Alverca vs Estrela Prognose

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
KI-Tipp Alverca oder Unentschieden
37%
31%
33%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Alverca vs. Estrela Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Alverca eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 37%, für Estrela 33% und für ein Unentschieden 31%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 15 Aug 2026, 16:30.

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Timeline

Davy Gui Yellow Card
14'
17'
Luan Patrick Yellow Card
35'
Stefan Leković Yellow Card
43'
Eddy Doué Yellow Card
Vivaldo Yellow Card
44'
HT 0–0
0–1 51'
Leandro Antonetti
Ian Luccas assist: Isaac James
58' 1–1
Davy Gui ⇄ Rayan Lucas
59'
Vivaldo assist: Rayan Lucas
62' 2–1
64'
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho ⇄ Emerson Pedro Vanga
64'
Jefferson Encada ⇄ Max Scholze
64'
Ianis Stoica ⇄ Bénito
2–2 69'
Abraham Marcus
Chiquinho Red Card
74'
Isaac James ⇄ Francisco Chissumba
75'
Bastien Meupiyou ⇄ Marco Essimi
83'
Ian Luccas ⇄ Vasco Moreira
83'
Vivaldo ⇄ Samy Jr Merheg
83'
85'
Emerson Pedro Vanga Yellow Card
88'
Leandro Antonetti ⇄ Sydney van Hooijdonk
90'
Rafa Soares ⇄ Lucas Mincarelli
FT 2–2
Alverca

Match Stats

Estrela
46% Ball Possession 54%
1.75 Expected Goals (xG) 1.27
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 7
9 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 0
10 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Corner Kicks 0
2 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
1 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
324 Total passes 386
263 Passes accurate 323
81% Passes % 84%
-0.01 goals_prevented -0.01
Alverca
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 Isaac James M 7.6 75' 1 26 (23%) 3
25 Ian Luccas M 7.3 83' 1 1 32 (19%)
35 Rayan Lucas M 7.3 36' 1 8 (7%) 3
22 Figueiredo F 7.2 95' 1 28 (20%) 3
4 Yaya Bojang D 7.2 95' 46 (46%) 1
31 Matheus Mendes G 6.9 95' 21 (14%)
2 Nabil Touaizi M 6.9 95' 3 21 (16%) 2
14 Steven Baseya D 6.9 95' 1 48 (38%)
55 Francisco Chissumba D 6.7 20' 4 (3%) 2
19 Marco Essimi F 6.7 12' 1 2 (2%) 1
17 Samy Jr Merheg F 6.7 12' 3 (1%)
10 Chiquinho F 6.5 74' 2 6 (5%) 3
8 Vasco Moreira M 6.5 12' 2 (1%)
9 Vivaldo F 6.3 83' 1 3 8 (6%)
33 Bastien Meupiyou D 6.2 83' 42 (37%) 1
6 Davy Gui M 6.2 59' 1 27 (25%)
Estrela
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
99 Abraham Marcus F 8.3 95' 1 2 25 (18%) 1
39 Eddy Doué M 7.0 95' 48 (40%) 1
37 Leandro Antonetti F 7.0 88' 1 5 8 (6%) 1
21 Max Scholze D 6.7 31' 16 (15%) 1
93 Bénito M 6.7 31' 6 (6%)
24 Léo Linck G 6.6 95' 31 (20%)
30 Luan Patrick D 6.6 95' 68 (64%) 1
5 Stefan Leković D 6.6 95' 52 (50%) 1
8 Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho M 6.6 64' 1 21 (14%) 1
71 Emerson Pedro Vanga M 6.5 31' 9 (7%)
10 Ianis Stoica F 6.3 64' 1 18 (15%) 1
17 Jefferson Encada D 6.3 64' 20 (18%) 2
55 Rafa Soares D 6.2 90' 1 37 (29%) 3
14 Lovro Zvonarek M 6.0 95' 22 (16%) 1
9 Sydney van Hooijdonk F 7' 1 (1%)
3 Lucas Mincarelli D 5' 4 (4%)
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Alverca oder Unentschieden
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Alverca
WWLDL
Estrela
LDWDW
Last 2 meetings Alverca · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Alverca will face Estrela. Alverca's recent form shows a mixed bag of results, with a focus on improving their defensive stability, as they have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game in the last five outings. Estrela, on the other hand, has been more consistent, showcasing a solid attacking front, averaging 2 goals per game during the same period. Key players for Estrela, who have contributed significantly to their scoring, will be crucial in breaking down Alverca's defense. This match promises to be competitive, with both teams seeking vital points early in the season.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
37%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
33%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Alverca
D. Camara 3 gls
Estrela
A. Marcus 4 gls
L. Antonetti 4 gls
I. Stoica 4 gls

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Head to Head: Alverca vs Estrela

0 Alverca Wins
2 Draws
0 Estrela Wins
Date Home Score Away
31 Jan 2026 Alverca 1 - 1 Estrela
25 Aug 2025 Estrela 2 - 2 Alverca

Alverca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Rio Ave W 1 - 0
12 Sep A Nacional W 1 - 3
05 Sep H SC Braga L 1 - 2
29 Aug H Santa Clara D 1 - 1
22 Aug A Sporting CP L 3 - 1

Estrela — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Academico Viseu L 0 - 2
14 Sep A Rio Ave D 3 - 3
10 Sep H SC Braga W 2 - 1
05 Sep H Famalicao D 2 - 2
30 Aug A Nacional W 2 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Alverca

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Sergio Ferreira
31 Mendes
33 Meupiyou
4 Bojang
14 Baseya
12 James
25 Luccas
6 Gui
2 Touaizi
22 Figueiredo
10 Chiquinho
9 Vivaldo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Matheus Mendes G
14 Steven Baseya D
4 Yaya Bojang D
33 Bastien Meupiyou D
2 Nabil Touaizi M
6 Davy Gui M
25 Ian Luccas M
12 Isaac James M
10 Chiquinho F
22 Figueiredo F
9 Vivaldo F

Substitutes

91 Jhonatan G
20 Diogo Spencer D
15 Ikker dos Santos D
8 Vasco Moreira M
35 Rayan Lucas M
55 Francisco Chissumba D
18 Zakaria Kassary M
19 Marco Essimi F
30 Abderrahmane Soumare M
11 Cédric Nuozzi F
17 Samy Jr Merheg F
27 Toni Tamarit F

Estrela

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Pepa
24 Linck
55 Soares
5 Leković
30 Patrick
17 Encada
39 Doué
8 Robinho
10 Stoica
14 Zvonarek
99 Marcus
37 Antonetti

Starting XI

# Player Pos
24 Léo Linck G
17 Jefferson Encada D
30 Luan Patrick D
5 Stefan Leković D
55 Rafa Soares D
8 Robinho M
39 Eddy Doué M
99 Abraham Marcus M
14 Lovro Zvonarek M
10 Ianis Stoica M
37 Leandro Antonetti F

Substitutes

51 Diogo Pinto G
22 David Grilo G
79 Atanas Chernev D
3 Lucas Mincarelli D
21 Max Scholze D
4 Bernardo Schappo D
28 Tom Moustier M
93 Bénito M
71 Emerson Pedro Vanga M
80 Alisson Souza de Jesus F
78 Santiago Serra M
9 Sydney van Hooijdonk F

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