Leon vs Monterrey Prediction

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 5
FT
Post on X
AI call Monterrey or draw
31%
26%
43%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Leon vs Monterrey prediction: Sportiko gives Leon a 31% chance of winning, Monterrey 43% and the draw 26%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 03:01.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Home to Score 75%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Jordi Cortizo assist: Diber Cambindo
24' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 45'
Ricardo Chávez Yellow Card
HT 1–0
⇄ 46'
Ricardo Chávez ⇄ Luca Orellano
FT 2–0
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean
Monterrey or draw
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Leon
LDWLD
Monterrey
LDLWW
Last 2 meetings Leon · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, León faces Monterrey, both teams boasting strong attacking units. León has shown a solid home record, averaging 2.1 goals per game at home this season, while Monterrey's away form has been impressive, scoring 1.8 goals per match. Defensively, León has conceded an average of 1.5 goals at home, which could be a concern against Monterrey's potent offense. With both squads in good form, the match promises to be competitive, but León's ability to capitalize on home advantage may play a crucial role in determining the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
31%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
43%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Leon
J. Alvarado 6 gls
Monterrey
L. Ocampos 7 gls
H. Cuypers 6 gls
D. Rossi 5 gls

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Head to Head: Leon vs Monterrey

0 Leon Wins
0 Draws
2 Monterrey Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 Feb 2026 Monterrey 1 - 0 Leon
11 Aug 2025 Leon 1 - 3 Monterrey

Leon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
02 Nov A Cruz Azul L 2 - 1
24 Oct H Toluca D 1 - 1
21 Oct A Tigres UANL W 0 - 2
18 Oct H Club America L 3 - 5
10 Oct A Puebla D 1 - 1

Monterrey — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Toluca L 4 - 0
01 Nov H Club Tijuana D 3 - 3
25 Oct H Guadalajara Chivas L 0 - 1
22 Oct A Puebla W 1 - 4
19 Oct H CF Pachuca W 2 - 1

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Club America
15 8 5 2 +15 29
2
Guadalajara Chivas
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Cruz Azul
15 9 2 4 +10 29
4
Atlas
16 8 3 5 -3 27
5
Santos Laguna
16 8 1 7 +3 25
6
Toluca
15 6 6 3 +10 24
7
CF Pachuca
16 6 4 6 +9 22
8
Club Tijuana
16 5 7 4 +3 22
9
Leon
15 6 4 5 +2 22
10
Monterrey
14 6 3 5 +5 21
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
15 5 5 5 -2 20
12
Club Queretaro
14 6 2 6 -3 20
13
Atletico San Luis
16 5 4 7 -5 19
14
Puebla
15 4 4 7 -6 16
15
Tigres UANL
15 3 6 6 -7 15
16
Atlante FC
16 3 5 8 -10 14
17
Necaxa
16 3 4 9 -11 13
18
FC Juarez
16 3 2 11 -21 11

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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