Alverca vs Estrela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 2

15 Aug 2026, 14:30

Post on X

Estrela

Away

AI call Difficult Estrela win or draw

11%

28%

62%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Alverca vs Estrela prediction: Sportiko gives Alverca a 11% chance of winning, Estrela 62% and the draw 28%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:49.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 18.8%

Both teams to score

32%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Alverca

LLDLW

Estrela

WDDLL

Last 2 meetings Alverca · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Alverca will face Estrela. Alverca's recent form shows a mixed bag of results, with a focus on improving their defensive stability, as they have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game in the last five outings. Estrela, on the other hand, has been more consistent, showcasing a solid attacking front, averaging 2 goals per game during the same period. Key players for Estrela, who have contributed significantly to their scoring, will be crucial in breaking down Alverca's defense. This match promises to be competitive, with both teams seeking vital points early in the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estrela goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	14	19	15	8	3	1
1	5	11	8	4	2
2	2	3	2	1
3
4
5

↑ Alverca goals · most likely 0–1 (18.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

28%

Home Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

28%

Home Win

11%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

85% Away (No Draw) 15% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 11% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.4%	18.8%	15.5%	8.0%	3.1%
1	5.2%	11.4%	7.8%	4.0%	1.5%
2	1.6%	2.5%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%
3	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alverca	Draw	Estrela
Alverca	5.8%	2.8%	1.6%
Draw	5.0%	20.4%	22.3%
Estrela	0.4%	2.8%	38.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

61%

30%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alverca vs Estrela

0 Alverca Wins

2 Draws

0 Estrela Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jan 2026	Alverca	1 - 1	Estrela
25 Aug 2025	Estrela	2 - 2	Alverca

Alverca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	A Mafra	L	1 - 0
16 May	A Famalicao	L	1 - 0
10 May	H Estoril	D	1 - 1
02 May	A FC Porto	L	1 - 0
24 Apr	H Arouca	W	2 - 1

Estrela — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Al-Nassr	W	4 - 2
16 May	A SC Braga	D	2 - 2
11 May	H Famalicao	D	0 - 0
02 May	A Moreirense	L	3 - 2
26 Apr	H FC Porto	L	1 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	D	GF	GA	Pts
1	Famalicao	1	1	1	1	1
2	Estoril	1	1	1	1	1
3	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0
4	Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0
5	GIL Vicente	0	0	0	0	0
6	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0
7	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0
8	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0
11	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0
12	Maritimo	0	0	0	0	0
13	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0
14	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0
15	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0
16	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0
17	Academico Viseu	0	0	0	0	0
18	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.