 69.2%. Over 1.5 remaining: 35.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dunkerque goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	5	2	1
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ PAU goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

PAU

B. Leye 3 gls

Dunkerque

E. Prutsev 2 gls

S. Keita 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

32%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

32%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	6.6%	5.3%	2.3%	0.8%
1	7.7%	13.6%	7.8%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.8%	8.9%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.3%	4.3%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.2%	1.6%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	PAU	Draw	Dunkerque
PAU	25.8%	5.6%	2.7%
Draw	13.1%	17.3%	13.9%
Dunkerque	1.7%	3.6%	16.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: PAU vs Dunkerque

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

PAU — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Dunkerque	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	A Montpellier	L	1 - 0
04 Sep	H Sochaux	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Rodez	D	2 - 2
21 Aug	H Nancy	L	0 - 1

Dunkerque — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A PAU	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Saint Etienne	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	H Clermont Foot	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Nancy	L	2 - 0
21 Aug	H Montpellier	L	0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5