Metz vs Guingamp Prediction
AI call
Metz or draw
45%
29%
26%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Metz vs Guingamp prediction: Sportiko gives Metz a 45% chance of winning, Guingamp 26% and the draw 29%. Last updated 9 Aug 2026, 00:03.
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Timeline
Jessy Deminguet
Yellow Card
19'
▮
Pape Moussa Fall
Missed Penalty
30'
✗
HT 0–0
⚽
0–1
51'
Albin Demouchy
assist: Amine Hemia
▮
54'
Albin Demouchy
Yellow Card
⇄
57'
Florent Sanchez Da Silva
⇄ Tom Ducrocq
Pape Moussa Fall
assist: Maxime Colin
58'
⚽
1–1
Giorgi Abuashvili
assist: Jessy Deminguet
60'
⚽
2–1
Believe Munongo
⇄ Hamza Kadamani
65'
⇄
⇄
66'
Tanguy Ahile
⇄ Samir Ben Brahim
⇄
66'
Amine Hemia
⇄ Jasser Chamakh
⇄
66'
Jeovanni Dianganga
⇄ Donatien Gomis
⇄
74'
Jérémie Matumona
Pape Moussa Fall
⇄ Habib Diallo
79'
⇄
Nathan Mbala
⇄ Nampalys Mendy
79'
⇄
Giorgi Abuashvili
⇄ Morgan Bokele Mputu
82'
⇄
Idris Mohamed
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
FT 2–1
Metz
Match Stats
Guingamp
41%
Ball Possession
59%
Expected Goals (xG)
15
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Goal
7
3
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
0
10
Shots insidebox
8
5
Shots outsidebox
4
5
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
6
Goalkeeper Saves
5
377
Total passes
557
321
Passes accurate
489
85%
Passes %
88%
goals_prevented
Metz
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Giorgi Abuashvili M | 7.9 | 82' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (14%) | 2 |
| 1 Jonathan Fischer G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (15%) | – |
| 5 Jean Ruiz D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (52%) | 4 |
| 2 Maxime Colin D | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 35 (31%) | – |
| 8 Jessy Deminguet F | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 41 (36%) | – |
| 98 Idris Mohamed M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (36%) | 1 |
| 38 Hamza Kadamani M | 6.9 | 25' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 2 |
| 22 Nathan Mbala D | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 18 (15%) | 3 |
| 6 Nampalys Mendy M | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 42 Cristian Castro D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (53%) | 1 |
| 11 Pape Moussa Fall F | 6.6 | 79' | 1 | – | 5 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 19 Morgan Bokele Mputu F | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 20 Habib Diallo F | 6.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 18 Believe Munongo M | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | – |
| 3 Florian Miguel D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 31 (22%) | 1 |
Guingamp
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 Albin Demouchy D | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 85 (76%) | 2 |
| 16 Adrián Ortolá G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (50%) | – |
| 4 Dylan Louiserre M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 73 (71%) | 1 |
| 7 Donatien Gomis D | 7.2 | 24' | – | – | – | 33 (30%) | 1 |
| 10 Amine Hemia F | 7.0 | 66' | – | 1 | – | 29 (25%) | 1 |
| 3 Jérémie Matumona D | 6.7 | 74' | – | – | – | 37 (30%) | 2 |
| 24 Jeovanni Dianganga D | 6.6 | 66' | – | – | – | 42 (40%) | 3 |
| 39 Vimoj Muntu D | 6.6 | 16' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 23 Jasser Chamakh F | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | 2 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 11 Teddy Averlant M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 19 (16%) | 2 |
| 8 Florent Sanchez Da Silva M | 6.3 | 57' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | – |
| 21 Tanguy Ahile M | 6.3 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 39 (35%) | 2 |
| 25 Tom Ducrocq M | 6.3 | 33' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 1 |
| 20 Samir Ben Brahim M | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 2 Erwin Koffi D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (24%) | – |
| 18 Stanislas Kielt F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 14 (10%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (45%)
At a glance
Our lean
Metz or draw
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Metz
DLWDD
Guingamp
LWDDL
Last 3 meetings
