Kilmarnock vs Celtic Prediction
FT
AI call
Difficult Celtic win or draw
15%
21%
65%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Kilmarnock vs Celtic prediction: Sportiko gives Kilmarnock a 15% chance of winning, Celtic 65% and the draw 21%. Last updated 9 Aug 2026, 14:23.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
2'
Kasper Høgh
assist: Arne Engels
Joe Hugill
Yellow Card
26'
▮
⚽
0–2
33'
Kasper Høgh
assist: Benjamin Nygren
⚽
0–3
35'
Kasper Høgh
assist: Camilo Durán
HT 0–3
⇄
46'
Alistair Johnston
⇄ Colby Donovan
⚽
0–4
47'
Benjamin Nygren
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
assist: Tom Lowery
56'
⚽
1–4
⇄
64'
Camilo Durán
⇄ Sebastian Tounekti
⇄
74'
Yang Hyun-Jun
⇄ Luke McCowan
⇄
74'
Benjamin Nygren
⇄ James Forrest
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
74'
⇄
⚽
1–5
75'
Luke McCowan
Tyreece John-Jules
⇄ Bailey Rice
75'
⇄
⇄
82'
Kasper Høgh
⇄ Callum Osmand
FT 1–5
Kilmarnock
Match Stats
Celtic
36%
Ball Possession
64%
0.76
Expected Goals (xG)
5.50
9
Total Shots
32
5
Shots on Goal
16
2
Shots off Goal
10
2
Blocked Shots
6
9
Shots insidebox
28
0
Shots outsidebox
4
5
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
0
Red Cards
10
Goalkeeper Saves
3
364
Total passes
645
295
Passes accurate
587
81%
Passes %
91%
0.29
goals_prevented
0.29
Kilmarnock
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Max Stryjek G | 8.3 | 91' | – | – | – | 36 (26%) | – |
| 36 Aaron Tshibola M | 7.5 | 91' | – | – | 2 | 44 (42%) | 1 |
| 18 Tom Lowery M | 7.5 | 91' | – | 1 | 1 | 44 (39%) | 1 |
| 11 Greg Kiltie M | 7.0 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 35 (28%) | 2 |
| 10 Tyreece John-Jules F | 7.0 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 19 (13%) | 1 |
| 5 Mark O'Hara M | 6.7 | 17' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen D | 6.6 | 74' | 1 | – | 1 | 35 (28%) | – |
| 8 Erik Ring M | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 2 |
| 15 Johnly Yfeko D | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 4 |
| 49 Bailey Rice M | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | – | 6 (2%) | – |
| 9 Joe Hugill F | 6.2 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 2 Jamie Brandon D | 6.0 | 91' | – | – | – | 30 (25%) | 2 |
| 14 George Stanger D | 5.9 | 91' | – | – | – | 32 (25%) | 1 |
Celtic
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Kasper Høgh F | 9.2 | 82' | 3 | – | 8 | 25 (18%) | 1 |
| 63 Kieran Tierney D | 8.6 | 91' | – | – | 2 | 65 (60%) | 3 |
| 8 Benjamin Nygren M | 8.3 | 74' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 38 (35%) | 1 |
| 27 Arne Engels M | 8.0 | 91' | – | 1 | 2 | 51 (45%) | – |
| 6 Auston Trusty D | 7.9 | 91' | – | – | – | 91 (87%) | 1 |
| 1 Viljami Sinisalo G | 7.7 | 91' | – | – | – | 61 (57%) | – |
| 11 Camilo Durán M | 7.7 | 64' | – | 1 | 5 | 22 (16%) | 1 |
| 14 Luke McCowan M | 7.3 | 17' | 1 | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 42 Callum McGregor M | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 60 (56%) | 3 |
| 20 Cameron Carter-Vickers D | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 85 (82%) | – |
| 2 Alistair Johnston D | 7.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 33 (31%) | 1 |
| 13 Yang Hyun-Jun M | 6.7 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 40 (33%) | 4 |
| 17 Sebastian Tounekti F | 6.7 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 18 (16%) | – |
| 49 James Forrest M | 6.5 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 51 Colby Donovan D | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 32 (31%) | – |
| 19 Callum Osmand F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (65%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Celtic win or draw
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Kilmarnock
DWDDL
Celtic
LLLWW
Last 3 meetings
Kilmarnock · 0W 0D 3L
Match summary
In the upcoming Premiership match, Kilmarnock will face Celtic. Kilmarnock's recent form shows they have struggled against top-tier teams, with a record of 1 win in their last 5 matches. Celtic, on the other hand, has been in strong form, winning 4 of their last 5 games and boasting a potent attack that averages over 2 goals per match. The contrast in recent performance and squad depth suggests Celtic will be favored in this encounter, despite Kilmarnock's home ground. Key players for both sides will be crucial in deciding the outcome.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
15%
10%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
65%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Kilmarnock
No scorer data.
