Kilmarnock vs Celtic Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 2

09 Aug 2026, 12:30

Post on X

Celtic

Away

KI-Tipp Celtic gewinnt

15%

21%

64%

Heimsieg · 7.30 Unentschieden · 5.20 Auswärtssieg · 1.42

Kilmarnock vs Celtic prediction: Sportiko gives Kilmarnock a 15% chance of winning, Celtic 64% and the draw 21%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Kilmarnock

LDWWD

Celtic

WDLDW

Last 3 meetings Kilmarnock · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership match, Kilmarnock will face Celtic. Kilmarnock's recent form shows they have struggled against top-tier teams, with a record of 1 win in their last 5 matches. Celtic, on the other hand, has been in strong form, winning 4 of their last 5 games and boasting a potent attack that averages over 2 goals per match. The contrast in recent performance and squad depth suggests Celtic will be favored in this encounter, despite Kilmarnock's home ground. Key players for both sides will be crucial in deciding the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

15%

10%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

64%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celtic goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	11	10	6	2	1
1	6	13	10	5	2	1
2	3	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Kilmarnock goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Kilmarnock

G. Kiltie 1 gls

J. Hugill 1 gls

T. Lowery 0 gls

Celtic

B. Nygren 1 gls

K. Tierney 0 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

21%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

21%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

72% Away (No Draw) 28% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 20% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	10.8%	10.2%	5.7%	2.3%
1	5.5%	13.2%	9.7%	5.4%	2.2%
2	3.3%	5.6%	4.6%	2.6%	1.1%
3	1.1%	1.8%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kilmarnock	Draw	Celtic
Kilmarnock	9.3%	3.3%	2.1%
Draw	9.9%	17.8%	19.5%
Celtic	1.7%	4.5%	31.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kilmarnock vs Celtic

0 Kilmarnock Wins

0 Draws

3 Celtic Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Feb 2026	Kilmarnock	2 - 3	Celtic
09 Nov 2025	Celtic	4 - 0	Kilmarnock
14 Sep 2025	Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Celtic

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Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A ST Johnstone	L	4 - 3
25 Jul	A Peterhead	D	0 - 0
21 Jul	H Hamilton Academical	W	1 - 0
18 Jul	A Elgin City	W	0 - 1
14 Jul	H Raith Rovers	D	0 - 0

Celtic — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Aug	H Dundee	W	1 - 0
25 Jul	H AC Milan	D	2 - 2
14 Jul	A Sporting CP	L	4 - 1
07 Jul	A Shelbourne	D	1 - 1
11 Apr	H ST Mirren	W	1 - 0

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	ST Mirren	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
2	ST Johnstone	1	1	0	0	4	3	+1	3
3	Motherwell	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
4	Aberdeen	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
5	Celtic	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
6	Dundee Utd	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
7	Rangers	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
8	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0
9	Heart Of Midlothian	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
10	Hibernian	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
11	Dundee	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.