TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction
FT
AI call
Difficult Sturm Graz win or draw
20%
26%
54%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz prediction: Sportiko gives TSV Hartberg a 20% chance of winning, Sturm Graz 54% and the draw 26%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 19:24.
Premium picks
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
- Under 3.5 Goals 72%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
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Timeline
Konstantin Schopp
Yellow Card
37'
▮
HT 0–0
Konstantin Schopp
Yellow Card
60'
▮
Konstantin Schopp
Red Card
60'
▮
⇄
62'
Luís Balbo
⇄ Emran Soglo
⇄
62'
Szymon Włodarczyk
⇄ Nelson Weiper
⇄
62'
Gizo Mamageishvili
⇄ Simon Seidl
Angelo Gattermayer
⇄ Jed Drew
64'
⇄
⚽
0–1
69'
Nelson Weiper
assist: Simon Seidl
⇄ Agustín Urrutia
71'
⇄
Youba Diarra
⇄ Oliver Lukić
71'
⇄
⇄
78'
Seedy Jatta
⇄ Axel Kayombo
⚽
0–2
81'
Nelson Weiper
assist: Simon Seidl
Habib Anas Coulibaly
⇄ Chilohem Onuoha
82'
⇄
Tobias Kainz
⇄ Nikolaus Feldhofer
82'
⇄
⇄
84'
Jurgen Heil
⇄ Paul Koller
▮
90+4'
Albert Vallci
Yellow Card
FT 0–2
TSV Hartberg
Match Stats
Sturm Graz
46%
Ball Possession
54%
0.26
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
6
Total Shots
20
2
Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots off Goal
9
2
Blocked Shots
6
2
Shots insidebox
11
4
Shots outsidebox
9
2
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
327
Total passes
376
241
Passes accurate
299
74%
Passes %
80%
0.19
goals_prevented
0.19
TSV Hartberg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Tobias Kainz M | 7.6 | 82' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | 3 |
| 91 Ármin Pécsi G | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 37 (23%) | – |
| 14 Paul Komposch D | 6.7 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 24 (19%) | 1 |
| 4 Benjamin Markuš D | 6.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 37 (26%) | 5 |
| 95 Nikolaus Feldhofer M | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 19 Lukas Spendlhofer D | 6.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 40 (33%) | 1 |
| 7 Angelo Gattermayer F | 6.6 | 64' | – | – | – | 16 (9%) | – |
| 18 Fabian Wilfinger D | 6.5 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 11 Jed Drew F | 6.5 | 29' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 10 Oliver Lukić M | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | 1 |
| 5 Youba Diarra M | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 21 (13%) | 1 |
| 70 Chilohem Onuoha F | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 27 Konstantin Schopp M | 6.2 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 40 (36%) | 2 |
| 9 Agustín Urrutia F | 6.2 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 22 Marco Hoffmann F | 6.0 | 71' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 6 Habib Anas Coulibaly D | 5.9 | 82' | – | – | – | 30 (19%) | 2 |
Sturm Graz
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Nelson Weiper F | 8.5 | 31' | 2 | – | 2 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 5 Albert Vallci D | 8.2 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 54 (49%) | 4 |
| 2 Jeyland Mitchell D | 7.6 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 49 (42%) | 3 |
| 19 Simon Seidl M | 7.3 | 31' | – | 2 | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 4 Jon Gorenc Stanković M | 7.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 62 (50%) | 1 |
| 18 Emran Soglo D | 7.2 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 19 (18%) | 1 |
| 39 Luca Weinhandl M | 7.0 | 93' | – | – | – | 33 (23%) | 3 |
| 53 Daniil Khudyakov G | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | – |
| 43 Jacob Hödl M | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | 3 | 29 (22%) | – |
| 28 Jurgen Heil D | 6.7 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 35 (24%) | 1 |
| 11 Axel Kayombo F | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 30 Paul Koller D | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 20 Seedy Jatta M | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 11 (5%) | 1 |
| 17 Szymon Włodarczyk F | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 15 Gizo Mamageishvili M | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | 2 | 16 (13%) | – |
| 27 Luís Balbo D | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (54%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Sturm Graz win or draw