Celtic
C. Durán
3 gls
B. Nygren
3 gls
K. Høgh
3 gls
Yang Hyun-Jun
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Kilmarnock vs Celtic
0
Kilmarnock Wins
0
Draws
3
Celtic Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Kilmarnock | 2 - 3 | Celtic |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Celtic | 4 - 0 | Kilmarnock |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Kilmarnock | 1 - 2 | Celtic |
Kilmarnock — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Heart Of Midlothian | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | A Hibernian | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Aberdeen | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Aberdeen | D | 0 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | H ST Mirren | L | 0 - 1 |
Celtic — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Rangers | L | 0 - 1 |
| 17 Sep | H Ferencvarosi TC | L | 1 - 3 |
| 13 Sep | A Rangers | L | 3 - 0 |
| 09 Sep | A ST Johnstone | W | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A ST Mirren | W | 1 - 2 |
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Dundee
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |
ST Mirren
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
ST Johnstone
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Aberdeen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |
Dundee Utd
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Motherwell
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |
Hibernian
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Falkirk
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
Celtic
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Martin O'Neill
1
Sinisalo
63
Tierney
6
Trusty
20
Carter-Vickers
2
Johnston
27
Engels
42
McGregor
13
Hyun-Jun
8
Nygren
11
Durán
9
Høgh
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viljami Sinisalo | G |
| 2 | Alistair Johnston | D |
| 20 | Cameron Carter-Vickers | D |
| 6 | Auston Trusty | D |
| 63 | Kieran Tierney | D |
| 42 | Callum McGregor | M |
| 27 | Arne Engels | M |
| 11 | Camilo Durán | M |
| 8 | Benjamin Nygren | M |
| 13 | Yang Hyun-Jun | M |
| 9 | Kasper Høgh | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | Ross Doohan | G |
| 47 | Dane Murray | D |
| 51 | Colby Donovan | D |
| 21 | Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain | M |
| 49 | James Forrest | M |
| 17 | Sebastian Tounekti | F |
| 41 | Reo Hatate | M |
| 14 | Luke McCowan | M |
| 19 | Callum Osmand | F |
Kilmarnock
Formation: 4-3-1-2
Coach: Neil McCann
1
Stryjek
21
Schjønning-Larsen
15
Yfeko
14
Stanger
2
Brandon
18
Lowery
36
Tshibola
8
Ring
11
Kiltie
10
John-Jules
9
Hugill
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Stryjek | G |
| 2 | Jamie Brandon | D |
| 14 | George Stanger | D |
| 15 | Johnly Yfeko | D |
| 21 | Michael Schjønning-Larsen | D |
| 8 | Erik Ring | M |
| 36 | Aaron Tshibola | M |
| 18 | Tom Lowery | M |
| 11 | Greg Kiltie | M |
| 9 | Joe Hugill | F |
| 10 | Tyreece John-Jules | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | Calum Ferrie | G |
| 25 | Ethan Brown | D |
| 39 | Euan Bowie | D |
| 20 | Nicky Cleșcenco | F |
| 7 | Rory McKenzie | M |
| 5 | Mark O'Hara | M |
| 22 | Jack Thomson | M |
| 49 | Bailey Rice | M |
| 27 | Ieuan Owen | F |