TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2

08 Aug 2026, 17:30

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Sturm Graz

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Sturm Graz

20%

26%

55%

Zmaga domačih · 5.30 Neodločeno · 3.90 Zmaga gostov · 1.75

TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz prediction: Sportiko gives TSV Hartberg a 20% chance of winning, Sturm Graz 55% and the draw 26%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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TSV Hartberg

LWWLW

Sturm Graz

LDWWW

Last 3 meetings TSV Hartberg · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the Bundesliga clash between TSV Hartberg and Sturm Graz, Hartberg will look to leverage their home advantage against a strong opponent. Historically, Sturm Graz has demonstrated superior attacking prowess, averaging 2.1 goals per match in the previous season compared to Hartberg's 1.3. Defensively, Hartberg has struggled, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Sturm Graz's midfield control and pressing game could exploit this vulnerability. The outcome may hinge on Hartberg's ability to disrupt Sturm Graz's rhythm and capitalize on any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

20%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

55%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sturm Graz goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	10	10	5	2	1
1	5	13	10	6	2	1
2	3	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ TSV Hartberg goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

TSV Hartberg

J. Drew 0 gls

Sturm Graz

S. Włodarczyk 1 gls

E. Soglo 0 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

26%

Home Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

26%

Home Win

20%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

71% Away (No Draw) 29% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	9.7%	9.5%	5.4%	2.3%
1	5.2%	13.0%	9.8%	5.6%	2.4%
2	3.5%	5.9%	5.1%	2.9%	1.2%
3	1.2%	2.0%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	TSV Hartberg	Draw	Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg	14.6%	5.5%	3.4%
Draw	6.7%	16.5%	19.4%
Sturm Graz	0.8%	3.1%	30.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz

0 TSV Hartberg Wins

0 Draws

3 Sturm Graz Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Nov 2025	TSV Hartberg	0 - 1	Sturm Graz
28 Sep 2025	Sturm Graz	1 - 0	TSV Hartberg
09 Nov 2024	TSV Hartberg	1 - 2	Sturm Graz

See all 10 meetings — Premium

TSV Hartberg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	1 - 0
26 Jul	A Imst	W	1 - 3
08 Jul	H Zbrojovka Brno	W	2 - 0
01 Jul	A Weiz	L	3 - 2
27 Jun	H Admira Wacker	W	3 - 1

Sturm Graz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	A Fenerbahçe	L	2 - 0
01 Aug	A WSG Wattens	D	1 - 1
28 Jul	A Heart Of Midlothian	W	0 - 2
24 Jul	A Seekirchen	W	0 - 3
21 Jul	H Heart Of Midlothian	W	4 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
2	Lask Linz	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
3	SCR Altach	2	1	0	1	3	2	+1	3
4	Rapid Vienna	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
5	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
6	Ried	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
7	Austria Lustenau	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
8	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
9	WSG Wattens	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1
10	TSV Hartberg	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Grazer AK	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
12	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.