Metz vs Guingamp Prediction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 1

08 Aug 2026, 18:45

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Guingamp

Away

Chamada de IA Metz ou empate

45%

29%

26%

Vitória do Mandante · 2.20 Empate · 3.50 Vitória do Visitante · 3.60

Metz vs Guingamp prediction: Sportiko gives Metz a 45% chance of winning, Guingamp 26% and the draw 29%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Metz

LWWDL

Guingamp

DLLLW

Last 3 meetings Metz · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Metz will face Guingamp at their home ground. Metz has shown a solid defensive record, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded over the last five matches. Guingamp, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.8 goals per match during the same period. Both teams will aim to secure vital points early in the season, making tactical discipline and set-piece execution crucial. The match could hinge on Metz's ability to capitalize on Guingamp's defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

26%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Guingamp goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	8	4	1
1	13	14	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	4	2	1
4	2	1	1
5

↑ Metz goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

29%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

29%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.0%	7.6%	4.1%	1.2%	0.3%
1	12.7%	14.4%	5.7%	1.7%	0.4%
2	9.9%	8.8%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
3	4.5%	4.0%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Metz	Draw	Guingamp
Metz	29.0%	4.0%	1.1%
Draw	16.9%	20.6%	9.2%
Guingamp	1.9%	4.1%	13.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Metz vs Guingamp

0 Metz Wins

1 Draws

2 Guingamp Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Feb 2018	Guingamp	2 - 2	Metz
05 Aug 2017	Metz	1 - 3	Guingamp
20 May 2017	Guingamp	1 - 0	Metz

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Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H 1. FC Kaiserslautern	L	1 - 3
25 Jul	H Fortuna Sittard	W	3 - 1
17 Jul	H Seraing United	W	5 - 0
17 May	A Nice	D	0 - 0
10 May	H Lorient	L	0 - 4

Guingamp — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	3 - 3
25 Jul	H Lorient	L	0 - 2
17 Jul	A Rennes	L	2 - 1
21 Mar	H Reims	L	0 - 2
13 Mar	H Amiens	W	1 - 0

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Grenoble	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Metz	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Nancy	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Saint Etienne	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Boulogne	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Clermont Foot	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Dijon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Guingamp	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Montpellier	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Reims	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Laval	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	PAU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Rodez	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Annecy	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Sochaux	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Dunkerque	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	RED Star FC 93	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.