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TSV Hartberg
DDWWW
Sturm Graz
LDWWL
Last 3 meetings
TSV Hartberg · 0W 0D 3L
Match summary
In the Bundesliga clash between TSV Hartberg and Sturm Graz, Hartberg will look to leverage their home advantage against a strong opponent. Historically, Sturm Graz has demonstrated superior attacking prowess, averaging 2.1 goals per match in the previous season compared to Hartberg's 1.3. Defensively, Hartberg has struggled, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Sturm Graz's midfield control and pressing game could exploit this vulnerability. The outcome may hinge on Hartberg's ability to disrupt Sturm Graz's rhythm and capitalize on any defensive lapses.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
20%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
54%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
TSV Hartberg
A. Radulović
2 gls
Sturm Graz
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz
0
TSV Hartberg Wins
0
Draws
3
Sturm Graz Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | TSV Hartberg | 0 - 1 | Sturm Graz |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Sturm Graz | 1 - 0 | TSV Hartberg |
| 09 Nov 2024 | TSV Hartberg | 1 - 2 | Sturm Graz |
TSV Hartberg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Lask Linz | D | 3 - 3 |
| 13 Sep | A WSG Wattens | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A SK Vorwarts Steyr | W | 0 - 4 |
| 30 Aug | H Ried | W | 3 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | A SCR Altach | W | 1 - 2 |
Sturm Graz — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Red Bull Salzburg | L | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Rennes | D | 0 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Lask Linz | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Voitsberg | W | 1 - 4 |
| 30 Aug | A Rapid Vienna | L | 3 - 1 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rapid Vienna
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 4 | +14 | 17 |
| 3 |
Lask Linz
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 16 |
| 4 |
Sturm Graz
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 |
Ried
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 |
TSV Hartberg
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 |
WSG Wattens
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 |
Austria Lustenau
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 |
Grazer AK
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 |
Austria Vienna
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 |
Wolfsberger AC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| 12 |
SCR Altach
|
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
Sturm Graz
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: F. Ingolitsch
53
Khudyakov
27
Balbo
2
Mitchell
5
Vallci
28
Heil
4
Stanković
39
Weinhandl
15
Mamageishvili
43
Hödl
20
Jatta
17
Włodarczyk
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Daniil Khudyakov | G |
| 28 | Jurgen Heil | D |
| 5 | Albert Vallci | D |
| 2 | Jeyland Mitchell | D |
| 27 | Luís Balbo | D |
| 39 | Luca Weinhandl | M |
| 4 | Jon Gorenc Stanković | M |
| 20 | Seedy Jatta | M |
| 43 | Jacob Hödl | M |
| 15 | Gizo Mamageishvili | M |
| 17 | Szymon Włodarczyk | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Ammar Helac | G |
| 30 | Paul Koller | D |
| 23 | Arjan Malić | D |
| 21 | Petar Petrović | D |
| 18 | Emran Soglo | D |
| 80 | Ryan Fosso | M |
| 44 | Nelson Weiper | F |
| 11 | Axel Kayombo | F |
| 19 | Simon Seidl | M |
TSV Hartberg
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Markus Schopp
91
Pécsi
6
Coulibaly
4
Markuš
19
Spendlhofer
14
Komposch
18
Wilfinger
5
Diarra
27
Schopp
23
Kainz
7
Gattermayer
22
Hoffmann
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 91 | Ármin Pécsi | G |
| 18 | Fabian Wilfinger | D |
| 14 | Paul Komposch | D |
| 19 | Lukas Spendlhofer | D |
| 4 | Benjamin Markuš | D |
| 6 | Habib Anas Coulibaly | D |
| 23 | Tobias Kainz | M |
| 27 | Konstantin Schopp | M |
| 5 | Youba Diarra | M |
| 22 | Marco Hoffmann | F |
| 7 | Angelo Gattermayer | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | Luka Marić | G |
| 16 | Magnus Dalpiaz | D |
| 28 | Florian Gerstl | M |
| 10 | Oliver Lukić | M |
| 17 | Jonas Karner | M |
| 95 | Nikolaus Feldhofer | M |
| 70 | Chilohem Onuoha | F |
| 11 | Jed Drew | F |
| 9 | Agustín Urrutia | F |