Metz · 0W 1D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Metz will face Guingamp at their home ground. Metz has shown a solid defensive record, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded over the last five matches. Guingamp, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.8 goals per match during the same period. Both teams will aim to secure vital points early in the season, making tactical discipline and set-piece execution crucial. The match could hinge on Metz's ability to capitalize on Guingamp's defensive lapses.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
45%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
26%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Metz
P. Fall
5 gls
J. Deminguet
2 gls
Guingamp
B. Bokangu
4 gls
D. Gomis
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Metz vs Guingamp
0
Metz Wins
1
Draws
2
Guingamp Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2018 | Guingamp | 2 - 2 | Metz |
| 05 Aug 2017 | Metz | 1 - 3 | Guingamp |
| 20 May 2017 | Guingamp | 1 - 0 | Metz |
Metz — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Saint Etienne | D | 2 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A RED Star FC 93 | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Rodez | W | 4 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Annecy | D | 1 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | H Laval | D | 1 - 1 |
Guingamp — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H RED Star FC 93 | L | 1 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | H Annecy | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Reims | D | 2 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Nantes | D | 3 - 3 |
| 21 Aug | A Sochaux | L | 1 - 0 |
Ligue 2 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saint Etienne
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |
RED Star FC 93
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 14 |
| 3 |
Reims
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Montpellier
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 |
Metz
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |
Nancy
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 |
Annecy
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 |
Sochaux
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 |
Dijon
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |
PAU
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |
Guingamp
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 |
Dunkerque
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |
Grenoble
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |
Rodez
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |
Clermont Foot
|
7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 |
Boulogne
|
7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |
Laval
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 5 |
Guingamp
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: S. Ripoll
16
Ortolá
2
Koffi
24
Dianganga
36
Demouchy
3
Matumona
8
Silva
21
Ahile
4
Louiserre
11
Averlant
18
Kielt
10
Hemia
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Adrián Ortolá | G |
| 3 | Jérémie Matumona | D |
| 36 | Albin Demouchy | D |
| 24 | Jeovanni Dianganga | D |
| 2 | Erwin Koffi | D |
| 11 | Teddy Averlant | M |
| 4 | Dylan Louiserre | M |
| 21 | Tanguy Ahile | M |
| 8 | Florent Sanchez Da Silva | M |
| 10 | Amine Hemia | F |
| 18 | Stanislas Kielt | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | Tom Ducrocq | M |
| 7 | Donatien Gomis | D |
| 23 | Jasser Chamakh | F |
| 20 | Samir Ben Brahim | M |
| 39 | Vimoj Muntu | D |
| 1 | Teddy Bartouche-Selbonne | G |
| 31 | Joël Matondo | M |
| 32 | Ibrahima Diakité | M |
| 38 | Ewan Aucan | M |
Metz
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: L. Holtz
1
Fischer
3
Miguel
5
Ruiz
42
Castro
2
Colin
22
Mbala
9
Abuashvili
18
Munongo
98
Mohamed
11
Fall
8
Deminguet
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Fischer | G |
| 22 | Nathan Mbala | D |
| 2 | Maxime Colin | D |
| 42 | Cristian Castro | D |
| 5 | Jean Ruiz | D |
| 3 | Florian Miguel | D |
| 98 | Idris Mohamed | M |
| 18 | Believe Munongo | M |
| 9 | Giorgi Abuashvili | M |
| 8 | Jessy Deminguet | F |
| 11 | Pape Moussa Fall | F |
Substitutes
| 38 | Hamza Kadamani | M |
| 6 | Nampalys Mendy | M |
| 20 | Habibou Diallo | F |
| 19 | Morgan Bokele Mputu | F |
| 61 | Pape Sy | G |
| 32 | Adam Marchal | D |
| 25 | Cléo Mélières | D |
| 21 | Jahyann Pandore | F |
| 7 | Ibou Sane | F |